2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino

[bluewave]

Starting to see +12C subsurface anomalies as Nino 3.4 reaches +3.4 for the first time.

 

 

[mitchnick]

Euro seasonal latest snowfall change this run vs last courtesy Weather Will in the MA forum. No complaints from me!

 

[forkyfork]

closing in on +3.5

 

[so_whats_happening]

Cold pool near -3 and seems to be on the move recently.

[mitchnick]

33 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

closing in on +3.5

 

In light of the Euro seasonal snowfall map with the change from last month, higher the better 

[GaWx]

2 hours ago, bluewave said:

Starting to see +12C subsurface anomalies as Nino 3.4 reaches +3.4 for the first time.

 

 
This is the official RONI version of yours, which takes into account the amount of GW between Ninos (specifically as regards the warming of the global tropical SSTs) and thus gives a better comparison of Nino strength from Nino to Nino: 26 has been record warmest since early Aug and currently is 0.13 warmer than 97, 0.47 warmer than 82, .61 warmer than 15, and 1.47 warmer than 23:

 

 Here’s the new Euro RONI prog: 26-7 remains strongest, even warmer than the rapidly warming late peaking 82-3 although only barely warmer than 83 in Jan:

 

[LakePaste25]

Still waiting on that big Nino 1+2 drop modeled by the CFSv2. Any day now.