2026 Foothills thread

[WiseWeather]

I will not get sucked in again… but hr 210


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Well ill give this weekend up if next weekend happens. 24 hours and i get 34 inches of snow. You might as well call the hospital cause id give both of the testes up for that. Hell ill ski from lenoir to this hickory bridge just to meet BooneWX:


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[calculus1]

Just because:

[JoshM]

2 minutes ago, calculus1 said:

Just because:
 

I don't think I have the emotional capacity to do this again for a while

[WiseWeather]

I don't think I have the emotional capacity to do this again for a while

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[strongwxnc]

Warnings coming with the new AM AFD based on the AFD from 1am.

Going with front bump SN to sleet . 1-3” sleet to FR.

Ready to track the realtime surface features.


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[strongwxnc]

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[buckeyefan1]

Had another face cord delivered for the second time this year. The past 2 years I’ve only gone through one face cord. Breakfast casseroles stocked and today will be dinner prep so I can wrap it in foil and set it on the coals to heat. My camping grill broke and I’m sure I won’t find any left. No generator, but a small 250w solar powered camping one, but it can be charged with my car if there’s no sun. It’s perfect for small appliances and keeping the internet on. The support pup now has backup shoes and socks and another waterproof coat. Kitties have new high rise beds for easier access to fireplace warmth to keep them from fighting for the coveted place on the hearthstone. Plastic is pulled out to section off the living room. Laundry done. Necessities stocked. I’m about as ready as I can be with mom still in the hospital and preparing for 2 places separated by 3+hrs  

[WNC_Fort]

I honestly have no idea what’s gonna happen this weekend. Sleet storm? Devastating ice? Lulls in precipitation making it a minor event?

[calculus1]

The 06Z GFS continues the incredible cold streak after the storm. Hickory is still below freezing for the entirety of the storm and the week to follow into the next winter storm. Low temps each night are dangerously cold.

[WiseWeather]

I ran thru the entirety of the gfs run…. I dont see above 37 degrees until maybe mid Feburary…. And if we get snowpack next weekend… i may not even see it then.


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[CentralNC]

7 minutes ago, calculus1 said:

The 06Z GFS continues the incredible cold streak after the storm. Hickory is still below freezing for the entirety of the storm and the week to follow into the next winter storm. Low temps each night are dangerously cold.

Yeah I think in general this is not being emphasized by the NWS, but in time they will.

[WiseWeather]

Im going to try to get my atlas back on wunderground at some point tommorrow… im finally moved in enough to work on things i want to do instead of what my wife insists me on doing


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[BooneWX]

2 hours ago, WNC_Fort said:

I honestly have no idea what’s gonna happen this weekend. Sleet storm? Devastating ice? Lulls in precipitation making it a minor event?

My gut says no lulls for us. Models and even real time radar will not pick up the low level moisture getting squeezed out. These “dry” slots aren’t dry and they’re nightmare fuel for the foothills. We’re going to have the most efficient type of ice accretion method pumping in those lulls — freezing drizzle. 

[BooneWX]

GSP up on totals for everything this morning. Chat, are we cooked??

[Met1985]

2 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

GSP up on totals for everything this morning. Chat, are we cooked??

We cooked.

[BooneWX]

Just now, Met1985 said:

We cooked.

When I requested the foothills get buried the past year, I was requesting snow, not this. 

[strongwxnc]

ICE storm warning !! 

 

[wncsnow]

Latest from GSP. I am hopeful we get less precip looking at short range guidance

[WNC_Fort]

I just did a big forest cleanup from Helene. I lost a ton of trees. Please let this be mostly sleet

[strongwxnc]

Just now, wncsnow said:

Latest from GSP. I am hopeful we get less precip looking at short range guidance

 

 

Bump in Ice for sure. Snow/sleet print looks about the same 

[wncsnow]

Doesn't seem like there's any escaping ice now. Anything less than .5 ZR will be a win for us. Ice storm of a lifetime incoming..

[buckeyefan1]

This was rude from Chris Justus  

[mercurydime]

I'm gonna be all about some verification over the weekend - and in to next week, too. 

Got my fingers crossed that we get more sleet than ZR, and/or CAD strength overcomes warm nose, that precip totals come in less than advertised. 

I like a good winter weather event, but not destructive ones.

Hope all y'all are prepared.  I am looking forward to your reports. Be safe. 

[mercurydime]

State of emergency already declared by county officials for McDowell as of 12p. 

[WNC_Fort]

Well guys. We made it through Helene. This is starting to have similar vibes in terms of widespread/historic impacts. I’m still hoping it will pan out we get more sleet than freezing rain. But, if not, been a pleasure tracking with you guys. Hope there’s a solid plan in place to restore the grid/power. Just hard knowing that Raleigh/Charlotte will get a lot of the initial attention.

[strongwxnc]

UNCA Balloons Link for storm .

First ones goes up at 3 PM tomorrow through Sunday around 3 pm.

[calculus1]

I love what the NAM is printing out. Almost all sleet for our areas! Yesss!


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[strongwxnc]

19 minutes ago, calculus1 said:

I love what the NAM is printing out. Almost all sleet for our areas! Yesss!


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18 NAM bukfit for HKHY

260125/0100Z  31  06010KT  21.3F  PL      0:1| 0.0|| 0.06|| 0.00|| 0.029    0:1|  0.0|| 0.06|| 0.00|| 0.03    0|100|  0
260125/0200Z  32  06009KT  21.8F  PL      0:1| 0.0|| 0.13|| 0.00|| 0.065    0:1|  0.0|| 0.19|| 0.00|| 0.09    0|100|  0
260125/0300Z  33  05010KT  22.4F  PL      0:1| 0.0|| 0.16|| 0.00|| 0.081    0:1|  0.0|| 0.35|| 0.00|| 0.18    0|100|  0
260125/0400Z  34  05009KT  23.3F  PL      0:1| 0.0|| 0.20|| 0.00|| 0.100    0:1|  0.0|| 0.55|| 0.00|| 0.28    0|100|  0
260125/0500Z  35  06008KT  23.4F  PL      0:1| 0.0|| 0.20|| 0.00|| 0.099    0:1|  0.0|| 0.75|| 0.00|| 0.37    0|100|  0
260125/0600Z  36  05006KT  23.6F  PL      0:1| 0.0|| 0.11|| 0.00|| 0.056    0:1|  0.0|| 0.86|| 0.00|| 0.43    0|100|  0
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
260125/0700Z  37  04007KT  24.3F  PL      0:1| 0.0|| 0.08|| 0.00|| 0.041    0:1|  0.0|| 0.94|| 0.00|| 0.47    0|100|  0
260125/0800Z  38  04008KT  25.1F  PL      0:1| 0.0|| 0.21|| 0.00|| 0.106    0:1|  0.0|| 1.16|| 0.00|| 0.58    0|100|  0
260125/0900Z  39  04007KT  24.7F  PL      0:1| 0.0|| 0.28|| 0.00|| 0.139    0:1|  0.0|| 1.43|| 0.00|| 0.72    0|100|  0
260125/1000Z  40  04005KT  24.3F  PL      0:1| 0.0|| 0.32|| 0.00|| 0.160    0:1|  0.0|| 1.75|| 0.00|| 0.88    0|100|  0
260125/1100Z  41  05007KT  25.1F  PL      0:1| 0.0|| 0.25|| 0.00|| 0.126    0:1|  0.0|| 2.00|| 0.00|| 1.00    0|100|  0
260125/1200Z  42  04005KT  25.1F  PL      0:1| 0.0|| 0.24|| 0.00|| 0.119    0:1|  0.0|| 2.24|| 0.00|| 1.12    0|100|  0
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
260125/1300Z  43  05005KT  24.5F  PL      0:1| 0.0|| 0.01|| 0.00|| 0.007    0:1|  0.0|| 2.26|| 0.00|| 1.13    0|100|  0
260125/1400Z  44  05005KT  24.7F          0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000    0:1|  0.0|| 2.26|| 0.00|| 1.13    0|  0|  0
260125/1500Z  45  05005KT  25.1F  PL      0:1| 0.0|| 0.01|| 0.00|| 0.007    0:1|  0.0|| 2.27|| 0.00|| 1.14    0|100|  0
260125/1600Z  46  05005KT  25.2F          0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000    0:1|  0.0|| 2.27|| 0.00|| 1.14    0|  0|  0
260125/1700Z  47  06004KT  25.6F  ZRPL    0:1| 0.0|| 0.01|| 0.00|| 0.006    0:1|  0.0|| 2.28|| 0.00|| 1.14    0| 62| 38
260125/1800Z  48  08003KT  26.0F  ZRPL    0:1| 0.0|| 0.01|| 0.00|| 0.007    0:1|  0.0|| 2.28|| 0.01|| 1.15    0| 41| 59
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
260125/1900Z  49  10003KT  26.3F          0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000    0:1|  0.0|| 2.28|| 0.01|| 1.15    0|  0|  0
260125/2000Z  50  11004KT  26.9F  FZRA    0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.004    0:1|  0.0|| 2.28|| 0.01|| 1.15    0|  8| 92
260125/2100Z  51  12003KT  27.4F  FZRA    0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.01|| 0.006    0:1|  0.0|| 2.28|| 0.02|| 1.16    0|  2| 98
260125/2200Z  52  14004KT  27.9F  FZDZ    0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.01|| 0.006    0:1|  0.0|| 2.28|| 0.02|| 1.16    0|  0|100
260125/2300Z  53  16004KT  28.3F  FZRA    0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.01|| 0.009    0:1|  0.0|| 2.28|| 0.03|| 1.17    0|  0|100
260126/0000Z  54  19003KT  28.8F  FZRA    0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.02|| 0.017    0:1|  0.0|| 2.28|| 0.05|| 1.19    0|  0|100
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
260126/0100Z  55  VRB02KT  30.1F  FZRA    0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.03|| 0.029    0:1|  0.0|| 2.28|| 0.08|| 1.22    0|  0|100
260126/0200Z  56  15004KT  30.3F  FZRA    0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.11|| 0.106    0:1|  0.0|| 2.28|| 0.19|| 1.32    0|  0|100

[WNC_Fort]

GFS looked like mostly a sleet storm? With some ice and then heavy rain to finish? Low tracked much further south? Idk what’s gonna happen

[wncsnow]

Models are shifting south, especially the short range high res. Let's see what the Euro says. Every little shift could mean the difference between 2 or 3 inches of sleet or .75 ZR