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Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026


BooneWX
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Gonna be sinful and say I don’t overly enjoy March snow. Yea, all snow is nice, but we all know it just doesn’t hit the same way when it melts in 2 hrs and takes a miracle to accumulate on the roads. By the time March 1 comes around it’s meteorological spring and my brain switches to sneezing, pine pollen and the Master’s. Don’t forget your pre emergent! In my years of experience, Valentine’s is the best time to apply it without risking being too late. 

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2 hours ago, BooneWX said:

Gonna be sinful and say I don’t overly enjoy March snow. Yea, all snow is nice, but we all know it just doesn’t hit the same way when it melts in 2 hrs and takes a miracle to accumulate on the roads. By the time March 1 comes around it’s meteorological spring and my brain switches to sneezing, pine pollen and the Master’s. Don’t forget your pre emergent! In my years of experience, Valentine’s is the best time to apply it without risking being too late. 

Here there has been accumulating snow in March only 2 times in the modern record: 1993 and 1986. However, there have also been 9 traces, including 1980 and 1960. And way back in 1837, there was the 2nd biggest snow on record on March 3rd. We also had a major ZR/IP on 2/25/1914.

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 I saw the following image today:

IMG_8208.jpeg.308d0918c1be09c5176462389d615244.jpeg

 I’m not doubting the general accuracy of this. For example, this shows NO record lows at KATL vs 37 record highs since 2020. The last record low there including ties was way back on 9/7/2017! So, the zero record lows is confirmed.

 A better representation of the SE US to minimize the warming effects of UHI as well as warming from increased traffic on airport runways (big problem at ATL for example) would be to use a rural station like the far N GA small town of Blairsville, GA, which has a pretty long record (back to 1931):

 Per my counting (hoping I didn’t miscount…if I did it should be only minimally off):

 Since 2020 including ties, it has had 24 different days with record highs and 7 days with record lows.

Since 2010, 65 with highs and 25 with lows

Since 2000: 87 with highs and 42 with lows

 So, of course GW is real. But large cities’ records often cause an exaggeration of the degree of warming. So, it’s important to separate out UHI/airport effects as much as possible.
——————

Daily records from here:

 

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=ffc

 

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