January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[bncho]

A cave ain't happening today, y'all.

[Ji]

Euro ai at 96. Will the Baja low go or stay

[bncho]

The Euro AI spits in the GFS's face, incredible consistency

[Ji]

Monster hit

[Weather Will]

WB 0Z AI total precip and temps in teens on Sat. Ratios could be better than snow map above.

[stormtracker]

So far, it's early.  Euro is almost exactly the same 66 hours.  This is precip/surface map only.  H5 lags significantly for some reason on sv.  will peep that baja wave in a sec

[Eskimo Joe]

Euro AI is almost a top 10 snowfall for IAD, DCA, and BWI. Incredible.

[Amped]

Euro AI showing even more CAD than the PD2 somehow. Wedge extends all the way down to west GA.

[stormtracker]

Remarkably consistent so far...just noise level differences...

[Ji]

So far, it's early.  Euro is almost exactly the same 66 hours.  This is precip/surface map only.  H5 lags significantly for some reason on sv.  will peep that baja wave in a sec

Baja low a tik east

[Eskimo Joe]

1 minute ago, Amped said:

Euro AI showing even more CAD than the PD2 somehow. Wedge extends all the way down to west GA.

Classic signal for a significant to major east coast snowfall.

[Ji]

Remarkably consistent so far...just noise level differences...

It’s an adult model

[stormtracker]

Seeing some slight changes at h5...up top the s/w is a bit more elongated toward the west, slightly higher ridging out west

[DDweatherman]

We need this one, love what the AI’s are spitting out and their consistency. They’ve performed quite well lately, so to see where they sit at this juncture can’t be bad. Like seeing the UKMET join them. I’d argue that model does really well at these leads at showing a solution that is close to actual sometimes…before it bounces around like a pinball machine. 

[stormtracker]

Ok, 111, expansive area of precip blossoming over Tx and the rockies 

[Ji]

Euro runs so slow at night

[stormtracker]

Tired of typing

[Amped]

4 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Classic signal for a significant to major east coast snowfall.

Good, hopefully all models lock on to the solution tomorrow and we can have ku with a low stress week.

[stormtracker]

[bncho]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Can't tell whether it's better, I wanna say yes?

[stormtracker]

mod to heavy snow at 150...seems like a quick hitter?

[Ji]

Looks like 18z

Those graphics man. You still have a Commodore 64?

[Ji]

mod to heavy snow at 150...seems like a quick hitter?

Uuuugh

[stormtracker]

Heaviest panel

[stormtracker]

starts at 141, leaving at 162

[Maestrobjwa]

2 minutes ago, Ji said:

Looks like 18z

Those graphics man. You still have a Commodore 64?

It's like yeah you get the panels quicker, but...the quality of product is another matter, hahaha

[bncho]

when we're talking about 21 hour storms as "slow" then you know we have potential

[stormtracker]

Anyway, don't have the snow maps.   SV fucking up with that tnt

[Ji]

Heaviest panel

Euro seemed to struggle more bringing out Baja low

[Eskimo Joe]

Just now, bncho said:

when we're talking about 21 hour storms as "slow" then you know we have potential

Cold powder snow on the weekend with plenty of wiggle room. Where do I sign?