January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[TSSN+]

4 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

That's a beast on the Icon at 180 imho.

Ya that h5 is not cut off or crushed like other models in previous runs. More back to what gfs had a few runs ago. 

[baltosquid]

CAMs suggest some localized snows tomorrow on the backend of today's storm. Maybe someone can luck out and get some measurable stuff.

[stormtracker]

8 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

That's a beast on the Icon at 180 imho.

Wanna believe that would be good extrapolated, but I mean....2026. Mid Atlantic

[TSSN+]

3 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Wanna believe that would be good extrapolated, but I mean....2026. Mid Atlantic

We will find out if it has any legs here soon when gfs get out that far. 

[TSSN+]

So far h5 looks a bit sw of 6z. Hopefully helps with it being able to dig and turn sooner 

[stormtracker]

Just now, TSSN+ said:

So far h5 looks a bit sw of 6z. Hopefully helps with it being able to dig and turn sooner 

Lead us on.  I’m at a work thing and I’m not doing pbp on this damn phone. 

[TSSN+]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Lead us on.  I’m at a work thing and I’m not doing pbp on this damn phone. 

Will do. 

[Eskimo Joe]

 

[LP08]

Gfs looking good for next week through 108

[TSSN+]

So far this run is closer to 0z than 6z hopefully that continues. H5 thru 114 looks decent. 

[bncho]

Very similar to 0z at the surface

[TSSN+]

This thing about to go off. lol bring it home!

[TSSN+]

Folks?

 

[stormtracker]

Yeah. I peeked. It’s doing a thing.   Waiting to see full impact 

[bncho]

Just now, TSSN+ said:

This thing about to go off. lol bring it home!

very similar to 0z, thanks for the excellent PBP

[TSSN+]

Just now, bncho said:

very similar to 0z, thanks for the excellent PBP

I somehow got good at seeing h5 progression over the last few years. Haha. 

[LP08]

I81 west smoked and into northern MD. Near the cities start as some rain

[stormtracker]

lol. Snow maps.  It’s too warm on the plain.  At first.  Hahahaha. But we do get accumulations.   And it’s pretty good.  Just more n and w

[Blizzard of 93]

[Eskimo Joe]

Closed 500 low in Tennessee trying to go negative tilt is a great thing to see.

[Eskimo Joe]

This is likely a paste bomb with temps crashing.

[stormtracker]

It’s an area wide shellacking. 

[Blizzard of 93]

Heavy snow at 138

[bncho]

It's 12+" DC and points NW!

[Paleocene]

Bazinga

[Eskimo Joe]

FOLKS 

[stormtracker]

[baltosquid]

This thing ain't ready to have a ceiling put on it. Who says ops can't lead the way?

[Blizzard of 93]

Continues at 141

[bncho]

FOLKS!