TellicoWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago OK goofus...time to either full send to Detroit or Miami lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Golf757075 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 9 minutes ago, TellicoWx said: Icon didn't kick the Baja low...more pieces came thru. Precip shield would be more on the north side than shown looking at upper air moisture. Waves riding may be a better outcome than a full send of the Baja low. I hope the low get kicks out lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Maybe this is the models way of rooting for the National Championship..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, Golf757075 said: I hope the low get kicks out lol Full send would equal a bigger storm but also put cutting on the table possibly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Goofy on crack is off to the races...biggest thing I'm interested in it is if it losses a LP into the OH valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Golf757075 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 9 minutes ago, TellicoWx said: Full send would equal a bigger storm but also put cutting on the table possibly But still need enough qpf for winter weather lol further north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I'm not even sure what i just watched with the GFS Ai..1005 LP in North TX the backs up in to CO, then followed by 3 1005 LPs (1 in KY, 1 along Gulf, 1 still in CO) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scottie16 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago GFS is.. something.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 0z GFS.....is trying hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Anyone buying the big dry air donut over TN...somehow the moisture feed stops at the western border but gets going again east of Apps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Oh, wait...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scottie16 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Anyone buying the big dry air donut over TN...somehow the moisture feed stops at the western border but gets going again east of Apps?Not buying it. Also not buying the once in a lifetime ice storm in Texas.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago What in the flying flippty bleep is the GFS smoking...raging ice storm under a 1038 HP in TX...the great lakes apparently will feed dry air from a HP to its west..and then boom the moisture train rides again..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago At 114, the GEM has a 1055 high over the top of the system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago GFS just snowing for days over the deep south isn't normally likely, but for the second time in less than 12 months Florida counties had verified winter storm warning level snow, so anything is possible, especially if we (the forum region in large part) are missing out mostly on those runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scottie16 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago CMC coming in different.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted 56 minutes ago Share Posted 56 minutes ago at 132...full blown winter storm on the GEM and similar to the GEFS. I think suppression w/ that big high is the concern so far. I can't decide what to be worried about...haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted 56 minutes ago Share Posted 56 minutes ago You guys starting to get the feeling the North Pole tis trying to go to war with the STJ, and models are in complete mayhem mode? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wurbus Posted 55 minutes ago Share Posted 55 minutes ago GEM brings that baja low inland while GFS just keeps it off shore for days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted 54 minutes ago Share Posted 54 minutes ago 2 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said: at 132...full blown winter storm on the GEM and similar to the GEFS. I think suppression w/ that big high is the concern so far. I can't decide what to be worried about...haha. What i expected GFS to look like before it short circuited Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted 52 minutes ago Share Posted 52 minutes ago The GFS hopefully does not score a coup but it’s a complete train wreck anymore. It’s as bad as our govt. is running. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted 52 minutes ago Share Posted 52 minutes ago At this point, I think we take a bit of a suppressed system at this point. Once those systems jog north of us on modeling, they are tough to get back south. I suspect those big highs will either verify too big OR they will produce a storm along the front, and significant at that. I definitely didn't expect a southward jog at 0z. Let's see where other modeling goes. Pretty huge run by the GEM..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted 50 minutes ago Share Posted 50 minutes ago Think large chunks of the southern US power grid just went down on the GEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 50 minutes ago Author Share Posted 50 minutes ago I'm curious to see if the Euro Ai changes much at all. It's not given to huge shifts once things get to around 120 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted 50 minutes ago Share Posted 50 minutes ago 4 minutes ago, TellicoWx said: You guys starting to get the feeling the North Pole tis trying to go to war with the STJ, and models are in complete mayhem mode? Yeah…GEM at hour 132 shows temps of -20 in N IL, -30 around MSP, and -40 in ND. I know this model tends to overdo cold…but yikes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted 45 minutes ago Share Posted 45 minutes ago 6 minutes ago, beavis1729 said: Yeah…GEM at hour 132 shows temps of -20 in N IL, -30 around MSP, and -40 in ND. I know this model tends to overdo cold…but yikes. When you start parking 1050+ HP on top of an active STJ, models will start shorting out. Rare anamolies such as that are not in their wiring so to speak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scottie16 Posted 34 minutes ago Share Posted 34 minutes ago . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted 32 minutes ago Share Posted 32 minutes ago So all 3 global models so far have MBY in the 6"-8" roughly range...not sure if that's a good thing at this range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted 30 minutes ago Share Posted 30 minutes ago 3 minutes ago, Scottie16 said: . If globals are to be believed, that is in line with the range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted 27 minutes ago Share Posted 27 minutes ago Looks like UKie is going to try to join the party maybe 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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