Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26

[MikeB_01]

2 hours ago, Ahoff said:

Do we think we're getting below 0 tonight?  Seems too cloudy to me, at least right now.

 

i think it will get there. Where the clouds have cleared over ohio, the temps are plummeting. just need to get the stubborn clouds to move out. If you check the satellite imagery, they are moving. 

[colonel717]

All models tonight show trough becoming more west oriented for the weekend storm. Still not affecting us but this has been our winter and it just wants to snow here so I wouldn't be surprised if things trend our way to at least a 6+ storm 

[RitualOfTheTrout]

Couldn't have asked for a better day after the storm yesterday. Deep cold and on and off mood flakes / fresh coatings.

Looks like another round of light snow today, probably a coating to an inch type deal.

Weekend threat isn't dead, but odds are low for any impact here. NWS take on the situation:

In one scenario, the upper low occludes earlier (Friday into
Saturday), forcing surface cyclogenesis tighter to the coast. In
this scenario, there may be ascent in the northwest quadrant of
the low and the potential for frontogenetical banding (highest
probability in western/central PA and northern WV). Using a
quick probability of 0.15" QPF (approx 3" of snow at 20:1), this
would produce ~60% chance of at least advisory snows. Though
this scenario is around 25% likely overall.

In the other scenario, the trough either does not produce a
closed low or produces a closed low too late and off the
Atlantic coast. This would produce cyclogenesis too far east,
only resulting in a ~10% chance of advisory snows. This scenario
is 75% likely overall.

[TimB]

11 hours ago, Ahoff said:

Do we think we're getting below 0 tonight?  Seems too cloudy to me, at least right now.

 

I’d question whether we “officially” get below zero any mornings other than Friday and Saturday, which look like slam dunks, but even those don’t look like spectacular radiational cooling nights. We just don’t do radiational cooling well in this region in general due to cloud cover, but the airport does it especially poorly.

[Burghblizz]

Down to 1 degree IMBY this morning with a 14” snowpack. These are the good old days. 

[PghPirates27]

-0.4 IMBY this morning can feel that cold air in my lungs when I open the door. Hits differently.