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October Obs 2025


yotaman
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I know this sub-forum is mostly made up of North Carolina folk, but living in Tallahassee it's the closest I've got.

We're currently under a severe drought after the 3rd driest September on record at TLH. Only ~0.5" of rain fell in September, which came at the end of the month on one day from one thunderstorm. There isn't any drenching rainfall expected in the next week or so, though scattered rainfall chances at least increase with a bit more southerly flow this weekend and early next week.

Heading into our "dry" season, it could be an early start to the wildfire season as well. We might need a tropical system to really make a dent in the drought here across the Florida Panhandle, only at 10-20% of our normal rainfall in the past 30 days.

 

Screenshot_20251004-100408.thumb.png.4428d17af23b3705eda1c1eabe3efb7e.png

2075434629_chart(3).thumb.png.8a97136344ec0b7deeb3e9a302ae6b3d.png

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16 minutes ago, Newman said:

I know this sub-forum is mostly made up of North Carolina folk, but living in Tallahassee it's the closest I've got.

We're currently under a severe drought after the 3rd driest September on record at TLH. Only ~0.5" of rain fell in September, which came at the end of the month on one day from one thunderstorm. There isn't any drenching rainfall expected in the next week or so, though scattered rainfall chances at least increase with a bit more southerly flow this weekend and early next week.

Heading into our "dry" season, it could be an early start to the wildfire season as well. We might need a tropical system to really make a dent in the drought here across the Florida Panhandle, only at 10-20% of our normal rainfall in the past 30 days.

 

Screenshot_20251004-100408.thumb.png.4428d17af23b3705eda1c1eabe3efb7e.png

2075434629_chart(3).thumb.png.8a97136344ec0b7deeb3e9a302ae6b3d.png

 I’m in the SAV area. It’s pretty amazing how fast it has changed here. After ~17” of rain in August and water tables through the roof, I got only ~1” in Sept and see that the map you posted already has me in yellow.

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 I’m getting some light to moderate showers that are moving W from off the ocean. First rain of the month. The forecast is for scattered showers to continue to occur in the area through the remainder of the night and through tomorrow. There could be a few thunderstorms tomorrow afternoon.

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 Followup to above post:

Followup: rain became moderate to even heavy at times and more continuous the last few hours including some heavy rain in a thunderstorm a little while ago. But so far there’s been no flooding in my location as the totals appear to be no more than 1” so far. Now the precip. elements are moving more SE to NW.

This FFW was released, mainly for N and W parts of my county as my area hasn’t had the 2-3” referenced:

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
FLASH FLOOD WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC  
1121 AM EDT SUN OCT 5 2025  

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A  

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...  
CHATHAM COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...  

* UNTIL 215 PM EDT.  

* AT 1121 AM EDT, DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING  
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. BETWEEN 2 AND 3 INCHES OF RAIN  
HAVE FALLEN. FLASH FLOODING IS ONGOING OR EXPECTED TO BEGIN  
SHORTLY.  

HAZARD...FLASH FLOODING CAUSED BY THUNDERSTORMS.  

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.  

IMPACT...FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS, URBAN  
AREAS, HIGHWAYS, STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS  
OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AND LOW-LYING AREAS.  

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING INCLUDE...  
POOLER, I-16/I-95 INTERCHANGE, SAVANNAH INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT,  
GODLEY STATION, HUNTER ARMY AIRFIELD, DOWNTOWN SAVANNAH, GARDEN  
CITY, PORT WENTWORTH, BLOOMINGDALE AND MEINHARD.  

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IS OCCURRING ACROSS NORTHERN CHATHAM COUNTY. THE  
SAVANNAH INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT MEASURED 1.53 INCHES IN AN HOUR AND  
OTHER AUTOMATED RAIN GAUGES IN THE AREA HAVE MEASURED NEARLY 3  
INCHES OF RAIN SO FAR TODAY.

@buckeyefan1please pin. TIA

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