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Fall 2025 WX Discussion Thread


Carvers Gap
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I drove up to about 3000' on the Cherohala Skyway on summer tires in my GTI during that 2014 snow. I still have a bunch of pictures of it somewhere. I couldn't comfortably drive any further towards the NC line, but I think there was 3-4" on the ground at that elevation and it was still coming down. Super windy and cold too.

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The 12z Euro is leading the way on this 9-10th system.  I can't say that gives me a lot of comfort as I have grown to trust the GFS in handling systems a bit better over the SE.  I would guess this might amp up as we get closer and IF the system continues to create this type of energy in the lee of the Apps.

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The Euro is a bit deeper with this.  The GFS deterministic is still further north but trending south.  Interestingly, the GEFS lockstep with the Euro.  Either way, this is a quick cold shot which means business.  If the winter remembers what happens in November, we should see this reoccur.

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