2025-2026 Winter Speculation Thread

[Met1985]

My opinion at this point is we have a lot of uncertainty still remaining and obviously all yall pros on here know that. 

The above maps looks good but at this point im very skeptical.  The PDO just hit a 170 year old record at -4 but what does that say about the pac? Will that go back up? 

I think we have a lot of volatility on the board also and a lot of unknowns with the global climate and weather pattern. 

I do agree that a more neutral ENSO is best for us and our general areas. Too much blocking is bad, and not enough blocking is bad and depending on thread the needle situations are always either great or heartbreaking.  I have seen that the global temperature from last year to this year has cooled significantly in the big scheme of things. So that has to be a good sign right? 

I'm definitely looking forward to this winter and seeing how it plays out. I know already the first of August has been an absolute treat. Haven't hit 80 yet at the house. I'm hoping we see a bit of an early start to Fall or at least an early cold blast. 

[WintryMixmaster]

Hi everyone! I've lived in Knoxville for the past 4 years and I've read this board during every snowstorm - growing up, I got into weather watching Nor'Easters hit (and sometimes miss) my backyard, slowly learning more about the model strengths and weaknesses and making forecasts for myself. I had forgotten much of my weather knowledge from back in the day but I always appreciated the insights and passion from everyone on this forum as I've revived my own passion for weather. I've learned a lot about what ingredients we need here to get snow here, and how much harder it is to thread that needle than I'm used to!

For those of you who have lived in East Tennessee for much longer than I have, I'm curious about what you consider to be the "average" snowfall for Knoxville. I think I've seen it brought up that some of the very old TYS data has some missing/inaccurate totals, but online I've seen both 4.6 and 6.0 inches reported as the average. Do those seem about right? Sorry if this is a bit off-topic, I think it just gives me some useful perspective for the winter speculation.