WinstonSalemArlington Posted December 23, 2025 Share Posted December 23, 2025 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2025 Share Posted December 23, 2025 25 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: This is exactly what I've been talking about this week. We've seen this time and time again. And especially on the EURO We've seen even colder solutions in the mid range. Some people are gullible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2025 Share Posted December 23, 2025 Whiplash anyone!Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2025 Share Posted December 23, 2025 EPS supports the Euro and that's not a really warm look in the long range.Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2025 Share Posted December 23, 2025 The old 10-15 day EPS rolled into the new 7-12 day forecast from the EPS. Again and again we've seen this especially this season and yes I'll die on this hill. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted December 23, 2025 Share Posted December 23, 2025 Hopium back in the forums? I’m all for the cold but PLEASE let those that have been snow starved finally Cash in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2025 Share Posted December 23, 2025 Just now, WNC_Fort said: Hopium back in the forums? I’m all for the cold but PLEASE let those that have been snow starved finally Cash in Ain't no hopium about it. Never a guarantee for snow especially yall that live in a snow hole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted December 23, 2025 Share Posted December 23, 2025 I don’t think that it’s an exaggeration to say that today’s Euro Weeklies colder changes in the aggregate for the E US are at least near the largest I can recall this entire season with 4 of the 5 weeks notably colder and only the other (Jan 5th-11th) staying about the same (pretty mild). If you want to look specifically at the big changes in the ecmwf in-house maps, themselves, vs yesterday, you can go here to the main ENSO thread: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 23, 2025 Author Share Posted December 23, 2025 But what will they say next run? The variability is crazy this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2025 Share Posted December 23, 2025 5 minutes ago, wncsnow said: But what will they say next run? The variability is crazy this year. We are seeing a trend though to colder and much colder. It's a trend not just one run. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted December 23, 2025 Share Posted December 23, 2025 Well, well, well… 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 23, 2025 Author Share Posted December 23, 2025 2 minutes ago, Met1985 said: We are seeing a trend though to colder and much colder. It's a trend not just one run. Not on the Weeklies. Its been above average to below average to above average to average 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted December 23, 2025 Share Posted December 23, 2025 44 minutes ago, Met1985 said: The old 10-15 day EPS rolled into the new 7-12 day forecast from the EPS. Again and again we've seen this especially this season and yes I'll die on this hill. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk We’ve seen it since at least mid July 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted December 23, 2025 Share Posted December 23, 2025 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2025 Share Posted December 23, 2025 16 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Not on the Weeklies. Its been above average to below average to above average to average Mmmm did you not see Larry's post? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted December 23, 2025 Share Posted December 23, 2025 New Year’s Eve Eve 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted December 23, 2025 Share Posted December 23, 2025 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 23, 2025 Author Share Posted December 23, 2025 7 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Mmmm did you not see Larry's post? The Weeklies literally just had a run of above average for the month of January a few days ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted December 23, 2025 Share Posted December 23, 2025 Eric Webb publicly repents Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted December 23, 2025 Share Posted December 23, 2025 I like Bam’s thinking the most. If you didn’t watch today’s LR video on YouTube, give it a watch. This is likely to be transient warmth followed by transient cold we’re seeing show up. @wncsnowis spot on with Bam’s comments. The pattern isn’t supportive for sustained cold + moisture (right now). I still think we need to move the Aleutian pig before that comes. Luckily, as we move past that week 2 period of Jan, we may finally get the help we need in that department with some tropical forcing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted December 23, 2025 Share Posted December 23, 2025 For what it’s worth, Cosgrove and Bam are in the same boat. Cosgrove has been saying look out for mid-late Jan since early fall. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted December 23, 2025 Share Posted December 23, 2025 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 23, 2025 Share Posted December 23, 2025 2 hours ago, GaWx said: I don’t think that it’s an exaggeration to say that today’s Euro Weeklies colder changes in the aggregate for the E US are at least near the largest I can recall this entire season with 4 of the 5 weeks notably colder and only the other (Jan 5th-11th) staying about the same (pretty mild). If you want to look specifically at the big changes in the ecmwf in-house maps, themselves, vs yesterday, you can go here to the main ENSO thread: @wncsnow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted December 23, 2025 Share Posted December 23, 2025 Dr Jonathan Wall has reposted his classic Tweet 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted December 23, 2025 Share Posted December 23, 2025 Ahh. The sweet smell of hopium has returned to the forum. Nature is healing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 24, 2025 Author Share Posted December 24, 2025 14 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Ahh. The sweet smell of hopium has returned to the forum. Nature is healing I remember a time when the skies needed to heal before it could snow 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 24, 2025 Author Share Posted December 24, 2025 31 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: Dr Jonathan Wall has reposted his classic Tweet There's Jan 2022 showing up again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted December 24, 2025 Author Share Posted December 24, 2025 On 12/20/2025 at 3:54 PM, GaWx said: Today’s Euro Weeklies weeks all trended warmer than yesterday and AN for most of the US. No trending toward a +PNA mid-Jan like yesterday. Yesterday’s had NN in SE 1/12-2/1. One of the worst runs this season and hopefully coming days will reverse. @Met1985 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 24, 2025 Share Posted December 24, 2025 Its on like Donkey Kong now!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 24, 2025 Share Posted December 24, 2025 11 minutes ago, wncsnow said: @Met1985 So you're saying the weeklies are volatile? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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