Roger Smith Posted March 25 Author Share Posted March 25 Above (meaning previously on page two) see scoring for March 2025 and eventually annual scoring update. Further back in Feb portion of thread, snowfall contest details have been updated to March 31st. Below, post your April forecasts ... anyone new thinking of entering, see original post for details (Jan contest). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scotty Lightning Posted March 28 Share Posted March 28 April DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 1.5 1.5 0.5 1.5 0.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 April DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 1.2 1.7 1.5 0.2 1.9 1.8 0.9 1.8 0.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxallannj Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 April DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA -0.5 -0.7 -0.5 -0.4 0.5 0.5 0.2 2.1 1.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA -0.2 -0.2 0.3 -0.4 1.3 1.3 0.7 1.0 0.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA +1.1 +1.3 +1.3 +0.7 +1.1 +1.3 +0.9 +1.6 +0.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 DCA: +1.0 NYC: +1.0 BOS: +1.0 ORD: +1.0 ATL: +2.0 IAH: +2.5 DEN: +2.0 PHX: +1.5 SEA: +2.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 April DCA: -1.3 NYC: -1.8 BOS: -1.6 ORD: -0.7 ATL: +1.6 IAH: +1.1 DEN: +1.7 PHX: +1.9 SEA: +0.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA -0.3 -0.8 -0.1 -2.4 1.1 0.6 -1.3 -0.6 0.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 Thanks for doing it Roger. April DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH __ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.2 2.1 1.6 2.1 2.7 1.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted April 1 Author Share Posted April 1 -0.3 _ -0.5 _ -0.7 __ -0.5 _ +2.0 _ +2.5 __ -1.0 _ +2.7 __ 0.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA +1.2 +1.1 +.8 +.9 +1.1 +1.2 +.8 +2.1 +.4 Sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 DCA: -0.8 NYC: -0.2 BOS: -0.4 ORD: -0.5 ATL: +0.2 IAH: +1.4 DEN: +1.2 PHX: +1.5 SEA: +0.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted April 3 Author Share Posted April 3 Forecasts for April 2025 FORECASTER _____________________ DCA _NYC _BOS __ORD _ATL _IAH __DEN _PHX _SEA StormchaserChuck _______________ +1.7 _+1.8 _+1.6 __ +1.2 _ +2.1 _+1.6 __+2.1 _+2.7 _+1.0 Scotty Lightning __________________ +1.5 _+1.0 _+1.0 __ +0.5 _+1.5 _+1.5 __+0.5 _+1.5 _+0.5 hudsonvalley21 ____________________+1.2 _+1.7 _+1.5 __ +0.2 _+1.9 _+1.8 __+0.9 _+1.8 _+0.1 so_whats_happening ______________+1.2 _ +1.1 _ +0.8 __+0.9 _+1.1 _ +1.2 __+0.8 _+2.1 _+0.4 Tom _______________________________ +1.1 _ +1.3 _ +1.3 __+0.7 _ +1.1 _+1.3 __+0.9 _+1.6 _+0.7 RJay _______________________________+1.0 _+1.0 _+1.0 __ +1.0 _+2.0 _+2.5 __+2.0 _+1.5 _+2.0 ___ Consensus _________________+0.4 _+0.4_+0.7__-0.1 _+1.4 _+1.4__+0.9 _+1.7_+0.5 ___ Normal _________________________ 0.0 __ 0.0 __0.0 ___ 0.0 __0.0 __0.0 ___0.0 __ 0.0 _ 0.0 DonSutherland1 ___________________ -0.2 _-0.2 _+0.3 __-0.4 _+1.3 _+1.3 __+0.7 _+1.0 _+0.4 Roger Smith _______________________ -0.3 _-0.5 _-0.7 __ -0.5 _+2.0 _+2.5 __-1.0 _+2.7 _ 0.0 RodneyS __________________________ -0.3 _-0.8 _-0.1 __ -2.4 _ +1.1 _ +0.6 __-1.3 _-0.6 _+0.8 wxallannj___________________________-0.5 _-0.7 _-0.5 __ -0.4 _+0.5 _+0.5 __+0.2 _+2.1 _+1.8 BKViking ___________________________-0.8 _-0.2 _-0.4 __ -0.5 _+0.2 _+1.4 __+1.2 _+1.5 _+0.5 wxdude64 _________________________ -1.3 _ -1.8 _ -1.6 __ -0.7 _+1.6 _+1.1 ___+1.7 _+1.9 _+0.4 ______ Persistence (Mar 2025) _____________+6.7 _+4.1 _+4.0 __+5.4 _+3.6 _+4.6 __+4.2 _+1.5 __0.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted April 16 Author Share Posted April 16 Anomalies to mid-April and projections ... __________________________ DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH __ DEN _ PHX _ SEA ___ (anom Apr 1-15) _____+1.1 __ -2.0 _ -1.3 ___ -1.6 _ +3.3 _ +3.1 __ +1.2 _ +3.3 _ +1.0 ___ (anom Apr 1-25) ____ +3.3 __+1.0 _+1.3 ___+0.8 _ +4.2 _+4.4 __+1.1 _ +2.2 _ +1.3 ___ (p anom Apr 1-30) __+3.5 __+1.5 __+1.5 ___+1.5 _ +4.0 _ +4.0 __+1.5 _ +2.5 _ +1.5 ___ final anomalies ______+3.5 __+1.6__+2.2 ___+1.1 _ +4.5 _ +4.5 __+1.7 _ +1.4 _ +0.8 3rd __ DEN and PHX now finally updated ... IAH is an est based on regional data 29-30. note: so far, , DEN and PHX are all only to 27th or 28th and have no data available for last few days. ... the rest of these anomalies are confirmed to end of April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted April 16 Author Share Posted April 16 _ Final scoring for April 2025 _ ... ATL scores for ATL are based on max-60 rule modified to preserve differentials. FORECASTER _________________ DCA_NYC_BOS_east_ORD_ATL_IAH_ cent _ c/e __ DEN_PHX_SEA_west___ TOTALS StormchaserChuck _____________ 64 _ 96 _ 88 __ 248 __ 98 _ 60 _ 42 __200 _ 448 __92 _ 74 _ 96 __262 ____ 710 RJay ____________________________ 50 _ 88 _ 76 __ 214 __ 98 _ 58 _ 60 __ 216 _ 430 __ 94 _ 98 _ 76 __ 268 ____ 698 hudsonvalley21 _________________ 54 _ 98 _ 86 __ 238 __ 82 _ 56 _ 46 __ 184 _ 422 __ 84 _ 92 _ 86 __ 262 ____ 684 Tom _____________________________52 _ 94 _ 82 __ 228 __92 _ 40 _ 36 __ 168 _ 396 ___84 _ 96 _ 98 __ 278 ____ 674 Scotty Lightning ________________ 60 _ 88 _ 76 __ 224 __ 88 _ 48 _ 40 __ 176 _ 400 __ 76 _ 98 _ 94 __ 268 ____ 668 so_whats_happening ___________ 54 _ 90 _ 72 __ 216 __ 96 _ 40 _ 34 __ 170 _ 386 __ 82 _ 86 _ 92 __ 260 ____ 646 ___ Consensus _________________38 _ 76 _ 70 __ 184 __ 76 _ 46 _ 38 __ 160 _ 344 __ 84 _ 94 _ 94 __ 272 ____ 616 DonSutherland1 _________________ 26 _ 64 _ 62 __ 152 __ 70 _ 44 _ 36 __ 150 __ 302 __ 80 _ 92 _ 92 __264 ____ 566 BKViking ________________________ 14 _ 64 _ 48 __ 126 __ 68 _ 22 _ 38 __ 128 __ 254 __ 90 _ 98 _ 94 __282 ____ 536 Roger Smith _____________________ 24 _ 58 _ 42 __ 124 __ 68 _ 58 _ 60 __ 186 _ 310 __ 46 _ 74 _ 84 __ 204 ____ 516 wxdude64 _______________________04 _ 32 _ 24 __ 060 __ 64 _ 50 _ 32 __ 146 _ 206 __100 _90 _ 92 __ 282 ____ 488 ___ Normal _______________________30 _ 68 _ 56 __ 154 __ 78 _ 18 _ 10 __ 106 __ 260 __ 66 _ 72 _ 84 __ 222 ____ 482 wxallannj_________________________20 _ 54 _ 46 __ 120 __ 70 _ 28 _ 20 __ 118 __ 238 __ 70 _ 86 _ 80 __ 236 ____474 RodneyS ________________________ 24 _ 52 _ 54 __ 130 __ 30 _ 40 _ 22 __ 092 __222 __ 40 _ 60 _100 __200 ____422 ______ Persistence (Mar 2025) __________36 _ 50 _ 64 __ 150 __ 14 _ 90 _ 98 __ 202 _ 352 __ 50 _ 98 _ 84 __ 232 ____ 584 =================== Extreme forecast report DCA, ORD, BOS, ATL, IAH, are wins for highest forecasts, based on preliminary estimates ... StormchaserChuck would take DCA, NYC, ORD (tied with RJay) and ATL for 3.5 net. RJay (net 1.0) and Roger Smith (net 0.5) share IAH. NYC _ at +1.6, hudsonvalley21 takes a win and StormchaserChuck a loss. Persistence does not participate but would have won ATL and IAH by a small margin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted April 20 Author Share Posted April 20 === ::: [] <<<<<<< Annual Scoring for 2025 >>>>>>> [] ::: === FORECASTER _________ DCA_NYC_BOS__east__ORD_ATL_IAH _ cent _ c/e _ DEN_PHX_SEA__ west __TOTALS ___ Consensus _______ 239 _286 _272 __797__280 _300 _230_810 _1607 _ 207 _244 _280__731 ___2338 hudsonvalley21 _______ 223 _288 _300 __ 811 __226 _300 _241 __769__1578 __234 _222 _270__726 ___2304 so_whats_happening __269 _306 _236 __ 811 __272 _306 _231 __809 _ 1620 __196 _180 _300__ 676 ___2296 Tom ___________________241 _280 _276 __ 797 __ 288 _230 _248 __766 _ 1563 __262 _236 _218__ 716 ___2279 RJay __________________ 249 _340 _316 __905 __ 306 _306 _ 221 __ 833 _1738 __ 163 _172 _204__ 539 ___2277 BKViking ______________ 181 _258 _230 __ 669 __292 _290 _225 __807 _ 1476 __253 _224 _274__ 751 ___2227 wxallannj ______________217 _258 _264 __ 739 __308 _226 _212 __746 _1485 __ 232 _234 _259__ 725 ___2210 Scotty Lightning _______264 _270 _216 __ 750 __213 _202 _ 220 __ 635 _ 1385 __167 _276 _270__ 713 ___2098 DonSutherland1 _______ 171 _234 _236 __ 641 __240 _262 _198 __ 700 _ 1341 __ 213 _230 _296__ 739 ___2080 StormchaserChuck ___ 241 _256 _236 __ 733 __200 _290 _ 175 __ 665 _ 1398 __229 _208 _223__660___2058 wxdude64 _____________184 _226 _212 __ 622 __ 224_ 254 _196 __ 686 _ 1296 __235 _244 _260__739___2035 RodneyS ______________ 212 _218 _234 __ 664 __ 172 _202 _184 __ 558 _ 1222 __145 _248 _338__ 731 ___ 1953 Roger Smith ___________204 _248 _228 __680 __ 248 _242 _212 __702 _ 1382 __ 106 _168 _271__ 545 ____1927 ___ Normal _____________144 _220 _232 __ 596 __ 194 _082 _085 ___361 __ 957 __190 _242 _270__ 702 ___1659 maxim (2/4) ___________ 180 _ 152 _164 __ 496 ___ 96_ 120 _ 082 __ 298 __ 794 __ 92 _ 90 _ 135__ 317 ____ 1111 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -- prorated total ... 2222 Persistence ______________90 _186 _250 __ 526 ___112 _180 _154 __ 446 _ 972 __ 62 _ 98 _ 210 __ 370 ____1342 ____________________________ _____ __ Best scores __ ^ incl tied for best score * incl 3 tied for best score ________________________ DCA_NYC_BOS__east__ORD_ATL_IAH_cent_c/e _ DEN_PHX_SEA__west__ TOTALS ___ Consensus ________ 0 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 __ 0 __ 1 ___ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 _____ 0 hudsonvalley21 _________ 0 __ 1* __ 2 ___ 0 ___ 0 __ 1 __ 1* ___0 __ 0 ___ 1^__ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 so_whats_happening ___ 0 __ 1 __ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 __ 1 __ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1 ___ 1^ __ 1^ __ 1 ___ 2 _____ 0 Tom _____________________ 0 __ 1*__ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1 __ 0 __ 1 ___ 1 ___0 ___ 0 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 ____ 1 __ Mar RJay ____________________ 0 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 ___ 2*__ 0 __ 1 *___ 1 __ 0 ___ 0 __ 1*__ 0 ___0 ____ 0 BKViking ________________0 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 __ 1 __ 0 ___ 2 __ 1 ____ 1 ___ 1*__ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 wxallannj _______________ 0 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 Scotty Lightning ________2^__ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 __ 0 __ 1 ____0 __ 0 ___ 0 __ 2*___1 ___ 0 ____ 0 Don Sutherland 1 ________0 __ 1^__ 1^____ 0 ___ 0 __ 1 ___0 ___ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 __ 1^__ 0 ___ 0 ____ 0 StormchaserChuck ______1 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 2*__ 1 __ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 ___ 1 ___ 0 ___ 0 __0 ___ 1 ____ 0 _Apr wxdude64 ______________ 0 __ 0 __ 1^___ 1 ___ 0 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 __ 0 ___ 1 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 _____ 1 _ Jan RodneyS ________________ 0 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 __ 0 __ 1* __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 __ 1 __ 2 ____ 1 _____0 Roger Smith _____________ 1^ __ 2^__ 1 ___ 1 ___ 1 ___1 __ 2**__0 __ 1 ___ 0 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 ____ 1 _ Feb ___ Normal _______________0 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 ___ 0 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 __ 1 __ 1 ___ 0 ____ 0 maxim ___________________ 1 __ 0 __ 1^___ 0 ___ 0 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 __ 0 ___ 1 __ 1 __ 0 ___ 1 _____ 0 ============================== Extreme forecasts So far, 21 of 36 ... 13 for warmest and 8 for coldest ... Jan 1-4, Feb 1-4, Mar 5-0, Apr 6-0 Forecaster _______________ Jan _ Feb _ Mar _ Apr __ Total ___ adj for ties (*2 tied, ^3 tied) Roger Smith ______________ 0-0 _ 3-1 _ 0-1 _ 1*0 _ 4-2 ___ 3.5 - 2.0 Stormchaser Chuck _______0-0 _0-0 _0-1 _ 4*-2 __ 4-3 ___ 3.5 - 3.0 Scotty Lightning __________ 1-0 _ 0-0 _ 2-0 _ 0-0 __ 3-0 ___3.0 - 0.0 maxim _____________________1^-0_ 0-0 _ 2-0 _ 0-0 __ 3-0 ___2.33-0.0 Rodney S _________________ 2-1 _ 1*-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 __ 3-1 ____2.5 - 1.0 hudsonvalley21 ___________ 1*-0_ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 2-0 __ 3-0 ____2.5 - 0.0 so_whats_happening _____ 1*-0 _1*-0_ 0-0 _ 0-0 __ 2-0 ____1.0 - 0.0 BKViking __________________ 0-0 _ 1-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 __ 1-0 ____1.0 - 0.0 Tom _______________________ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 1-0 _ 0-0 __ 1-0 ____1.0 - 0.0 Don Sutherland ___________ 1^-0_ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 __ 1-0 ____0.33-0.0 wxdude64 _________________1^-0_ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 __ 1-0 ____0.33-0.0 Normal ____________________ 1-0 _ 0-1 _ 1-0 _ 0-0 __ 1-1 ____ 1.0 - 1.0 RJay _______________________ 0-0 _0-0 _0-0 _2**-0 _2-0 ___ 1.0-0.0 ========================================================= 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted April 25 Author Share Posted April 25 ^^ above find scoring for April (to be adjusted at end of April) ... ... below, post May forecasts ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scotty Lightning Posted April 26 Share Posted April 26 May (or May not) DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.5 0.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted Monday at 10:23 PM Share Posted Monday at 10:23 PM May’s Forecast, DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA +0.8 + 0.6 +0.3 +1.4 +1.7 +1.2 +1.8 +2.1 -0.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxallannj Posted Wednesday at 08:35 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:35 AM May’s Forecast, DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA +2.5 + 2.5 +2.5 +3.5 +1.3 +1.2 +1.0 +0.5 +0.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted Wednesday at 01:41 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:41 PM DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.3 0.8 0.9 0.2 -0.8 0.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted Wednesday at 02:15 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:15 PM DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD ___ATL __IAH ____ DEN _ PHX _ SEA +0.6 +0.8 +0.8 +1.1 +0.4 +0.9 +0.8 +0.5 +0.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted Wednesday at 09:32 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 09:32 PM DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD ___ATL __IAH ____ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 1.0 1.0 0.4 -1.8 0.2 0.7 1.0 -0.2 -0.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted Thursday at 02:48 AM Share Posted Thursday at 02:48 AM DCA: +1.8 NYC: +1.9 BOS: +1.7 ORD: +2.1 ATL: +1.4 IAH: +1.1 DEN: +1.5 PHX: +0.5 SEA: +0.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted Thursday at 03:41 AM Share Posted Thursday at 03:41 AM DCA: +1.4 NYC: +1.6 BOS: +1.8 ORD: +2.9 ATL: +0.4 IAH: -0.6 DEN: +1.1 PHX: +0.1 SEA: +1.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted Thursday at 05:43 AM Author Share Posted Thursday at 05:43 AM +1.3 _ +1.4 _ +1.5 _ +1.2 _ +0.7 _ +0.5 _ +2.7 _ +1.0 _ +1.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted Thursday at 05:55 AM Share Posted Thursday at 05:55 AM DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA +1.4 +1.6 +1.7 +1.9 +.5 -.2 +1.5 +.3 +.5 Oh man almost forgot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago DCA: +2.0 NYC: +2.5 BOS: +2.5 ORD: +2.0 ATL: +1.0 IAH: +1.0 DEN: +1.5 PHX: 0.0 SEA: +1.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago DCA: +2.3 NYC: +2.3 BOS: +2.1 ORD: +1.4 ATL: +1.0 IAH: +1.0 DEN: +2.0 PHX: 1.3 SEA: +1.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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