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Aurora Alert


baltosquid
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  • 2 months later...
13 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Realize we are distracted - but decent aurora chance tonight.

yep. Would chase out to reddish knob or spruce knob but I've felt rough with a cold the past couple days. Additionally, I'm aware my productivity will tank for this week if the models don't backpedal. 

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Looks like early nighttime will be the best window for viewing in terms of cloud cover, then we could get blocked at the mid level between ~10 and midnight or so. The CME is impacting now so I’m hoping to be able to catch stuff after sundown if it isn’t oriented badly for big effects. Right now it appears we could get that coveted south Bz but not sure if that will stick in the end or there’s a big parcel of northiness to come that could dampen things.

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1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Damn. Hope we didn’t peak too early. Imagine if this happened after a snowfall… lights reflecting off snow in the mid-Atlantic 

Don’t think we need to be worried about earliness yet. We’re only a couple hours away from it being dark enough to maybe catch some sightings and I don’t think we’re done with the initial shock of this CME. If the CME is all shock and not much behind it yeah could miss out, but it looked like a good one.

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We seem to be encountering the flux rope now. It is starting very north. Insanely north. So that is not good. Would probably quickly turn off the light show. But it could rotate to south, and if it is as hugely south as it is north right now in such a hypothetical, could be crazy. Just don’t know yet. 

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We seem to be encountering the flux rope now. It is starting very north. Insanely north. So that is not good. Would probably quickly turn off the light show. But it could rotate to south, and if it is as hugely south as it is north right now in such a hypothetical, could be crazy. Just don’t know yet. 

Looks like it’s panning out in Europe. Guess we’ll see what happens at sunset. Not sure I’ll be ready to chase until much later tonight.
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It will be a couple hours for it to flip south if it is gonna try to recover. Probably won’t be some ridiculous show like it could have been if the orientation was south -60 instead of north, but 20 or so south in an agitated magnetic field could still give us a show of some kind I hope

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