eaglesin2011 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 15 minutes ago, Rvarookie said: Looks like things are about to come back to reality. Still hopeful for solid storm before the sleet takes over like it always does If anyone really believed 24+ inches then they really are an RVA rookie .. lol Anything over 6+ with sleet is gonna be around here for awhile… 4-8 is just about a lock at this point anything more is a bonus imo… 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 27 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: Here is 18z Ukmet Image Worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 4 minutes ago, SoCoWx said: Y’all all need to take a chill pill, respectfully. . This is always a phase in the tracking process Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 18 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said: If anyone really believed 24+ inches then they really are an RVA rookie .. lol Anything over 6+ with sleet is gonna be around here for awhile… 4-8 is just about a lock at this point anything more is a bonus imo… In 2016 we managed to stay mostly snow. Minor mixing but flipped back to snow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dendrimer77 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 30 minutes ago, ldub23 said: Worse This map is 12Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, Dendrimer77 said: This map is 12Z 18Z got even worse on the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Still a lot of solutions possible but Euro has slowly been trending north. We’ll see if that trend continues 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 3 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: Still a lot of solutions possible but Euro has slowly been trending north. We’ll see if that trend continues some of the individual members on the EPS were genuinely concerning. Not just mixing, but there were a few pure ice storm solutions. I think everyone in this forum would be content with warning level snow --> a couple inches of sleet --> maybe some snow on the backside 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 5 minutes ago, Ephesians2 said: some of the individual members on the EPS were genuinely concerning. Not just mixing, but there were a few pure ice storm solutions. I think everyone in this forum would be content with warning level snow --> a couple inches of sleet --> maybe some snow on the backside That would be more like what we’re accustomed to. Would still like to see the euro stop going north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago I find it hard to believe with the temperatures that have been shown that there will be a major ice storm (freezing rain) in the Richmond area… Down south & the VA Beach area… is a different story … Do I think it may mix for an extended period sure it could but I think it’s going to be mainly sleet (in the Ric area) .. This actually could be a good thing (if its not hours of mixing) it should limit the snow on power lines and trees… Roads & un blocked gutters are another story when the even colder air moves back in… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Not too doom and gloom .I actually agree the N shift is real, Been analyzing the members and operations runs from 0z to 12z to 18z and there were definitely more members now bringing heavy snow to NOVA points north. However still lots showing hits here , just not as solid as earlier. Hopefully will correct back S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago something to watch. Takes so many pieces to come together for us to get a good snow here https://x.com/webberweather/status/2013779357618090201?s=46&t=5gcCLI7v5ivrQOOn6gky6g Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeeng92 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 4 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: something to watch. Takes so many pieces to come together for us to get a good snow here https://x.com/webberweather/status/2013779357618090201?s=46&t=5gcCLI7v5ivrQOOn6gky6g Seems like the seasonal trend has been for these northern stream vorts to deamplify, miss phasing. But this is a different setup so we’ll see. Whoever gets the freezing rain is absolutely screwed with cold air on the backside. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, mikeeng92 said: Seems like the seasonal trend has been for these northern stream vorts to deamplify, miss phasing. But this is a different setup so we’ll see. Whoever gets the freezing rain is absolutely screwed with cold air on the backside. Agree on both comments. This setup is different. Euro has been trending more amped and weaker HP 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 0z looking worse still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago ^ Please stop posting.. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago ICON was pretty good for RIC. Big time mixing in HR. RIC flirts with the mix line. Granted it is the ICON too 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Seconded. The incessant negativity this early in the game is rather draining, and ultimately, it isn’t going to change the eventual outcome at all.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: ICON was pretty good for RIC. Big time mixing in HR. RIC flirts with the mix line. Granted it is the ICON too It looks great for RIC. If the ICON is right a foot+ easy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 14” is good for RVA. Flirts with Snow/Sleet line after initial dump. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB Fins Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Yeah ICON still good for us, as long as the bleeding has stopped on the Euro, will feel pretty good and maybe get some sleep. It’s tough in our little thread, and we only come out when there is a real threat, but between CHO, EZF, ROA, RIC, LYH, NOR and HR as a whole, we have a lot of differences, we are big damn state. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, Conway7305 said: 14” is good for RVA. Flirts with Snow/Sleet line after initial dump. 15-20 for most all of VA except here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eaglesin2011 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 13 minutes ago, JB Fins said: Yeah ICON still good for us, as long as the bleeding has stopped on the Euro, will feel pretty good and maybe get some sleep. It’s tough in our little thread, and we only come out when there is a real threat, but between CHO, EZF, ROA, RIC, LYH, NOR and HR as a whole, we have a lot of differences, we are big damn state. Well said… If you do post at least mention where your from.. Allot of differences .. Richmond is on the line but my belief is that it will be sleet not frz rain in this area… Closer to Hampton Roads /south its definitely a different story there with the precip type.. Hopefully the cold air wins out… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 6 minutes ago, JB Fins said: Yeah ICON still good for us, as long as the bleeding has stopped on the Euro, will feel pretty good and maybe get some sleep. It’s tough in our little thread, and we only come out when there is a real threat, but between CHO, EZF, ROA, RIC, LYH, NOR and HR as a whole, we have a lot of differences, we are big damn state. Definitely can’t complain about 10”+ here even if we mix at the end. Just hoping the north trend on the euro stops 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 0z GFS running, let’s hold the line. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Someone sent me a text that GFS AI was huge for RVA-20" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Gfs definitely won’t be north 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted 51 minutes ago Share Posted 51 minutes ago Will definitely mix, maybe even plain rain near ORF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted 49 minutes ago Share Posted 49 minutes ago Richmond, as always, might be right on the line flirting with the snow/sleet. Solid run though even if we mix 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted 46 minutes ago Share Posted 46 minutes ago AI GFS was great FWIW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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