Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,540
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Gonzalez Brittany
    Newest Member
    Gonzalez Brittany
    Joined

Upstate/Eastern New York-Fall


 Share

Recommended Posts

It's officially meteorological fall! Time for football games, apple crisp, and the leaves to start falling. It looks like we might have another warm fall if NOAA is correct.

I'll reiterate what I said in the other thread. As we get into the busier fall/winter season please send me private message if you would like to join our discord. We have 28 members that joined and its pretty active daily. Lots of great weather discussion happens daily. We kind of decided we would do big storm threads here and day to day weather talk on the discord. Its much easier to post videos/pictures and links compared to this forum. We have a weather channel and a general/OT discussion channel.

/products/predictions/long_range/lead01/off01_temp.gif

/products/predictions/long_range/lead01/off01_prcp.gif

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

JUNE TEMPS
BUF: -0.2
ROC: -0.2
WAT: 0.0
SYR: -1.1
BING: -0.8

JULY TEMPS
BUF: +0.7
ROC: -0.2
WAT: +0.8
SYR: +2.3
BING: +1.5

AUGUST Temps

BUF: +2.3
ROC: +1.8
WAT: +3.1
SYR: +3.9
BING: +3.3

Summer Temps

BUF: +2.8
ROC: +1.4
WAT: +3.9
SYR: +5.1
BING: +4.0

Obviously you have to divide by 3 for the 3 months so 

Average summer departure

BUF: +.93
ROC: +.46
WAT: +1.3
SYR: +1.7
BING: +1.3

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Meteorological Fall has now started across the region. It won't feel like Fall today though, as temperatures will climb to within a few degrees of 80. The Climate Prediction Center suggests that mild weather will dominate this Fall season, as their three month outlook suggests above normal temperatures for the three month Fall season.

weatherstory - 2022-09-02T112811.999.gif

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, wolfie09 said:

Meteorological Fall has now started across the region. It won't feel like Fall today though, as temperatures will climb to within a few degrees of 80. The Climate Prediction Center suggests that mild weather will dominate this Fall season, as their three month outlook suggests above normal temperatures for the three month Fall season.

weatherstory - 2022-09-02T112811.999.gif

Good lets keep those lakes warm for an epic December. :mapsnow:

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

A strong mid-level trough will drop out of central Canada and cross
the Great Lakes from Wednesday afternoon through Thursday night. As
this trough tracks across these areas, it will deepen, and a strong
sfc low will develop out ahead of the trough. With the developing sfc
low, a trailing cold front will begin to cross the Great Lakes,
including the Buffalo forecast area. Model guidance is all over with
the timing of the crossing for this strong cold front, from anywhere
from the early morning on Thursday to the late evening on Thursday
night. The change in airmass from in front to behind the passing
front will be tremendous with 850H temperatures crashing from near
20C down to near 0C in the matter of approximately 9 hours or so.
Widespread showers (and at least a chance for thunderstorms) can be
expected ahead of and with the front passing. With 850H temperatures
expected to drop as much as they are, a lake response down wind of
both lakes can most certainly be expected; but the finer details
will need to be evaluated as we get closer in time (such as
equilibrium heights, synoptic moisture, etc.) to know how strong of
a lake response there will be. Temperatures for Thursday will be
highly dependent on the timing of the cold front passage, if its
later in the day, then Thursday will will likely be well above
normal again, and vice versa for an earlier passing cold front.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Maybe first 30s of the season?

Edit : "officially" Coop came in at 39° on the 15th..

 

Thursday
Showers likely, mainly after 2pm. Cloudy, with a high near 60. West wind 13 to 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Thursday Night
Showers likely, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Friday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 56.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 39.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 61.
Saturday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47.
Sunday
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday Night
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Monday
Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Tuesday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 60.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...