LongBeachSurfFreak Posted June 19 Share Posted June 19 3 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Cat 4. Really hitting on some higher potential energy in the tropics with a Cat 5 storm in the Atlantic last July 1 and this one in mid-June. Would have really gone to town if it had more time after the EWRC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gallopinggertie Posted June 20 Share Posted June 20 Apparently, Erick beat the record for earliest-landfalling major hurricane in Mexico. And specifically, it beat the record for earliest-landfalling major on Mexico’s pacific coast by over two months! The next earliest was…August 26. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted June 30 Share Posted June 30 Already on "F" in the eastern Pacific, and it's expected to become a Cat 2, ultimately heading just west of Baja California 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted July 1 Share Posted July 1 Flossie now expected to become Cat 3, the 2nd major of the year already. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BarryStantonGBP Posted July 1 Share Posted July 1 1 hour ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Flossie imagine if this was making a landfall with that kind of name Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted July 2 Share Posted July 2 Flossie is now the 2nd major hurricane of the year in the E. Pacific 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BarryStantonGBP Posted July 2 Share Posted July 2 9 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Flossie is now the 2nd major hurricane of the year in the E. Pacific LOL at "flossie" and "major hurricane" together Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted July 2 Share Posted July 2 You need to flossie that mouth Barry 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BarryStantonGBP Posted July 29 Share Posted July 29 Central North Pacific (140°W to 180°) Tropical Weather Outlook (en Español*) 200 AM HST Tue Jul 29 2025 Hurricane Iona Satellite | Buoys | Grids | Storm Archive ...IONA STRENGTHENS INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE FAR SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS... 11:00 PM HST Mon Jul 28 Location: 10.8°N 153.2°W Moving: W at 13 mph Min pressure: 964 mb Max sustained: 115 mph Public Advisory #91100 PM HST Forecast Advisory #90900 UTC Forecast Discussion #91100 PM HST Wind Speed Probabilities #90900 UTC Wind Speed Probabilities Arrival Time of Winds Wind History Warnings/Cone Interactive Map Warnings/Cone Static Images Warnings and Surface Wind Tropical Storm Keli Satellite | Buoys | Grids | Storm Archive ...KELI MOVING WESTWARD... 11:00 PM HST Mon Jul 28 Location: 12.5°N 146.6°W Moving: W at 12 mph Min pressure: 1006 mb Max sustained: 40 mph Public Advisory #41100 PM HST Forecast Advisory #40900 UTC Forecast Discussion #41100 PM HST Wind Speed Probabilities #40900 UTC Wind Speed Probabilities Arrival Time of Winds Wind History Warnings/Cone Interactive Map Warnings/Cone Static Images Warnings and Surface Wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BarryStantonGBP Posted Tuesday at 03:26 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:26 PM Models show Henriette sightseeing in Shibuya like a lost tourist Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted Tuesday at 06:53 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:53 PM 3 hours ago, BarryStantonGBP said: Models show Henriette sightseeing in Shibuya like a lost tourist No storm has ever survived that far north of the Hawaiian islands. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BarryStantonGBP Posted Tuesday at 06:56 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:56 PM 2 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: No storm has ever survived that far north of the Hawaiian islands. Would be history if it happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Friday at 04:12 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:12 PM On 8/5/2025 at 2:53 PM, LongBeachSurfFreak said: No storm has ever survived that far north of the Hawaiian islands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Friday at 04:13 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:13 PM Tropical Storm Henriette Discussion Number 18 NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP082025 Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM HST Fri Aug 08 2025 Henriette has failed to produce deep convection for about 12 hours now. The latest subjective Dvorak estimates are 25 kt from JTWC and too weak to classify from SAB and PHFO. Recent objective intensity estimates range from 25 to 40 kt. An earlier ASCAT pass from 0535 UTC showed a large area of 30-33 kt vectors on the north side of Henriette. Henriette will be maintained as a 35-kt tropical storm for this advisory, but it could degenerate to a post-tropical remnant low at any time today. The cyclone is moving just north of due west at 280/15 kt. A turn to the west-northwest is expected soon as the cyclone tracks along the southwestern periphery of a subtropical ridge to its northeast. A turn toward the northwest is forecast late this weekend into early next week as Henriette becomes steered between an amplifying longwave trough northwest of Hawaii and the subtropical ridge to its northeast. The NHC track forecast is nearly identical to the previous one and is in good agreement with the tightly clustered consensus aids. Confidence remains high that Henriette will remain far to the north of Hawaii. Henriette is over 24C sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) and is embedded within a dry airmass. These cold SSTs are expected to persist along the cyclone's track for another 12 to 24 h. If Henriette doesn't generate organized convection soon, it could degenerate to a remnant low today, and this is explicitly shown in the NHC forecast Beyond 24 h, Henriette (or its remnants) will encounter progressively warmer water temperatures over the weekend, peaking around 26-27C in about 3 days. Upper-level temperatures are also expected to decrease in a couple of days as the aforementioned trough approaches Henriette, which would increase instability. These factors, along with relatively low shear, will likely allow Henriette to restrengthen later this weekend into early next week, as depicted by most of the models. The NHC intensity forecast is at the low end of the guidance envelope through 36 h, and at the high end of the guidance at 72-96 h. Beyond day 4, wind shear from the longwave trough and cooling SSTs should lead to steady weakening as Henriette moves farther into the mid-latitudes. Even if Henriette becomes post-tropical today, given the high likelihood of regeneration back into a tropical cyclone and subsequent restrengthening, NHC plans on maintaining advisories during the post-tropical phase. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/1500Z 19.7N 141.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 09/0000Z 20.3N 143.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 09/1200Z 21.3N 146.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 10/0000Z 22.6N 148.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE 48H 10/1200Z 24.1N 150.9W 45 KT 50 MPH 60H 11/0000Z 25.9N 153.2W 55 KT 65 MPH 72H 11/1200Z 27.9N 155.7W 65 KT 75 MPH 96H 12/1200Z 32.3N 160.4W 65 KT 75 MPH 120H 13/1200Z 37.1N 165.1W 50 KT 60 MPH $$ Forecaster Hagen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gallopinggertie Posted Friday at 04:43 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:43 PM 45 minutes ago, yoda said: SST’s are way above average in the North Pacific. Actually, they’re warmer at the end point of that forecast cone than they are where Henriette is right now! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BarryStantonGBP Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago CAM ON HENRIETTE BAM BAM BAM SCORE SOME GOALS LASSIE Hurricane HENRIETTEAs of 18:00 UTC Aug 10, 2025: Location: 25.2°N 151.9°WMaximum Winds: 65 kt Gusts: N/AMinimum Central Pressure: 993 mbEnvironmental Pressure: N/ARadius of Circulation: N/ARadius of Maximum wind: 15 nm64 kt Wind Radii by Quadrant: Hurricane Henriette Satellite | Buoys | Grids | Storm Archive ...HENRIETTE RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES INTO A HURRICANE... ...FURTHER STRENGTHENING EXPECTED... GOOOOOOOAAAAAAALLLLLLL...... 11:00 AM HST Sun Aug 10 Location: 25.7°N 152.5°W Moving: NW at 17 mph Min pressure: 990 mb Max sustained: 80 mph Public Advisory #271100 AM HST Forecast Advisory #272100 UTC Forecast Discussion #271100 AM HST Wind Speed Probabilities #272100 UTC Productos en español:(más información) Aviso Publico Pronóstico Discusión Wind Speed Probabilities Arrival Time of Winds Wind History Warnings/Cone Interactive Map Warnings/Cone Static Images Experimental Cone Warnings and Surface Wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BarryStantonGBP Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago WTPA43 PHFO 102032 TCDCP3 Hurricane Henriette Discussion Number 27 NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP082025 Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM HST Sun Aug 10 2025 Henriette’s been givin’ it the big’un today, lads! Proper eye showin’ off on the sat pics and the middle bit’s lookin’ sharper than Harry Kane on a counter-attack. The boffins had her pegged at 65 knots earlier, but she’s clearly upped her game, so we’ll call it a solid 70 kt for now. How strong will she get? Well, the set-up ahead looks sweet. Less of that wind shear nonsense, warmer waters, and cooler air upstairs (whatever that means). Translation: she’s in for a bit of a purple patch over the next day. The “models” didn’t see this one comin’, shock, so we’re gonna go full optimistic and give her near rapid intensification for the next 24 hours, until she runs into rougher conditions and bottles it. By 3 days in, she’ll be out over the cold stuff and get knackered, like England in the second half. Henriette’s leggin’ it northwest at a fair old pace, about 15 kt. Big ridge up top should keep her hoofin’ it in that direction for a few days, until she slows down when she’s had enough. Only change from the last call is she’s leggin’ it faster now, probably ‘cause she’s catchin’ a ride on some stronger winds aloft. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 10/2100Z 25.7N 152.5W 70 KT 80 MPH 12H 11/0600Z 27.3N 154.3W 80 KT 90 MPH 24H 11/1800Z 29.4N 156.9W 90 KT 105 MPH 36H 12/0600Z 31.5N 159.6W 85 KT 100 MPH 48H 12/1800Z 33.6N 162.3W 75 KT 85 MPH 60H 13/0600Z 35.5N 164.9W 60 KT 70 MPH 72H 13/1800Z 37.3N 167.3W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 96H 14/1800Z 41.0N 170.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Baz “Up The ‘Pool” Stanton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BarryStantonGBP Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago CAM ON HENRIETTE, BAM BAM, BLOW SOME FAKKIN’ GOALS, CAM ON HENRIETTE, BAM BAM, SMASH RIGHT PAST THEM TROUGHS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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