yoda Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 18 looks pretty much the same, s/w may be a little stronger... hr 24 still no real noticeable differences Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 24 S/W dead on location, atl low smidge further north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 24 gfs is already taking off with the s/w compared to the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 through hr 30, no real change in the s/w...confluence in the northeast is slackened up...the northern stream is further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohleary Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 If somehow the Euro still shows the same solution at 00Z (wow) then I'd expect the others to come around (as they are trending), first the NAM, then more slowly the GFS, with the others following closely. Currently, if I had to put my money on one I'd pick the NAM through 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 30 S/W dead on more ridging heights a hair higher in the east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reale WX Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Euro at 36 looks better than gfs.. s/w more defined and 50/50 slightly weaker and north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 36 h5 is just about closed off over northern tx...northern strea diving down quicker.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohleary Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 30 S/W dead on more ridging heights a hair higher in the east thank you for the quick updates. timing still the same? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 30 S/W dead on more ridging heights a hair higher in the east same with 36hr S/w almost closed again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hour 36 is where the gfs shi*s the bed way diff with the S/w Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 If somehow the Euro still shows the same solution at 00Z (wow) then I'd expect the others to come around (as they are trending), first the NAM, then more slowly the GFS, with the others following closely. Currently, if I had to put my money on one I'd pick the NAM through 84. Very much agreed. The "fluke run" of the Euro for the last fish storm that showed the big storm was ONE run. If this stays consistent, it would be very hard to write it off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 42 has a closed h5 low just east of whichita falls...its not as closed off as 12z, but its closed off...northern stream continues to really dive down the speed is exactly the same as 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reale WX Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Timing same through 42 as 12z euro... digs the s/w more than the gfs so were looking good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 48 closed h5 low over just east of dallas, again not as strongly closed as 12z...northern stream conintues to dive in hard. hgts along the east coast are higher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 42 close 500low tx pan. ridge axis little further west andd more riding with it heights a hair higher in the east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Very much agreed. The "fluke run" of the Euro for the last fish storm that showed the big storm was ONE run. If this stays consistent, it would be very hard to write it off. 2 runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr42 500 a little further south not much still closed northen stream diving in hard more ridging edited had the wrong hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 54 closed low bout 75 miles south of dallas....sub 1016 low over houston..hvy precip in eastern tx...lgt precip along the miss river from wis to la Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 60 h5 closed over houston...thats big change from 12z which opened it up...sub 1016 south of la beaches....lgt precip from wpa to ill...heavier precip in eastern tx with h5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 54 if described correctly is vastly different from the GFS and NAM at the same time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 60 closed 500 extreme SE texas was open at 12 z more ridging Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 66 the euro is a little faster than 12z here...opened the h5 low over central la...northern stream diving in.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 66 S/W sou. la northen strean diving hard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 72 continued quicker...sub 1012 low south of panama city in the gom lgt to mod and mod precip streaming up to atl...some lgt to mod precip in nc and sc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=UTC≥=1024x768&mo=ecmwf≤=500&va=hght&in=60&pl=cf&ft=h72&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 72hr snow to the va border low over gainesvill fla Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 UKMET FWIW...definitely starting south and tapping into the GOM: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reale WX Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 A little quicker at 84. 1000mb low off SC coast.. think this run might be just a bit further east up the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 hr 84 low much faster and further east 75 mile? or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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