Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change

[TheClimateChanger]

Incredible! Downloaded data from SERCC (observations from March 1-April 14, forecast values through April 19) reveals nearly 80 long-term threaded stations are in the midst of their warmest spring on record, calculated by average daily high temperature. Led by Huntington, West Virginia, where the first 50 days of spring has seen a mean high temperature of 72.8F, an astounding 12.1F above the 1991-2020 mean. Again, that's a 50-day average!

[GaWx]

31 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Incredible! Downloaded data from SERCC (observations from March 1-April 14, forecast values through April 19) reveals nearly 80 long-term threaded stations are in the midst of their warmest spring on record, calculated by average daily high temperature. Led by Huntington, West Virginia, where the first 50 days of spring has seen a mean high temperature of 72.8F, an astounding 12.1F above the 1991-2020 mean. Again, that's a 50-day average!

Have you changed from the “Global Warmer” to the “US Warmer”?  
 The US has only 2% of the world’s surface area and only 6% of the world’s land surface area and that’s including Alaska. This is the same argument used against those talking about how hot the US was in the 1930s summers.

[Typhoon Tip]

I found this to be an interesting article...

https://phys.org/news/2026-04-climate-decline-hot-cold-extreme.html   (https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00704-026-06200-3)

Dr. John R. Christy, Alabama State Climatologist (retired); professor of atmospheric and Earth science at The University of Alabama in Huntsville

I'm curious if this may ever be corroborated by other's findings. 

**Also ... bear in mind the study is regarding "extremes"    It doesn't address the longer term climate averages rising. Those are created by the daily stuffing, the vast majority of which are not extreme, per se.  

I can see a pathway toward reducing the "extremeness" of extreme events, while the bulk temperatures results are warming over time.  It would come from increasing the water vapor content.  This is basic Meteorology: in order to store more water vapor requires more energy.  Raising the global energy level ( planetary energy imbalance ) by way of packing green house gases faster than the background geological processes can compensate, raises temperature.  GW incarnate.  This provides the necessary energy to evaporates more water and keep it in the atmosphere.  

I would be really keenly interested in a DP comparison variation of Dr Christy is finding, if the lowering extreme magnitudes might also have correlative relationship with any rises in integrated Dew Point (relative to sigma levels) since 1899.   The idea being, as DP ambience becomes more and dense over time, it has a modulating impact on ambient temperature.  This is actually rather low-bar atmospheric thermodynamics. The magnitudes of extremes of hot and cold are modulated less due to the thermodynamics involved with the energy needed to keep water in vapor form.  When the ambient cold sourcing has high WV content it's just not going to be as cold, because it's holding more thermal latency.  Contrasting, as the DP (temp and water vapor integral) rises the temp always comes down; that is because therms are "borrowed" from the kinetic temperature in order to keep the water in gaseous form.   98/80 has equivalent energy to 115/68 ..etc. 

The shortened version is a 'trade off' so to speak.  Is the extremeness of extreme events trading magnitude for high WV content.