VABILLUPS1 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 We got get one every once in a while. I think you folks will do well too even if the system stays this flat. These things tend to get wetter as we get closer to the event and you guys are going to be so cold you will have 15-20:1 ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted January 19, 2022 Author Share Posted January 19, 2022 12 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said: You all are getting worse then the northern crews over analyzing these runs days in advance .... How about enjoy getting maybe 3 events by the end of the month.. RIC has been screwed so far this year, either too far south on 1/3, 1/6, and 1/16 to potentially being too far N & W on 1/21. If this was the first event, I'd be inclined to agree. However, 3" is nothing compared to what's happened just N & W and now it looks like there will be a miss S & E. We can do a lot better than 3" at the most climatologically favorable time of the year. Oh and by the way, the pattern, although not perfect, is decent for a Nina. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 22 minutes ago, RIC Airport said: RIC has been screwed so far this year, either too far south on 1/3, 1/6, and 1/16 to potentially being too far N & W on 1/21. If this was the first event, I'd be inclined to agree. However, 3" is nothing compared to what's happened just N & W and now it looks like there will be a miss S & E. We can do a lot better than 3" at the most climatologically favorable time of the year. Oh and by the way, the pattern, although not perfect, is decent for a Nina. This!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 8 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: This!! Remember that storm we had the advisory for and nothing happened? I think that was 1/6. Anyways, back to calc homework. Don’t forget the +C by the way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 To be fair I'm far from out so to speak for Rochmond. Just not a huge fan of the continued south east slide. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 3 minutes ago, Inudaw said: To be fair I'm far from out so to speak for Rochmond. Just not a huge fan of the continued south east slide. Agree. Not throwing in the towel yet but as of now at least, this is looking like a Hampton Roads special and we get fringed. Things can change but as of now that’s how it’s looking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 0z NAM decent for Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 0z nam loves weekend.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 9 minutes ago, Inudaw said: 0z nam loves weekend.... Year it does. 6” at 84 and still snowing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 4 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: I would absolutely take this. Looks like a crush 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Just now, RVASnowLover said: I would absolutely take this. Looks like a crush 14:1 ratios Kuchera also 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 FWIW, 00z RGEM was an improvement 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 00z gfs is an improvement as well. Good trends so far 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 9 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: 00z gfs is an improvement as well. Good trends so far I think we see 2-4” min Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Just now, wasnow215 said: I think we see 2-4” min The snow maps didn’t look like much an improvement but overhead there was an improvement on the gfs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 6 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said: The snow maps didn’t look like much an improvement but overhead there was an improvement on the gfs About an inch more for RVA compared to 18z by snow depth US weather maps. Blend with models across the pond and I think good chance plowable snow. 50/50 at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 See what the UK and Euro say 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Gefs are nice. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 9 minutes ago, Inudaw said: Gefs are nice. Map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmadness Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Overall models trending better this evening. GFS, GEFS, NAM, CMC. RGEM. some are small changes some are larger scale changes but overall changes all trending well. No historic storm yet (maybe the NAM). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Not sure if a messenger link will work in here. Individuals are split between a miss and a huge hit lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, Inudaw said: Not sure if a messenger link will work in here. Individuals are split between a miss and a huge hit lol. Saw that they were better. Just curious as to what the snow mean was for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 GEFS mean was 6 inches From western metro areas of Richmond up to 9 to 10 inches along the tidewater area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 3 minutes ago, Inudaw said: GEFS mean was 6 inches From western metro areas of Richmond up to 9 to 10 inches along the tidewater area. Nice, considering that’s probably using 10:1 ratio 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Euro was a Hampton Roads special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 I guess good thing GFS has been better than the euro because now GFS looks better than the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 All the good runs of the 0z models were erased by the 6z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 I think it will end up 4-6 for richmond. This always happens. We rarely see the models show big snow without change for days. The 06Z Euro is very similar to the 0Z. 4-6 looks good for RIC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RVASnowLover Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Models look like they are converging on Hampton Roads jackpot. Don’t get me wrong, they kind of deserve it. They’ve got a lot of rain while at least got some. But it still sucks to be either too far north, south, east or west. See if we can get this thing to tick anymore northwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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