Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,586
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    23Yankee
    Newest Member
    23Yankee
    Joined

February 15-17th Storm Threat


OHweather

Recommended Posts

Let's not give the UKMET too muc credit now.

 

It was way too amplied and too far west with the track of the surface (even had Detroit on the edge of the heavy snow for a few runs).

 

True, but even the EURO had one of those runs. The one where it jackpotted YYZ with 2" of QPF, you guys got about 1/2" (I think 12z/10). In general, those two models had the better handle on how the system evolved.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 758
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Let's not give the UKMET too muc credit now.

 

It was way too amplied and too far west with the track of the surface (even had Detroit on the edge of the heavy snow for a few runs).

 

ukmet failed on the strength of the low, but nailed the general idea of a low going up or just west of the mountains, 144 hrs out and pretty much stuck with that.  The reason it was throwing precip back to Detroit at one point was because of being way over-amped.

 

I've seen this now a couple of times with ukie this season.   It'll put a low in a place where no other models have it and not waiver and then the other models will fall into place.   It's terrible on strength and temps though.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

From Environment Canada:

 

Weather summary
for Ontario and the National Capital Region
updated by Environment Canada
at 7:08 a.m. EST Wednesday 17 February 2016.

==Discussion==

A low pressure system originating along the Gulf coast intensified
into a major winter storm as it tracked up along the Appalachians
into Southern Quebec Tuesday evening. This winter storm brought huge
amounts of snow to a swath from Kingston to Ottawa along with heavy
freezing rain to extreme Eastern Ontario including Cornwall.

The incredibly heavy 51 cm snowfall at Ottawa Airport is a new
largest 1 day snowfall amount on record for that location.

Snowfall amounts further west in the Greater Toronto area were in
the 5 to 10 centimetre range, as this area was only grazed the
western edge of the huge snow shield associated with this winter
storm.

All winter storm and snow fall warnings have since been ended as the
storm moves quickly away over the Province of Quebec.

Below is a summary of snowfall amounts received as of 1 AM today:

Ottawa Airport 51 cm
Gatineau Airport 34 cm as of 9 PM Tuesday
Casselman 35 cm as of 6 PM Tuesday
Moose Creek 21 cm as of 6 PM Tuesday
Cornwall 25 cm plus 20 mm of freezing rain
Brockville 35 to 40 cm estimated
Singleton 45 cm
Kemptville 40 to 45 cm estimated
Drummond Centre (North of Perth) 37 cm
Kingston Airport 31 cm estimated
Poinr Petre 30 cm estimated
Trenton Airport 22 cm
Cobourg 15 cm estimated
Peterborough 10-15 cm estimated
Tapley (Southwest of Peterborough) 12 cm
Oshawa 11 cm
Grimsby 10 cm
Welland 15 cm estimated
St Catharines (on escarpment) 22 cm as of 6 PM Tuesday
Port Colborne 16 to 20 cm
Fort Erie 25 cm as of 6 PM Tuesday

Please note that this summary may contain preliminary or unofficial
information and does not constitute a complete or final report.

End/OSPC

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Snow totals around our area.

 

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BUF&issuedby=BUF&product=PNS&format=CI&version=3&glossary=0

 

Totals of 1-2' were coming across WNY in general

 

Maximum was around Rochester with a general 18-22"

 

Nice storm for you guys...although I'd call it more like a general 8-16" rather than 1-2'. 16"+ for the most part isolated to Monroe County.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Snow totals around our area.

 

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BUF&issuedby=BUF&product=PNS&format=CI&version=3&glossary=0

 

Totals of 1-2' were coming across WNY in general

 

Maximum was around Rochester with a general 18-22"

It was a really impressive storm in its cold sector. It will be interesting to see whether next week's possible storm impacts the same general area or is farther east. If the former scenario plays out, it could further dent what is still a large seasonal snowfall deficit to date.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

It was a really impressive storm in its cold sector. It will be interesting to see whether next week's possible storm impacts the same general area or is farther east. If the former scenario plays out, it could further dent what is still a large seasonal snowfall deficit to date.

It would be nice if Toronto could get in on a bit more of the action next week Don. A 6-8" storm in Toronto would do me. As for Ottawa...let them go for record snow depth!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...