Allsnow Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Hr 21 steady sleet snow nyc and north jersey. Light preciep south of there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 This run will end up much drier, especially south of Rt. 80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Hr 24 steady preciep ewr north...snow sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Yep way drier for everyone...euro nam ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 And that's that. 0.50"+ contour shifted NW by about 50 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 18z Rgem and 18z GFS cut back big time for Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 .25+ ewr north .1+ Ttn north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 .25+ ewr north .1+ Ttn north Is that total snow or ice/snow & when does it change to snow in TTN? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 Time to put away the globals now anyway. Watch the radar, the RAP, HRRR and RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 Is that total snow or ice/snow & when does it change to snow in TTN? Early Tuesday morning if at all, not much precip left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 It was a good post, but the snow ship sailed days ago. We're mainly talking about sleet and freezing rain here.Exactly. I wrote this off yesterday morning. For Boston, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robPAwx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 This storm just doesn't have that feel. I mGoing into full weenie wish at time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robPAwx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Wishcast* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 This could end up being a pretty bad bust for Boston. Radar doesn't look great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 Does it not look like the stationary front here is over SNJ? If that's the case, shouldn't there be sufficient moisture advection to the North? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Is that total snow or ice/snow & when does it change to snow in TTN? Total ice and snow...not much snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robPAwx Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Gfs shows boston getting 20+ inches on Thursday. Sigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 FWIW Bernie Rayno likes significant ice for most of this area and then 1-3" of snow. Once North of 80 he likes 3-6" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 FWIW, the GFS shows Boston getting another 1.19" qpf from 18z through the duration of the storm. That would bring the storm total precipitation there to 1.51". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 FWIW, the GFS shows Boston getting another 1.19" qpf from 18z through the duration of the storm. That would bring the storm total precipitation there to 1.51". Don, is this the greatest that Boston was ever ahead of Philly for seasonal snowfall during a non La Nina year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 High res 18z GFS Vs 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 8, 2015 Author Share Posted February 8, 2015 FWIW, the GFS shows Boston getting another 1.19" qpf from 18z through the duration of the storm. That would bring the storm total precipitation there to 1.51". Don, what is your call for the area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Don, is this the greatest that Boston was ever ahead of Philly for seasonal snowfall during a non La Nina year? No. During 1993-94 (neutral ENSO), Boston finished with 96.3" snow while Philadelphia had 23.1". The difference was 73.2." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Don, what is your call for the area? For Boston? Over here, not much. Some sleet and freezing rain for northwestern NJ to southwestern Connecticut with perhaps an inch or two of snow at the end (probably north of NYC). Dutchess, Orange, and Rockland Counties might see 3"-6" snow with locally higher amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 For Boston? Over here, not much. Some sleet and freezing rain for northwestern NJ to southwestern Connecticut with perhaps an inch or two of snow at the end (probably north of NYC). Dutchess, Orange, and Rockland Counties might see 3"-6" snow with locally higher amounts. Hey Don, what about Northern Westchester? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 I don't know; when I first learned about this stuff...if you were on the right side (right as in correct or colder) of a quasi-stationary arctic front / wind shift line in the middle of winter and a wave rode along it...you would usually get some good snows and maybe some other frozen precip... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 No doubt there is serious shallow arctic air trying to bleed down here; 23 F at Providence...just 15 F at Boston....as long as a NE wind blows...you would think its got to work in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 Hey Don, what about Northern Westchester? Probably 1"-3" in the vicinity of Pleasantville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 No doubt there is serious shallow arctic air trying to bleed down here; 23 F at Providence...just 15 F at Boston....as long as a NE wind blows...you would think its got to work in. I agree this bad boy is all about wind direction. We saw that big time with the last storm. Funny how the 18z gfs shows no rain for Long Island now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 8, 2015 Share Posted February 8, 2015 At 5PM the 0 C isotherm @ 850 MB runs from about New London CT over to northern Westchester County...the 0 C line @ 925 MB runs from the N. Fork of LI over to Cos Cob CT...so the critical lines are very close to the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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