nwohweather Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 1 minute ago, OHweather said: Here is the storm total snow forecast from this afternoon through 7 PM Thursday (so just this ongoing event)...it was a big jump from prior forecasts, but still too low in the Toledo area and I suspect will be too low in locations downwind of Lake Erie from Sandusky points east. Coming up on an inch of snow, heaviest still off to the northwest. Initial signs of the first bit of lake enhancement near Cleveland on radar. Correct. I finished with 4” here in Toledo. Heck of a surprise and a terrible commute home. Anyone without 4WD was struggling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 10 minutes ago, nwohweather said: Correct. I finished with 4” here in Toledo. Heck of a surprise and a terrible commute home. Anyone without 4WD was struggling The traffic maps and cameras did not look pleasant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 This must be like 1/4 mile visibility, 1" per hour at downtown Cleveland now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 The traffic maps and cameras did not look pleasant. Eh it’s kinda fun if you have a truck with good tires. But haha folks in a Honda Civic were not enjoying their time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dta1984 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Definitely an overachiever, between 10-11" on my deck and still snowing moderately. Going to be some big totals if we can hold on to some moisture through this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 50 minutes ago, dta1984 said: Definitely an overachiever, between 10-11" on my deck and still snowing moderately. Going to be some big totals if we can hold on to some moisture through this afternoon. What an event so far... measured 10" and the radar looks great. Really heavy snow within the stronger bands. Looks like the 422 corridor is locked in again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Had 6.4” at home at 7:15am, probably about 7” at the office in Brooklyn Hts and still in and out of heavy, fluffy snow. Great event, generally overachieving across the board. Another few hours through the early afternoon where activity should remain intense before it diminishes from west to east into this evenings 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Heavy snow most of the morning. You can see it starting to wind down west to east on radar. Pines are getting buried. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vpbob21 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Got a little over 3" here but really difficult to measure with the blowing and drifting. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dta1984 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 There's definitely some drifting, but I came up with 15" from several measurements. Still lightly snowing Pure powder, quite the storm! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectOH Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Here in Chesterland, I believe at least 15” fell as of now with 3’ drifts against the front of my house. Easily the heaviest snow here since 12/2020!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dta1984 Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 21 minutes ago, LakeEffectOH said: Here in Chesterland, I believe at least 15” fell as of now with 3’ drifts against the front of my house. Easily the heaviest snow here since 12/2020!! Congrats, you were due this year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 A little over 3” of pure fluff at home during the day today, bringing my total to 9.6”. Would say the office had a good foot by the time I left…it was dumping most of the morning and early afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Going with a storm total of around 16" IMBY. Very scenic out there. I'd imagine the lake is rapidly building ice cover... hopefully we can maintain some open water. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 stackin'^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 16 Share Posted January 16 Yeah, I think it’s fair to say ice will be a limiting factor for LES for the foreseeable figure. It should still be open enough for significant snow Sunday through the first half of next week, but a majority of that will probably go into western NY. There is a window Monday into Monday night for a more westerly flow to try to push lake effect into the northern portions of the primary NE Ohio snowbelt. Interesting signal for some convective snow showers with the cold front later tomorrow morning into the afternoon. Wouldn’t add up to all that much, but someone could get a nice snow squall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vpbob21 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Got a quick half inch with the squall that came through. Visibility dropped to a quarter mile. Roads are slick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dta1984 Posted Saturday at 12:07 PM Share Posted Saturday at 12:07 PM Just had some thunder as the squall is approaching! The snow from a few days ago has compacted quite a bit, my 16" is at 10" now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted Tuesday at 01:31 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:31 PM Lots of ice on the lake... most of it is probably mobile but its not going anywhere anytime soon. Seems like these arctic outbreaks always come with WSW wind lake effect events. Would have been nice to squeeze in one more event prior to the ice cover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dta1984 Posted Tuesday at 06:23 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:23 PM 4 hours ago, NEOH said: Lots of ice on the lake... most of it is probably mobile but its not going anywhere anytime soon. Seems like these arctic outbreaks always come with WSW wind lake effect events. Would have been nice to squeeze in one more event prior to the ice cover. Ah bummer, figured it wouldn't take long with this cold stretch. Looks like a chance for a few inches tomorrow and tomorrow night. Maybe we can reel in this weekend storm that appears to be slowly bumping north? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted yesterday at 09:29 AM Share Posted yesterday at 09:29 AM Heard a little thunder with the squalls last night... that's 2x this week. Picked up just under 2". Looks like the strong winds have pushed the thin ice around quite a bit. It will likely refreeze quickly with the cold temps but could add some lake enhancement with the storm over the weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectOH Posted yesterday at 10:33 AM Share Posted yesterday at 10:33 AM 1 hour ago, NEOH said: Heard a little thunder with the squalls last night... that's 2x this week. Picked up just under 2". Looks like the strong winds have pushed the thin ice around quite a bit. It will likely refreeze quickly with the cold temps but could add some lake enhancement with the storm over the weekend. I wonder if anything was mixed in with the snow. The roads this morning were unusually slushy for 1-2" of snow with temps in the upper 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 1 hour ago, LakeEffectOH said: I wonder if anything was mixed in with the snow. The roads this morning were unusually slushy for 1-2" of snow with temps in the upper 20s. The roads were bad this morning. The ground is very cold so perhaps that had an impact. Not sure the plow crews (at least locally) were planning on the snow. They weren't out until 5 or 6 am. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dta1984 Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago The weekend storm could be one of the most widespread we have had in a while. Some pretty large totals from icon, UK and Canadian runs. Will be interesting once we get into short range to see if the lake will add on anything additional.... though most likely frozen by then. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectOH Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago 1 hour ago, NEOH said: The roads were bad this morning. The ground is very cold so perhaps that had an impact. Not sure the plow crews (at least locally) were planning on the snow. They weren't out until 5 or 6 am. Yeah, the fact that it was so cold the night before last had an impact, I'm sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dta1984 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Surprised to see a Warning already issued this morning. I like the snow forecast, conservative compared to some outputs. .WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 10 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 7 and 10 inches. * WHERE...Portions of north central and northeast Ohio. * WHEN...From 7 PM Saturday to 10 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will spread into the region Saturday night and peak in intensity during the day Sunday. The snow will gradually taper off late Sunday night into Monday. Sub-zero wind chills are expected Saturday night into Sunday morning, and again Sunday night into Monday morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 58 minutes ago, dta1984 said: Surprised to see a Warning already issued this morning. I like the snow forecast, conservative compared to some outputs. .WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 10 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 7 and 10 inches. * WHERE...Portions of north central and northeast Ohio. * WHEN...From 7 PM Saturday to 10 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will spread into the region Saturday night and peak in intensity during the day Sunday. The snow will gradually taper off late Sunday night into Monday. Sub-zero wind chills are expected Saturday night into Sunday morning, and again Sunday night into Monday morning. 7" - 10" does seem a bit conservative. Maybe that is based on 10:1 ratios. Most models have at least .7" of precip... so there is upside if we can get better ratios. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dta1984 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 5 minutes ago, NEOH said: 7" - 10" does seem a bit conservative. Maybe that is based on 10:1 ratios. Most models have at least .7" of precip... so there is upside if we can get better ratios. That could be. I'm guessing the totals will creep up as we get closer to the storm. Curious to get @OHweather thoughts on the storm. I'm also wondering if model qpf output takes into account the dry air in place and qpf that will be wasted due to saturation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 29 minutes ago, dta1984 said: That could be. I'm guessing the totals will creep up as we get closer to the storm. Curious to get @OHweather thoughts on the storm. I'm also wondering if model qpf output takes into account the dry air in place and qpf that will be wasted due to saturation? Definitely looking forward to OHWeather's thoughts. Complete whiteout in South Russell now with the squall pushing through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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