wi_fl_wx Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Looks like I'll be in the top-5 after today, so now I have to try not to mess it up. 55/28/15/0 Seems like I generally agree with everyone else on the temperatures...looks like the clouds should hang around tonight and with all that rain it's going to be hard for the dew point to drop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 36/34 now with calm winds and mostly clear skies. We'll see if they can get the dews down now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 36/34 now with calm winds and mostly clear skies. We'll see if they can get the dews down now.37/34 now. Not happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 37/34 now. Not happeningLow clouds moved back in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Look like tomorrow's low will be my first big mistake of this city. Precip and winds saved today for me, despite low of 31, but I'm having hard time seeing 25 tonight. I just need the high to work out to lessen the impact of Day 6 error points. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Guess my lows r in trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 It would be amazing if it stays at 28 or above tonight, but I don't trust Butte enough to sleep easy. It's a long night and it doesn't take much calm+clear for it to plunge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Guess my lows r in trouble. I'm not too concerned .. yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 It's 38 on the 6z ob. If I'm doing all the math right the finals for day 5 will be: 58/35/28/0.61" So I'll stay put in 23rd place (all of that and I didn't move, not even one spot today) and about a point out of a cat 3 trophy. They should eventually clear tonight although I'll be tucked away in bed when that happens, so I suppose upper 20's aren't impossible still. We'll see if they can drop the dews much once they clear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 54/25/13/0 for today precip and the low saved me yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 28 at 15z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Here's to hoping KBTM will squeeze out 26 degrees somehow as climo low, but 27-28 is most likely our low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 They have really taken their sweet time in putting in the final wind values for Butte. But I guess it's still early in the morning. Edit: there we go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Since 16z came in at 28 again, I think there's a good chance low bottomed out at 27 but we'll see what climo got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Since 16z came in at 28 again, I think there's a good chance low bottomed out at 27 but we'll see what climo got. 26F wouldn't even shock me, though I think 27F is more likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 They finally added in final values for Day 5. So far, I'm pretty happy with how I did for Butte... 26F wouldn't even shock me, though I think 27F is more likely. I really need 26/27 to avoid a bad day, especially with tight distribution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 I hope it stays clear and we can mix well this afternoon. Really need that 58F after not hitting the lows by a good bit back to back days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 If the low held at 28, I'll probably be #1 overall after today. 27 would be ok as well. My forecasts haven't been anything special but I've consistently been on the correct side of consensus and I did well on both of the crazy days. Biggest concern for me today is the lack of wind. It looks more like a 10-12 kt day than my 15 kt forecast. Tomorrow looks much windier and there are issues with cloud cover. The storm impacting the PNW right now is unusually moist for one coming straight from the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 I also had 15 knots and for now I'm boasting the lowest error points for winds for the city, so we'll see it I loose that title today. The NAM still appears to show 20-25 knots at the top of the BL around 21z so it's not hopeless yet. Looks like a few more hours of full sun. It's nice to see some white on the higher peaks around Butte in visible imagery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 49 with maybe ~2-3 hours of heating to go. Cooler camp may win out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Just a bit concerned that it's still only 49. Need my winds to work out now to not fall back today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 We should see 23z as when the high occurs if it stays clear like it is now. I think 55F is realistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 We should see 23z as when the high occurs if it stays clear like it is now. I think 55F is realistic. Yeah, the high should be 22z-23z today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 51 now, wind 10 kt gust to 15. Getting there.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 I would say the high will be one degree higher then the 22z observation... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 So no USL today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 So no USL today? Guess not. I've been puzzling over the low all afternoon so it would have been nice to see the USL's opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Looks like the numbers for today are: 53/28/12/0 I'll drop from 1st to 4th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Looks like the numbers for today are: 53/28/12/0 I'll drop from 1st to 4th I took over your 1st place spot :-) Good luck tomorrow!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 22, 2014 Share Posted October 22, 2014 Yikes on that wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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