Wmsptwx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 If Euro comes west...0z will be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 12z Euro is slightly west (through 36hr), but stronger system and expands precip shield further into PA than 0z **edit: not a significant change with this run (aka doesn't change anyone from no snow to anything more than maybe an inch or two if anything even accumulates) other than the statement above but continues similar trend with other 12z models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Low placement doesn't sound horrible, just not much precip. it seems? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Low placement doesn't sound horrible, just not much precip. it seems? Only horrible in terms of places that were hit by Sandy having to deal with the storm. QPF wise it drops off rather quickly once you get west of philly area... ~.6-.7" in philly then only .3" LNS/.2" in MDT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Only horrible in terms of places that were hit by Sandy having to deal with the storm. QPF wise it drops off rather quickly once you get west of philly area... ~.6-.7" in philly then only .3" LNS/.2" in MDT not that i have been or even now expect any snow, but it doesn't seem like cpa is really that much of a west shift off of a decent snow. From where we were last night until now, i really didn't expect it. pitt will be in the game before to long Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Yeah...sauss is right, another bump west and we're in good precip. However, I wouldn't hold my breath on that though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Jan 25th 2000..bank it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Jan 25th 2000..bank it. srsly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 I think he's kidding Neff....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 srsly? Somewhat yes but, not to the full extent that was. If the 12Z GGEM is right and central pa gets 1-3" that is a pretty big victory considering last night it looked to be partly cloudy. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 http://www.pennlive.com/midstate/index.ssf/2012/11/noreaster_likely_to_blow_right.html#incart_river_default i'm confused, Commuters will be happy Wednesday Morning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 http://www.pennlive....t_river_default i'm confused, Commuters will be happy Wednesday Morning? That could have bee the dumbest story I have ever read. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 You should read PennLive more often then! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 You should read PennLive more often then! the reader comments are the best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 18Z RGEM came west and give Cumberland county to Harrisburg area 1-3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 18Z GFS not bad, a bit west again. Maybe 2-4" snow for MDT this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Will be telling tonight if there is a last minute west jump. Wouldn't take much to put york up to mdt into some moderate snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa25 Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 No it would not... But have to think this west shift has maxed out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Maybe it will jog west, or it could shift east again. The gradient is insane, and often the precip shield can be more expansive than modeled and where banding sets up can make all the difference. Who knows how it will unfold, but this is the most interesting event we have had since last October 2011 so no complaints either way. It is not out of the question that York to MDT could have 6 inches on the ground, or nothing more than flakes. It will be a wet paste either way if we get enough precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 No it would not... But have to think this west shift has maxed out Not really we have the GGEM which would be a perfect solution so if that was right the models would jump a good bit. Also some of the HI res local models keying in on west trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 I am sticking to this for my forecast but, it could shift 25-75 miles either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 I like it Eastern!! If this thing makes a bump west, there could be some big time surprises. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 I like it Eastern!! If this thing makes a bump west, there could be some big time surprises. 18Z GFS ENS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 damn, i said earlier to watch and pittsburgh gets in this lol. looks like were at .25 in the Harrisburg area, another small jog west, game on for some goodies. whats our temps Zac? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 damn, i said earlier to watch and pittsburgh gets in this lol. looks like were at .25 in the Harrisburg area, another small jog west, game on for some goodies. whats our temps Zac? When for the storm? Would be around 32-33 when snowing. It is 36 right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Wow...I wish this baby would just come west 50 to 60 miles!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Wow...I wish this baby would just come west 50 to 60 miles!! Probably will lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 When for the storm? Would be around 32-33 when snowing. It is 36 right now. lol, yeah sorry. i was just telling my brother in-law, when he said no way snow, to warm, that the last 2 days we never reached the high temps forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 lol, yeah sorry. i was just telling my brother in-law, when he said no way snow, to warm, that the last 2 days we never reached the high temps forecast. Oh that crap again. Too warm. Ya how about all those people for the Oct. storm last year, oh it is too warm. 6" later..too warm now? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Any SREF updates? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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