Guest Pamela Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 The 80's with a bit of humidity isn't that bad Are you playing hooky from school again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 Are you playing hooky from school again? spring break this week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 spring break this week When I was young...walked to school 10 miles...uphill both ways....ah..you've heard that crap before.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted April 12, 2012 Author Share Posted April 12, 2012 Seriously man? Do u even work outside? Stop crying...going to be incredible on Sunday At this point I've just come to accept the fact that we now live in the sub tropics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 At this point I've just come to accept the fact that we now live in the sub tropics. I read where the Koppen Classification System actually included the City of New York under that designation...it made me want to blow chunks all over my latest copy of the Monthly Climate Report... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 Its gonna feel like tropics when during this summer at this rate water temps will be around 75-80. Someone off the jersey coast if this above normal temp regime continues into the summer has a good shot at touching 80 it think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 Just checking stats and I see that the last 4 april's have averaged over 3 degrees above the 1981-2010 normals. I'm sure this april will do at least that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 Its gonna feel like tropics when during this summer at this rate water temps will be around 75-80. Someone off the jersey coast if this above normal temp regime continues into the summer has a good shot at touching 80 it think. Local ocean water temps are 47-50 right now. That's pretty much average. It caught up quickly these past 2 weeks, with the cooldown to normal and northerly winds. There is a warm pocket of way above average 100-150 miles south of the Hudson Canyon but the gulf stream determines where that annual pocket of warm water ends up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 Local ocean water temps are 47-50 right now. That's pretty much average. It caught up quickly these past 2 weeks, with the cooldown to normal and northerly winds. There is a warm pocket of way above average 100-150 miles south of the Hudson Canyon but the gulf stream determines where that annual pocket of warm water ends up. A good rule of thumb for average water temperatures off Long Island... 50 by May 1 60 by June 1 70 by July 1 70's by August 1 70's by September 1 70 by October 1 60 by November 1 50 by December 1 40 by January 1 30's by February 1 30's by March 1 40 by April 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 A good rule of thumb for average water temperatures off Long Island... 50 by May 1 60 by June 1 70 by July 1 70's by August 1 70's by September 1 70 by October 1 60 by November 1 50 by December 1 40 by January 1 30's by February 1 30's by March 1 40 by April 1 May 1st has average water temps of 50-56 from Cape May (56) to Montauk (50) Average ocean temps for April 16th is 48-50 degrees. We are right about average right now. It was 3-5 degrees above 2 weeks ago but it caught up these past 2 weeks because of the northerly winds and cooldown to normal. Here is a site that has the official average temps bi-monthly: http://www.nodc.noaa.../cwtg/catl.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 May 1st has average water temps of 50-56 from Cape May (56) to Montauk (50) Average ocean temps for April 16th is 48-50 degrees. We are right about average right now. It was 3-5 degrees above 2 weeks ago but it caught up these past 2 weeks because of the northerly winds and cooldown to normal. Here is a site that has the official average temps bi-monthly: http://www.nodc.noaa.../cwtg/catl.html Yeah...well I said off Long Island...so I was basically on target...Cape May is at the same latitude as the District of Columbia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 Yeah...well I said off Long Island...so I was basically on target...Cape May is at the same latitude as the District of Columbia. Montauk has a 50 degree average. From Sandy Hook to Moriches its 52-54 degrees on May 1st. April 16th has 47-49 degree averages. The point is that our local water temps are almost exactly on average right now. People have to stop saying that the ocean or LI Sound is very warm now. Although, the temps will pop 2-4 degrees above average after this 3-4 day torch coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 I'd only predict 80s right now as this is only mid April, and we'd need more consistency on the models for predicting above that. It's still a bit warm for this early, but for a couple days it won't be bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted April 12, 2012 Author Share Posted April 12, 2012 I read where the Koppen Classification System actually included the City of New York under that designation...it made me want to blow chunks all over my latest copy of the Monthly Climate Report... Yeah I thought of that right after I posted. Have always disagreed with that classification. We're in the same region as Houston TX: http://en.wikipedia...._classification If some climate scientists are correct we'll soon be growing palms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 12z GFS MEX highs Sun,Mon,Tues: NYC 80,83,77 LGA 75,83,77 EWR 79,85,76 TEB 81,86,79 HPN, 76,82,75 I think these still may be underdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 Montauk has a 50 degree average. From Sandy Hook to Moriches its 52-54 degrees on May 1st. April 16th has 47-49 degree averages. The point is that our local water temps are almost exactly on average right now. People have to stop saying that the ocean or LI Sound is very warm now. Although, the temps will pop 2-4 degrees above average after this 3-4 day torch coming up. We also have to take into account the Sound...which warms and cools a bit quicker than the open Ocean...also...temperatures at the beach behave in a similar fashion...while 10 to 20 miles offshore...change is more gradual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 Yeah I thought of that right after I posted. Have always disagreed with that classification. We're in the same region as Houston TX: http://en.wikipedia...._classification If some climate scientists are correct we'll soon be growing palms. The classification system has been around for quite some time...I first learned of it in college...very specific cutoffs / boundaries are used with regard to temperature to make a designation...because of the extreme UHI in NYC...they fall into that category. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted April 12, 2012 Author Share Posted April 12, 2012 12z GFS MEX highs Sun,Mon,Tues: NYC 80,83,77 LGA 75,83,77 EWR 79,85,76 TEB 81,86,79 HPN, 76,82,75 I think these still may be underdone. Agree. Given progged 850's, dry ground, decent WAA occurring (strong SWLY flow), mostly sunny, my call for KNYC right now is: SUN: 81F MON: 86F TUES: 82F Newark I expect will be upper 80s Monday, possibly hit 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 This time of year, Newark will hit 85 with West winds and 14 C 850 temps under full sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 Agree. Given progged 850's, dry ground, decent WAA occurring (strong SWLY flow), mostly sunny, my call for KNYC right now is: SUN: 81F MON: 86F TUES: 82F Newark I expect will be upper 80s Monday, possibly hit 90. GFS is the only model that has any measurable precip for NYC after 12z on Sunday. So add 3-5 degrees off the GFS soundings because right now, Sunday looks dry and sunny after 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 This time of year, Newark will hit 85 with West winds and 14 C 850 temps under full sun. Agree...an April 11th sun is as good as a August 31st sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted April 12, 2012 Author Share Posted April 12, 2012 This time of year, Newark will hit 85 with West winds and 14 C 850 temps under full sun. Newark approached 80 with south winds in March, I have no doubt they'll be kissing 90 with this torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 Seriously man? Do u even work outside? Stop crying...going to be incredible on Sunday You need mid 80s to be comfortable? I suggest moving to south Florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 You need mid 80s to be comfortable? I suggest moving to south Florida. Mid 80's with dews in the 50's will be PERFECT for our Orthodox outdoor Easter parties on Sunday. Perfect weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 You need mid 80s to be comfortable? I suggest moving to south Florida. I remember when I was a kid my dad saying, "I'm going to get you an office job because I don't think you would like working out in the rain..." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 Mid 80's with dews in the 50's will be PERFECT for our Orthodox outdoor Easter parties on Sunday. Perfect weather. No my friend, 65-70 with partly cloudy skies and dews below 40 and a slight breeze is PERFECT. You're going to be hot on Sunday. Mark my words you'll be searching for shade this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 Monday looks even warmer...GFS really going to town on the 850mb temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 Monday looks even warmer...GFS really going to town on the 850mb temps. Monday, is likely to get head start from Sunday highs too. I see 90 more reachable that day. Tuesday, could be just as warm, if the cold front slows down more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 Monday, is likely to get head start from Sunday highs too. I see 90 more reachable that day. Tuesday, could be just as warm, if the cold front slows down more. Newark will hit 90 on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 12, 2012 Share Posted April 12, 2012 and with dry ground, bet temps end up 2-4 degrees higher than progged... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.