Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,502
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Weathernoob335
    Newest Member
    Weathernoob335
    Joined

OK / AR / KS / MO Winter 2013-2014


okie333

Recommended Posts

00z GFS is still running, but just a heads up, it doesn't close off the next system around Days 4-5 like it has been and instead brings it out with enough cold air for snow.

If it does snow, I take full credit since I renounced my 'i'd rather have warm weather if it isn't going to snow' statement. :)

usaasnowi72sfc138r.gif

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 4.9k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

OK, a bit of encouragement for snow lovers from Ross Ellect at 40/29. The basic premise is that we usually have little snow by now (average 4" in NW AR), and we have had 0" - 3" - 0" in the last 3 years. All of which went on to offer some serious winter weather later in the season. The last few warm days have got me daydreaming about spring-type activities, but I fear that is not a smart thing to indulge in quite yet. :ee:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Ozarkwx, do you hate winter? :(

I'm kidding of course.

Tonights GFS run put me in a better mood even though we aren't in the best place to see winter weather and I would rather see a western trough.

Of course none of this will matter in 30 mins when the Euro starts and shows something completely different.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'm not a Broncos fan since I'm a Chiefs fan, but that Broncos game was amazing. I think they lose next week, but Tebow played really well.

I'm almost over my snow withdrawals as I'm not looking at every model every 6 hours, I've moved to every 12 hours... lol

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'm not a Broncos fan since I'm a Chiefs fan, but that Broncos game was amazing. I think they lose next week, but Tebow played really well.

I'm almost over my snow withdrawals as I'm not looking at every model every 6 hours, I've moved to every 12 hours... lol

How exciting is this lol? Probly gonna have to do huh

Wednesday Night: Scattered flurries after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

How exciting is this lol? Probly gonna have to do huh

Wednesday Night: Scattered flurries after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25.

Pretty much the same here. I hope we don't go from a terrible pattern to just a bad pattern once the pattern change is complete. There are signs of a trough in the east which would result in NW flow in this area which is pretty poor for snow chances.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'm not a Broncos fan since I'm a Chiefs fan, but that Broncos game was amazing. I think they lose next week, but Tebow played really well.

I'm almost over my snow withdrawals as I'm not looking at every model every 6 hours, I've moved to every 12 hours... lol

That was a great ending. Glad to see PItt go out this early. Tebow working some more of his majic. I'm with you I think they lose next week at NE.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

That was a great ending. Glad to see PItt go out this early. Tebow working some more of his majic. I'm with you I think they lose next week at NE.

yeah they already lost once to New England this year.

The 00z GFS was awful, better enjoy the flurries in a few days cause that may be it until Feb or March at least.

Of course the 00z Euro will be completely different though.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12z Euro says no go on the crazy GFS solution above. Beyond that, model skill has been pretty bad with the pattern change but it looks like very cold arctic air is building in Canada which may make a run at us or get stuck to our north past day 7.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12z Euro says no go on the crazy GFS solution above. Beyond that, model skill has been pretty bad with the pattern change but it looks like very cold arctic air is building in Canada which may make a run at us or get stuck to our north past day 7.

JoMo, did any of the GFS Ensembles agree with the Operational run? I don't know where to find the ensemble charts.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Snow withdrawal, eventually you get through them and find yourself not caring if it snows or not. Of course, you have to go through the stages of grief first.

1. Denial - Oh, it's no big deal, the pattern will get better, all the models are wrong, we'll get some snow!

2. Anger- Stupid models, stupid weather, why can't we just get some damn snow!?

3. Bargaining - If we just get 1" of snow this winter, I will be happy... I'll do anything for just 1" of snow!

4. Depression - This winter is terrible, it's never going to snow ever again, I feel so hopeless.

5. Acceptance - Well, it didn't snow this winter, there's always next winter!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Snow withdrawal, eventually you get through them and find yourself not caring if it snows or not. Of course, you have to go through the stages of grief first.

1. Denial - Oh, it's no big deal, the pattern will get better, all the models are wrong, we'll get some snow!

2. Anger- Stupid models, stupid weather, why can't we just get some damn snow!?

3. Bargaining - If we just get 1" of snow this winter, I will be happy... I'll do anything for just 1" of snow!

4. Depression - This winter is terrible, it's never going to snow ever again, I feel so hopeless.

5. Acceptance - Well, it didn't snow this winter, there's always next winter!

:lmao: Good one!

Although #5 is not really accepting. You are sort of going back to #1 only a year ahead of time. :pimp:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'm between 4-5 right now. Usually I'd be freaking out at what the 12z GFS showed, looking up all the ensembles, looking at all the other models, waiting for the 18z to come out to see if it's still there even if the 12z just ran.

My first thought today was "haha, yeah right"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

LOL Jomo Im on stage 4 borderline 5. Could things get interesting this weekend? KY3 seems to maybe think theres a possible chance so does springfield. Doug mentioned it on his blog but doesnt sound to confident yet. And maybe just maybe wednesday night, thursday morning some flurries or snow showers, hell I'll take anything at this point!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

LOL Jomo Im on stage 4 borderline 5. Could things get interesting this weekend? KY3 seems to maybe think theres a possible chance so does springfield. Doug mentioned it on his blog but doesnt sound to confident yet. And maybe just maybe wednesday night, thursday morning some flurries or snow showers, hell I'll take anything at this point!

Yeah the chance of light snow and flurries with the front is still there, probably more on the flurry side. The 00z GFS shows nothing interesting this weekend.

Long range 00z GFS has a couple of fantasy storms, lol

Euro will probably be different anyway.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

LOL Jomo Im on stage 4 borderline 5. Could things get interesting this weekend? KY3 seems to maybe think theres a possible chance so does springfield. Doug mentioned it on his blog but doesnt sound to confident yet. And maybe just maybe wednesday night, thursday morning some flurries or snow showers, hell I'll take anything at this point!

Sounds like stage 3 to me

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...