Ian Posted April 27, 2011 Author Share Posted April 27, 2011 Yawn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Nelson/Albermarle again with the fun and the STW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Yawn Looks like we have to wait another 2-3 hours to start seeing exciting weather up in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Looks like we have to wait another 2-3 hours to start seeing exciting weather up in here. We will probably have to wait till around dinnertime for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 We will probably have to wait till around dinnertime for us Psst... 2-3 hours from now, is my dinnertime Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 27, 2011 Author Share Posted April 27, 2011 Looks like we have to wait another 2-3 hours to start seeing exciting weather up in here. We'll see. Not too excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Psst... 2-3 hours from now, is my dinnertime I eat dinner when the watch expires Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 343 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... ORANGE COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA... ALBEMARLE COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA... * UNTIL 430 PM EDT * AT 339 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN ALBEMARLE COUNTY...OR 15 MILES WEST OF FORK UNION...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... WOODRIDGE... MONTICELLO... KESWICK... SHADWELL... BOYD TAVERN... CISMONT... CAMPBELL... STONY POINT... COBHAM... BARBOURSVILLE... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Moderate risk expanded way north again...they should have left it like they had it yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
esullivan Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 http://www.ustream.tv/channel/ABC-33-40-Main live feed from Cullman, AL - amazing! (was lurking) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bdevil02 Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 http://www.ustream.t.../ABC-33-40-Main live feed from Cullman, AL - amazing! (was lurking) was just going to post that. Another region, I know I know, but AMAZING video. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
esullivan Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 http://www.ustream.t.../ABC-33-40-Main live feed from Cullman, AL - amazing! (was lurking) live camera just lost power Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Public reports hail between quarter and half dollar size in the Orange county warned storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 15z SREF run on SPC is pretty impressive for 00z and even into tomorrow AM. Also on a side note - I don't think I've ever seen supercell composite parameter numbers of 50 anywhere (look where the tor outbreak is happening right now on mesoanalysis) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 27, 2011 Author Share Posted April 27, 2011 something trying to pop nw of rockville.. that one cell south looks decent but the fact that it's not spinning up might mean something for the broader idea at present. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Perhaps weak rotation in the cell NE of CHO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 27, 2011 Author Share Posted April 27, 2011 Perhaps weak rotation in the cell NE of CHO? there's been some from time to time, looks like some now west of louisa. it's a tiny little cell as far as discrete storms go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 there's been some from time to time, looks like some now west of louisa. it's a tiny little cell as far as discrete storms go. After the storm was STW for half dollar sized hail... its no longer warned... hmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 After the storm was STW for half dollar sized hail... its no longer warned... hmmm New warning has been give. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 New warning has been give. Yeah... a bit surprised it took that long though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 27, 2011 Author Share Posted April 27, 2011 area of storms does look a bit better now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoCoSnowBo Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Can someone try their hardest and make the front speed up or slow down. I don't wanna be in class and miss out on all the fun around mid-day. I am willing to give an award to the helpful soul! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 503 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011 VAC047-137-177-272130- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0070.000000T0000Z-110427T2130Z/ SPOTSYLVANIA VA-ORANGE VA-CULPEPER VA- 503 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM EDT FOR CULPEPER...ORANGE AND SPOTSYLVANIA COUNTIES... AT 500 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES EAST OF ORANGE...OR 16 MILES SOUTH OF CULPEPER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... FLAT RUN... LAKE OF THE WOODS... LIGNUM... COOKSTOWN... RICHARDSVILLE... DUNAVANT... BRANDY STATION... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 New MD concerning out Watch: MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0631 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0339 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...NRN VA...ERN WV...MOST OF MD CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 233... VALID 272039Z - 272145Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 233 CONTINUES. MESOANALYSIS AT 2030Z SHOWS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO WARM INTO THE 80S ACROSS THE REGION...WHILE DEWPOINTS CONTINUE TO RESIDE IN THE MID/UPPER 60S OVER MOST OF THE AREA...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF VA/WV. THE WARMING BOUNDARY LAYER AIRMASS HAS AIDED IN BOOSTING MLCAPE VALUES TO 1000-1500 J/KG DURING THE LAST HR OVER NRN VA/MD. IN ADDITION...SFCOA GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT EFFECTIVE SRH VALUES HAVE INCREASED TO AROUND 200-300 M2 S-2. THIS ENVIRONMENT FAVORS ROTATING STORMS POSING A THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS/LARGE HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES. HOWEVER...CONVECTIVE COVERAGE REMAINS LOW...AND LATEST HI-RES MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS SOMEWHAT QUESTIONABLE. THEREFORE...SVR WEATHER THREAT MAY BE MARGINAL DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON...THOUGH WW 233 SHOULD BE ALLOWED TO CONTINUE FOR ONGOING STORMS. ..GARNER.. 04/27/2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 LL rotation starting to develop well on the main cell... waiting for TOR warn w/ next scan if it holds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 508 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SPOTSYLVANIA COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA... ORANGE COUNTY IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA... * UNTIL 545 PM EDT * AT 506 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO OVER WESTERN SPOTSYLVANIA COUNTY...OR 13 MILES NORTH OF MINERAL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... PARKER... LOGAN... GOLD DALE... LOCUST GROVE... COOKSTOWN... CHANCELLORSVILLE... LAKE OF THE WOODS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 And there it is... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted April 27, 2011 Share Posted April 27, 2011 Hookish thing on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 27, 2011 Author Share Posted April 27, 2011 New MD concerning out Watch: MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0631 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0339 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011 AREAS AFFECTED...NRN VA...ERN WV...MOST OF MD CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 233... VALID 272039Z - 272145Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 233 CONTINUES. MESOANALYSIS AT 2030Z SHOWS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO WARM INTO THE 80S ACROSS THE REGION...WHILE DEWPOINTS CONTINUE TO RESIDE IN THE MID/UPPER 60S OVER MOST OF THE AREA...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF VA/WV. THE WARMING BOUNDARY LAYER AIRMASS HAS AIDED IN BOOSTING MLCAPE VALUES TO 1000-1500 J/KG DURING THE LAST HR OVER NRN VA/MD. IN ADDITION...SFCOA GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT EFFECTIVE SRH VALUES HAVE INCREASED TO AROUND 200-300 M2 S-2. THIS ENVIRONMENT FAVORS ROTATING STORMS POSING A THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS/LARGE HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES. HOWEVER...CONVECTIVE COVERAGE REMAINS LOW...AND LATEST HI-RES MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS SOMEWHAT QUESTIONABLE. THEREFORE...SVR WEATHER THREAT MAY BE MARGINAL DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON...THOUGH WW 233 SHOULD BE ALLOWED TO CONTINUE FOR ONGOING STORMS. ..GARNER.. 04/27/2011 sounds about right. i wish there was a numbered scale or something for watches. like this is a level 0 tornado watch or whatnot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 27, 2011 Author Share Posted April 27, 2011 that storm may hit la plata.. could be a biggy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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