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ILoveWinter

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Everything posted by ILoveWinter

  1. ILoveWinter
    Seems like a BM track, what's causing the mix? Lack of a fresh High supplying cold air or not strong enough of a storm to generate its own? Something else?
  2. ILoveWinter
    For snowmaps, it depends on how knowledgable people are about the weather (more so meaning less gullible). Doubt a majority on this forum would believe any of them verbatim 5-6 days out but for the gen public? Different story all together!
  3. ILoveWinter
    Still enough lead time so that the ensembles will be worth a look. Lets see.
  4. ILoveWinter
    Rare to see a Philly special with nearly nothing in DC and a bit in NYC
  5. ILoveWinter
    10"
  6. ILoveWinter
    Snowing heavily now in the UWS, impressive!
  7. ILoveWinter
    Moderate snow in the UWS though not not quite indicative if you looked at the radar
  8. ILoveWinter
    Truthfully I fell asleep so I missed the 1-6AM period but I took a walk at around 630 last night and it was insane!
  9. ILoveWinter
    I think we'll get there and if it verifies, I wouldn't call this storm a bust
  10. ILoveWinter
    Yea I agree, here in the UWS it only sleeted for an hour, so I think we would have done quite well if we maintained the heavy rates that we had earlier in the evening
  11. ILoveWinter
    Actually coming down at a decent clip now in the UWS, maybe we can squeeze another .5-1" until this all ends
  12. ILoveWinter
    14.7" from 1AM-345AM, insane (5.35"/hr rate)
  13. ILoveWinter
    I’d guess CPK will end up over 8 with the final measurement so it would be within guidance albeit on the lower end of the range.
  14. ILoveWinter
    Yea it's ripping in the UWS and has been at least moderate for several hours now with no pingers. Maybe the intensity has helped to keep us all snow.
  15. ILoveWinter
    I'm in the UWS and haven't noticed any pingers all night
  16. ILoveWinter
    Crazy heavy snow in the UWS, just took my 7 year old daughter out for a jeb and she loved it (gotta get them hooked early!)
  17. ILoveWinter
    Been flurrying now for 15 mins near Lincoln Center so should be up your way in a bit Edit: all of a sudden transitioned to a steadier light snow
  18. ILoveWinter
    Flurries in the UWS
  19. ILoveWinter
    Somewhat torn on how much of an impact the mid level warming has on the immediate NYC metro. Experience over the past several years tells me to assume it will be more than expected (a la NAM for this storm) so I will do just that if only to temper expectations. Will be happy with 7-9 here in Manhattan.
  20. ILoveWinter
    Still more than 48 hours away, I'd expect some waffling
  21. ILoveWinter
    I agree - though at least for this one, the GFS is producing decent totals for those in the immediate NYC metro. This is different from the storm or two in the past where the GFS was correct but also showed NYC getting shafted...
  22. ILoveWinter
    Yea agree that NYC is in a sweet spot as it will cash in on either the higher or lower suppressed tracks
  23. ILoveWinter
    Yes very true. Also, I could be confusing the RGEM with another model.
  24. ILoveWinter
    Not sure if this is still the case but doesn’t /didn’t the RGEM have a warm /amped bias?
  25. ILoveWinter
    Some models have heavier totals north of NYC, some south. Even with that I think we have had pretty good consensus for the past few days (remarkable honestly) and averaging all this out, NYC and immediate Metro look to be in a pretty good spot right now.
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