brooklynwx99
-
Posts
6,235 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by brooklynwx99
-
ha I'm Morristown NJ 90% of the time now, which is much better than Brooklyn, but your point still stands
-
idk about you, but I would take 3-6" before a changeover. probably in the minority there, though
-
EPS is thumpy for mid next week
-
if you're gonna troll me, make them valid for the same time you should at least make me pay you rent with how much I seem to live in your head
-
groundhog day?
-
GFS coming in colder... faster SS vort and lower heights downstream
-
when are you going to stop being so insufferable?
-
this type of look is at day 8 now, after the midweek threat
-
holy crap. that midweek threat might just open the floodgates
-
ha
-
FWIW the OP GFS is on the far W edge of the GEFS SLP positions. most are offshore
-
FWIW the OP GFS is on the far W edge of the SLP positions on the GEFS. most are offshore -
I have been deceived by the GFS way too many times. so many times it'll be by itself on something to completely cave
-
it's a good thing the GFS is consistently awful
-
people have to realize that climate change is also responsible for winters like 2009-10, 2010-11, 2013-14, 2014-15, 2015-16, 2017-18, and 2020-21 just makes the bad periods worse and the good periods better
-
idk, I will certainly take this at day 7. good amount of Miller As off the coast with a solid snowfall mean
-
that's climo for you guys in the medium range, though. anything over 1" is an actual signal for something 7 days away
-
this looks pretty nice
-
UKMET has horrible thermals. wouldn't pay the snow output much mind
-
this would normally cut, but the system over the Rockies keeps things progressive
-
similar to the ECMWF, but still the second best model based on skill scores, surprisingly. 2m temps are useless it's generally a bit erratic
-
we want to see the southern stream continue to tick faster for Monday... it seems like that's the main culprit for the lowered heights later in the run:
-
the quicker southern stream leads to lower downstream heights, similar to the GFS
-
I think one of the most important parts of the medium to LR forecast will be the NAO... if we can establish even a weak -NAO, even into Feb when the PNA becomes negative, it'll keep the TPV in a favorable spot with cold nearby if not... not so good. the NAO is inherently very difficult to predict, so there's going to be a lot of changes, but it's nice to see modeling maintain that signal
-
are you aware that you could get smoked this weekend? be honest
