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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    I like this 00z HRRR run with the dropsondes in. It’s no worse for the cities. Maybe slightly quicker
  2. NorthArlington101
    I’ve lost 5” of snow on the RAP in 2 hours. Uh oh
  3. NorthArlington101
    18z EURO pretty stellar for our northerner friends. Send pics tomorrow!
  4. NorthArlington101
    Snow depth isn’t fair - but it was a worse run for DC.
  5. NorthArlington101
    00z will be telling https://x.com/kathrynprociv/status/1757185042898465150?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg
  6. NorthArlington101
    It did fine in our January storms… I feel like Chuck shared it at range a few times and it actually performed well. But apples to oranges probably
  7. NorthArlington101
    When the RAP pulls the ripcord it’s gonna be brutal because each run I believe 1% more
  8. NorthArlington101
    Latest HRRRR
  9. NorthArlington101
    Thanks! Best of luck… hope you are right.
  10. NorthArlington101
    HRRR is gonna work for anyone DC-north again. I’d give up my Super Bowl gambling winnings for another 50 miles south though
  11. NorthArlington101
    I’ll ask what I always ask… what’s your forecast given what you are seeing?
  12. NorthArlington101
    Yes because that guarantees a south trend all the way down to Central VA
  13. NorthArlington101
    sorry to kill the excitement but Pivotal's maps are bad. Still... reasonably good north of the Beltway
  14. NorthArlington101
    I'm waiting for the wxbell map. Pivotal has been far too brutal
  15. NorthArlington101
    weenie mode... but HRRR was a cave to the RAP's depiction. Much heavier precip once we flip to snow. Just saying it how it showed... no comment on likelihood
  16. NorthArlington101
    HRRR smokes us. Best run yet. @Weather Willthe changeover difference was maybe 15 minutes, tbh
  17. NorthArlington101
    I can't get the site to load right now for whatever reason - but you can learn more about it here: https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/graphcast_medium-t-z Graphcast is Google's AI model. The ECWMF runs it after initializing it off it's data, I think
  18. NorthArlington101
    it reminds me of when the HDRPS had 35" inches of snow for Baltimore with no other guidance really agreeing 2 days out in 2022? 2021?. Except with ~15 hours til go time. I think we know how it'll go
  19. NorthArlington101
    apparently maybe is the answer to my rhetorical question above? also came back this far in the thread to give a shoutout to the AI Euro. Looks pretty good right now.
  20. NorthArlington101
    lol it has 9" of 10:1 in DC
  21. NorthArlington101
    RGEM says no unless you are in NE MD. Luckily it's the 2nd best model that starts with R
  22. NorthArlington101
    Imagine being on the wrong side of this line. What a curse
  23. NorthArlington101
    well... there's a first time for everything. We live in a new climate
  24. NorthArlington101
    Surface is shot but this could be snow at DCA by HR17, no? maybe barely sleet? HRRR is showing "sleet" til hr19
  25. NorthArlington101
    good news for me
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