It’s obviously not mid-winter like last year, so take that caveat as you will, but we had two ice storms last year that accreted at 34/35 degrees. If we get a base down early enough things can get slick.
FV3 is a pounding for I-81. Never goes above freezing. Areas of solid 1.5"/1.75" of precip out west where it never goes above freezing. Sleet/FRZA hellscape.
Even pretty damn close here in Charlottesville, where we get 1.25-1.5" without going above freezing
Latest GFS strengthened the high (1040) and put it in a better position while moving precip in the area faster. Nice tiny little changes that will hopefully continue to add up.
Anyone know what the standard ratio for sleet is? RGEM just absolutely whacked parts of Virginia with sleet/ice.
~.75" frozen in Cville but I don't think any of it was snow.
Ah, Charlottesville. Not west enough to be in the mountains and get snow, not north enough to hold onto CAD for a long time and get snow, not east enough to get the best influence of a coastal. Should’ve gone to JMU, or Minnesota. [emoji6]
So gonna post the 10:1 map and the Kuchera because they both have uses... part of the difference between them is going to be the amount of FRZA/sleet so I feel like it’s fair to show both. Either way, WOW. Not happy to not be in NOVA. not staying up for the EPS unless I can’t fall asleep, someone else can take the wheel