NorthArlington101
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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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If you add the weenie rule of the GFS underdoing the NW extent of the precip shield then that run is solid. I knew we’d get teased again.
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-SN in Charlottesville. First snow ob of the year.
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FLURRIES IN CHARLOTTESVILLE!!!!
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Yeah, my name is very misleading. Should change it to Tenman Johnson or something.
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FV3 out on TTT, FWIW. I'm assuming the thing over Iowa is the new piece of the puzzle that's kicking the storm out?
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Well, you are missing a MECS to the South. Me, who knows? Some guy keeps posting in the long-range thread that Charlottesville is the place to be. Though I might head back up to NOVA no matter what. Stupid me, valuing family over snow.
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This is could surprise someone somewhere. HRRR/3K have been shooting off nice snow showers. Extended HRRR below but they could reach inside the Beltway... won't be shocked if a SWS flies during tomorrow evening's commute.
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Swing and a miss at 18z. But I'm sure something will sucker people back in tonight.
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Asssuming @high risk is right (which he almost certainly is) here is the FV3.
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HDRPS/RGEM been calling for that. Not shocked. Trying to sneak in an 1”-er down here.
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3k has some vigorous snow showers dotted throughout the subforum tomorrow.
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Was about to post this. This storm is going to decide how it’s viewed this whole winter.
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HRDPS and the RGEM keep upping the game. 1-2” coming in squalls would make up for the last miss.
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I’m a UVA student, so I’ll be in Cville for a good deal of the winter. In the same boat with my hopes for tomorrow.
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I’m counting on you to bring this one home. You not fretting this given your location is refreshing.
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FV3 remarkably consistent, but less amped. Knocks down totals for everyone by a little.
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I realize no one cares but the high-res RGEM is insistent on some convective snow showers in Central/Southern VA Wednesday. 3k NAM was also pretty nice.
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At this point I’d happily gamble with this.
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Big improvement for central/southern VA, somewhat so for western VA. Pulled back ever so slightly towards DC and MD.
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Go Canada!
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Go Hoos!
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Can only find it on weathermodels and this is the best I can zoom.
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18z GFS was a good hit for *ducks* Charlottesville.
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tossed that one out there, knew someone would take it
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about to dig out the Australian and Brazillian models
