NorthArlington101
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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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Looks like it doesn’t take a ton of virga to get to precip falling so that’s a decent sign... precip keeps slowly marching N. EURO dusts DC down at 12z.
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Friends back in Charlottesville are relaying that they are running just under an 1”.
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Picking up on the UVA cam http://128.143.122.15/view/viewer_index.shtml?id=70
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I should log off the forum and not check radar today, not good for my health.
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Per obs from those I trust in Charlottesville, snow has picked up and is dusting the ground and the Grounds.
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I’d guess when the greens move over you you’ll flip. Precip does already seem to be running up against a bit of a wall though, but it’ll surely make it up past Charlottesville. Counting on you for measuring! I don’t trust my roommate as far as I could throw him, which isn’t far given he’s 6’3”.
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oh lol, it’s already snowing there. that’s what I get. Already looks like it’s hitting a wall on radar too.
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Don’t think I’m going back to Charlottesville. Not confident they verify the WSW. Me not heading back down means they will though. Oh well.
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to be perfectly honest I’m being fully selfish and mostly talking about Central VA but yeah, the EURO probably belongs in the middle of those camps. It does get .1 to Quantico at 12z & 18z, though slightly south at 18z.
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FV3 looks almost identical to the GFS.
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HRDPS, ever consistent in it's slamming of Central VA and its teasing of areas just south of DC, continues to do so.
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So how much more do we trust the RGEM/NAM/HDRPS then the GFS/FV3/EURO at this range when the results are so different?
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The American models having this much disagreement within 30 hours should be illegal.
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I’m in Arlington at the moment. I’m going to head back to CHO tomorrow morning if it looks like it would verify a WSW.
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What 50 miles or so would do...
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It’s running. Time to will it north.
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Just a hair north of 12z, not worth mentioning really. Noise rather than a helpful trend.
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lol, I might take the train back to Cville tomorrow. Getting major FOMO
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Hey, lwx just mentioned it in their AFD. Points to Berk!
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WPC maps clearly show the uncertainty.
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Hmmmm... this doesn’t look like that. Odd. Yeah, weathermodels 6hr precip maps have a near miss. Odd differences.
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Are all the Canadian models running with the same data? That’s probably the wrong term but hopefully you know what I mean. 12z CMC holds.
