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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    EURO is faster which is better for temps. Wintry mix for western and northern burbs at 120. Step in the right direction overall.
  2. NorthArlington101
    EURO is rolling in. Amazing how different it is from its previous run looking into TN, AR, and MO at 108. Nothing here is set other than this being a long shot.
  3. NorthArlington101
    GEFS have been getting more and more interested in this event over the past couple of runs. Might be hiveminding like last year but has moved from 1 GEFS member interested in the follow up wave to now all but 4. By hour 108, 11 GEFS members have some sort of mix in the area. Many are FRZA. 850s must go more favorable at hour 120 or so because a couple of members flip Western areas to snow, other spots flip to rain. ignore that, TTT doesn't support. What everyone wants to see:
  4. NorthArlington101
    GFS is an ice/sleet storm in Charlottesville... would be odd at this time of year. Note this is obviously NOT A REALISTIC SNOW MAP (includes sleet to say the least) but shows the "extent" and "amount" of wintry precip. Massive grain of salt.
  5. NorthArlington101
    It'll probably turn out to be just cold rain but models seemingly starting to converge on that follow up coastal storm happening. GEFS show a shot at mixy precip, as does 18z GFS proper. 12z EURO today was also a icy/sleety mess for SW Virginia and some western parts of the state. ICON hopped on board with the follow up too. We'll see if 0z GFS does anything fun.
  6. NorthArlington101
    18z GFS has the follow-up storm now Day 5... cold rain.
  7. NorthArlington101
    EURO brought back the follow-up storm in the Day 5-6 range but its too waaayyyy to warm at 850. Almost FRZA for the usual colder areas in our subforum.
  8. NorthArlington101
    Why does it never snow as much as it rains?
  9. NorthArlington101
    CMC has a similar idea to the EURO but no cigar. Low gets shoved due west. EPS coming out now.
  10. NorthArlington101
    Not uninterested but there have been better fantasy runs to discuss that we’ve ignored. 6z FV3 was pretty good. That said, never gonna complain about fantasy first flakes.
  11. NorthArlington101
    0z GFS has a little bit of snow in the immediate metro area next Tuesday... it’s a start. Coastal exists again but way too far off the coast to be super interesting.
  12. NorthArlington101
    It’s a hot mess. Best thing to do is once you eventually find the maps you want favorite them so that they show up on your page. Doesn’t help that the new stuff is hidden away in a separate place, either lab.weathermodels.com or wx.graphics.com
  13. NorthArlington101
    Trying to learn a bit: It appeared to me that the 06z GFS was really close to a storm around Day 9. Would have a stronger vort pass done something? Here is the appropriate map from TT (I think).
  14. NorthArlington101
    WxBell... becoming less and less viable. didn’t mean to quote Mattie g btw
  15. NorthArlington101
    EPS decidedly more interesting for the Day 10ish period. Pretty colors... Ready for another OP to toss out a good run. Happy hour FV3?
  16. NorthArlington101
    Could’ve been triple boxed!
  17. NorthArlington101
    Out of area now but we are driving through PA/NJ and this is the most rain I’ve ever seen. Tornado warnings too. Saw the worst accident I’ve ever seen on the side of the road. Real frightening.
  18. NorthArlington101
    Rotation south of Catonsville, MD where the line is wrapping up a bit. mostly gone now
  19. NorthArlington101
    Per that tweet exchange that rotation likely had a TDS.
  20. NorthArlington101
    Frederick to Leesburg getting raked.
  21. NorthArlington101
    It is dumping along I-81. Bad night to be driving up it.
  22. NorthArlington101
    Someone told me this place was a desert!
  23. NorthArlington101
    Speaking of tracking fake snow... I’ve bit the bullet and have subscribed to WxBell & weathermodels so I’ll be happy to pass along 6z/18z euro & 0z/12z UKMET info.!
  24. NorthArlington101
    Oh I totally agree. But I've come to realize that the post-Winter depression isn't because it isn't going to snow again for the next seven months, it is the lack of obsessively tracking things and having less of a reason to stick around the forum. Keeps me busy! But that's just me.
  25. NorthArlington101
    Fake stuff is great. It's the chasing that makes it fun.
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