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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. Not shocked to the see the meh reception to the CMC from those outside the uber-favored areas but that is a cold run at the surface. I'll take my chances with wintry soup at 29. Don't even think DCA breaches 32 verbatim.
  2. Matter of perspective, I think. I’ve been operating under the assumption a full rug pull to 0” is possible. That said, I still believe this could be 1.5’ for me too. Anything better than the full rug pull satisfies me and I let the crazy runs give me some free dopamine.
  3. It wasn’t warmer and it probably gives everyone (DC/west) warning-level snow? Wasn’t a step to forum-wide MECS but for those with tempered expectations I think seeing things not go sharply in the wrong direction was good.
  4. my Steelers have been exposed. we need to change things up. Don’t know how but we do.
  5. ICON > NAM. I distinctly remember Stormtracker at one point conceding the NAM was a good model one or two years ago. Stuck with me.
  6. It's really hard to root against them. Coming from a Giants/Steelers (I can like two teams ) fan, everyone seems really likable.
  7. It’s never worth gambling on, but I’d assume we do better than 10:1 in the CCB.
  8. It ain’t gonna be right but I don’t think it would be shocking for everyone west of I-95 to see a transition to snow at the end.
  9. Unprofessional assessment is the stronger high was quite helpful. Hopefully that’s something that only continues to trend better.
  10. If we could just get it marginally more SE... think we'd be golden.
  11. heh. literally the opposite of the GEFS GIF I just posted. Fun times.
  12. GEFS held serve. Beautiful verbatim, 12z: 06z:
  13. I'm trusting the people who say it's our best case scenario -- we definitely get crushed in the CCB -- but the MSLP took a pretty decent jump westward. I'd still think, at least from a temp profile perspective, we could do better if we could get things to push a little more SE. That said, I'd trade 8" of meh rates for the shot of the end of that GFS run.
  14. Hate to be the negative person, but DCA still gets to 37 this run. It's 34 at DCA when it starts ripping at 87. Rates would overcome and probably accumulate with the depiction as is but we could still use another jolt SE. That said, we've got three days.
  15. Good thing it’s the 84 hour NAM! In all seriousness, it’s a possible solution. EPS has an unfortunate cluster of lows on the N /VA border around Emporia. Time to wait for a better model.
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