NorthArlington101
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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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NE MD is gonna loooove this run though.
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GFS 2m temps got warmer. Gonna do the weenie thing and toss it for the colder mesos.
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Translation: better CAD
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RGEM is a front-end thump kinda run. Hits us a little on the backend too. DCA might barely get to 33. 850s torch for awhile though.
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the meso-low @MN Transplant mentioned earlier may not be hurting us on temps too much on its own (though I don't think its helping) but it seemed to portend some crazy gusts.
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the world record is 12" an hour. that's nothing!
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Man, if we could just get rid of this double-barreled look on the 3k... 996 at the benchmark man.
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Meant to post this earlier but got distracted. Hope you like the end of the storm. Can't seem to get it to embed. Think clicking it should work.
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2m temps are horrific, but looking back on it previous runs weren't that much better. 850 temps actually improved somehow. edit: to clarify, it's very slight. but NW DC/down to the Mall or so doesn't lose 850s.
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Significant ice is what he's going for.
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I kinda hate my Dell XPS. Bought it for school and I kinda wish I bought a Mac.
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EPS is much colder than last run. 12z 06z
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If your house is gonna be empty it's tempting to make you an informal AirBNB offer.
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Occasionally something falls from the sky that isn’t a normal raindrop. Big win. 37 degrees so it’s colder today than it was supposed to be IMBY.
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Baltimore barely loses 850s, FWIW. Verbatim I think it hangs on by a thread. D.C. is at risk of losing them ~6 hours during the best precip, which isn't ideal, but its much closer this run. I'd take my 350" of elevation and pray.
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It's actually an improvement over 06z snow map wise but I'm comparing Pivotal maps to WxBell maps. WxBell seems delayed this run.
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Still 1002mb low up into the Bay near the mouth of the James River at 54hr. Looks pretty identical to 06z re: MSLP track.
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I promise you it is! I don't want to post another UKMET map but if you go to Pivotal the first six hours of the run got you down for about .7" up that way.
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oh no. I started a 20 post discussion on the UKMET. maybe I'll pull out the ARPAGE next? The Australian? the Brazilian?
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not to belabor UKMET precip guidance, decent chunk of that is from today. This is probably better.
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It is substantially warmer than most guidance. If you just take UKIE track, CMC/RGEM temps, and GFS precip...
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It ain't even that great, but I'll elect to hug. And maybe travel to Charlottesville. Not gonna lie, kinda like this run because it sorta screws NYC. I expect Boston to do better than us but NYC getting 2' and me getting zero rubs me the wrong way.
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Yep, acknowledged as much in my post. Just passing time. Anyways, MSLP track looks better but it's still warm. Guessing it won't make any friends in this subforum when the snow maps come out.
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To my untrained eye the track of the low on the UKMET looks better. But as @MillvilleWx mentioned last night, might as well be shaking a magic eight ball.
