2018 lol, I should bring the bingo card back out.
NAM solutions have us with a solid thump and than teetering on the edge of sleet. I'll take that risk. Sleet in CHO is usually good news for everyone else, anyways.
I was kind of expecting the 3k to laugh in our faces but it looks like it's going towards a similar (probably slightly less extreme) result as the 12k.
That's why you gotta savor the digital dopamine now. I agree that this becoming a NW storm is the most likely frustration here. That band of heavies is rather narrow. Kuchera below.
ICON is a good model every once in awhile. Past two years with it I've found its best use is sniffing things out early.
Fairly sure that at some point a few years ago @stormtracker pronounced ICON a valid model to discuss. Was a big win for the weenie modeling community.