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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Pick whichever kind of snow map speaks to you the most -- all are generally an improvement -- can't say it is for everyone, but mostly.
  2. NorthArlington101
    18z EURO has the system a lot more put together. Looking like it should be a wetter run.
  3. NorthArlington101
    WPC is certainly a little bullish - has the 50% for >2” running just NW of the NW DC border. Don’t know if they consider snow depth, but I like to see it regardless.
  4. NorthArlington101
    The WxBell maps showed 2”+ of sleet out around Warrenton. But yes, not a great run overall as far as snow is concerned.
  5. NorthArlington101
    12k NAM dropping a sleet bomb in parts of the subforum at hr45
  6. NorthArlington101
    On mobile so image sharing sucks but 12z EPS is clearly drier as well - looks about the same otherwise, extends push of accumulating snow maybe a bit further south.
  7. NorthArlington101
    EURO looks like it’ll hold. Almost looks like the seasonal SE MD/CVA jackpot might show this run too.
  8. NorthArlington101
  9. NorthArlington101
  10. NorthArlington101
    Unrelated -- FV3 Hi-Res showing that nice squall signature on the back.
  11. NorthArlington101
    I'm wondering if it's doing that thing @high risk(I believe) mentioned where conditions *might* briefly support sleet for like 5 minutes as it transitions to snow but then the model output renders it sleeting for the whole 3hr period or so.
  12. NorthArlington101
    So... exactly what I said? I'm happy to take the tradeoff of Winchester losing 3" of snow if it means the rest of us see more, but I totally understand why you wouldn't be.
  13. NorthArlington101
    This is an interesting tweet -- squalls would obviously be fun.
  14. NorthArlington101
    3k NAM has it snowing for a few hours while DCA is down into the upper 20s. That'll get us a wintry scene for a little bit, at least.
  15. NorthArlington101
    Raw snow accumulation for most of the area. 12z 06z
  16. NorthArlington101
    12k NAM is an improvement. Cautiously optimistic given that we are seeing positive trends across guidance.
  17. NorthArlington101
    Will didn't even share the weeniest map. For shame. Enjoy this one.
  18. NorthArlington101
    Buy the event or not, when the EPS is slowly trending better run after run, that's enough to suggest something might be happening, imo.
  19. NorthArlington101
    it was too much to ask for, it’s clearly worse than 00z. snow is snow, though!
  20. NorthArlington101
    CMC is also much improved — not crazy, but very different than previous runs and a step in the right direction. Would be cool to go 3/3 tonight.
  21. NorthArlington101
    00z GFS takes a step in the right direction on an event just about 4 days out and silence? Looks like it’s time for spring
  22. NorthArlington101
    Little surprised there is so little discussion with the Euro showing this:
  23. NorthArlington101
    Sort of surprised that Short Pump isn’t under a warning.
  24. NorthArlington101
    GFS shoved a lot of its chips in… To be less vague, it’s an improvement.
  25. NorthArlington101
    Haha - it would be fun on the 3k/12k for sure. For once the ground temps might actually be problematic but the rates would overcome a lot. It’d be memorable if true. 3k is ~5” in 3hrs for metro proper.
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