NorthArlington101
-
Posts
12,320 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by NorthArlington101
-
Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
NorthArlington101 replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
Not lurking in ya'lls space to troll, but the SREFs are terrible. What's remarkable about it is that it used to be considered a usable tool. Only look for entertainment. Some members have it dumping snow in D.C.. Barring the coup of the century, it's a toss. -
Imagine if the 12z HRRR did what it just did to Raleigh/VA beach to DC/Baltimore. Now that’s worth a crashout.
-
Only able to see precip total maps, but the non-AI euro has a northern band and a southern band kind of situation for Wednesday. Good chunk of Maryland squeaks out 1” or so - rest is too south for most of us.
-
Juiced up a little bit, yeah. Still fairly fringed. Belongs in the other thread really but AIFS ticked better for our southern folks for Saturday. Somewhat decent tick given its usual stubbornness in the last few hours. Might mean an extra inch for someone. But if you buy it verbatim really only a super cool storm for eastern NC/barrier islands at this point.
-
AIFS says no - south. Might join @stormtracker and say goodnight on this one soon!
-
Hope it pans out! Florida flurries are cool, at least south of the Panhandle. Panhandle gets as much snow as we do these days.
-
I guess I'm just not willing to sweat this one yet. Trends aren't awesome. Long as it doesn't turn into an OBX bomb like the GFS I won't lose much sleep. Hearing some chatter from Tomer + others for mid-Atlantic threat mid-month. Probably on the one day it would be horrifically inconvenient for me and my folks. Think we'll have something else to track even if this window totally evaporates in the next 2 days.
-
The storm did intensity over OBX and now I’m raising my pitchforks with you. Like another 6-10” there on Kuchera. Apologies But also it’s the GFS. I’m finally gonna learn the lesson to ignore it. Ignorance is bliss
-
Then it’s rain? I guess WxBell panels are still loading but this doesn’t seem worth the consternation
-
I assumed you meant south like North Carolina, not Central VA. If we want to treat the GFS like a normal model, this run is okay with me. In the game
-
-
I was looking at the models this morning and feeling bad for our North Carolina/SE VA weenies but they mostly seem to be feeling okay? I took a very quick glance at the AIFS & its ens and thought the world would've exploded.
-
I meant what I said earlier that echos what @Heisy said. We’d all probably have better forecasts and expectations only looking at the AIFS until Day 3 or so when you start adding short range models for precip/temps. But that’s no fun. I love living and dying by each model run
-
What if I told you the ICON was?
-
AIFS is on board. And I mean most things show it. But yeah, broke the don’t look at the GFS vow after about 3 hours. Oops
-
Sketchy surface temps. But that’s our normal.
-
The surgery provided a convenient excuse
-
You could make a compelling case today that the only guidance worth looking at until the short range for Ptype is the AIFS and you’d probably be right. This hobby is a lot less fun that way but it’s perhaps the way we are rolling.
-
UVA didn't mess around with their removal when I was a student there. Pretty darn good... only day I had trouble was during COVID trying to get to grounds during an ice storm. That was a little stupid.
-
Unfortunate coincidence. Could've been partying in an absurd mansion in Aspen. But I don't like traveling during the winter in case it snows here, so all good anyway. Not upset at all
-
Ah, a more classic fall line storm. Would hurt to risk raining in D.C. the second precip moves into the area again, but it's refreshing to see something "normal"
-
Me too! Especially because I won’t be able to walk in the snow after the leg lengthening surgery
-
I’ve got a very minor surgery and my girlfriend has a flight out on the 12. I’d lock that one in.
-
Guess nobody is paying attention right now - AIFS hits us for @WxUSAF's period
