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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. I’ll be able to get total QPF shortly but think it’s about 9” 10:1 for DCA. Please hold
  2. Looks like about a dead-on midnight start. WxBell maps almost at the money.
  3. Ending my brief crashout - unless the EURO comes in and scares me. GEFS is fine. Drier. No real south shift.
  4. GFS and GFSAI have tilted me a bit this morning so I'm going to restrict myself to here. Why can't we get good model agreement for more than one suite (6z)? Why is this storm always 6 days away?
  5. Probably, but just flipping precip back and forth at 96 it's a 100mi jump south at least
  6. 6z AI GFS was lowkey a disaster, but I held my tongue. Just gotta hope the GFS is lost (as usual)
  7. yeah, I'm still a little sad we've pushed this back a day. I guess it seems to offer us a higher-end outcome, but would rather just get this done sooner rather than later. Guess it ups the odds of OPM giving us a day on Monday.
  8. Yeah, don't know where this came from. Maybe I wasn't paying enough attention?
  9. It's only slightly lower so this isn't me being negative, but is there any reason we should/shouldn't be using the NBM v5 that I believe goes live this spring?
  10. Fair enough - haven’t paid enough attention to the storm I tried to call dibs on. Willing to give this one to someone else if I can own the Feb 3 BECS
  11. They get younger and faster. I’m already in bed. Harder to be quick on my phone
  12. https://www.weather.gov/lwx/wintermaps Slightly different then the winter page… select Days 3-7
  13. https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/auroral-activity.html
  14. Still a lot to go, honestly. Backend is in Texas
  15. Oranged. Wish it was confidence pulling it up but we’ll take.
  16. If you like weenie ratios we’ve hit it already. Would be a nice storm.
  17. Storm definitely somehow got pushed back a day today. Which annoys me. We were gonna be in NAM range by tonight at one point!
  18. Here? Probably never in recorded history
  19. EURO has been out for a bit if you know where to look. Looks pretty much like 12z. I’d say a hold.
  20. Looks like it’s panning out in Europe. Guess we’ll see what happens at sunset. Not sure I’ll be ready to chase until much later tonight.
  21. Damn. Hope we didn’t peak too early. Imagine if this happened after a snowfall… lights reflecting off snow in the mid-Atlantic
  22. Apple Weather has like 23-27”… so that’s part of the problem.
  23. Realize we are distracted - but decent aurora chance tonight.
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