NorthArlington101
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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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I’ll be able to get total QPF shortly but think it’s about 9” 10:1 for DCA. Please hold
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Looks like about a dead-on midnight start. WxBell maps almost at the money.
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Ending my brief crashout - unless the EURO comes in and scares me. GEFS is fine. Drier. No real south shift.
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GFS and GFSAI have tilted me a bit this morning so I'm going to restrict myself to here. Why can't we get good model agreement for more than one suite (6z)? Why is this storm always 6 days away?
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Probably, but just flipping precip back and forth at 96 it's a 100mi jump south at least
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6z AI GFS was lowkey a disaster, but I held my tongue. Just gotta hope the GFS is lost (as usual)
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yeah, I'm still a little sad we've pushed this back a day. I guess it seems to offer us a higher-end outcome, but would rather just get this done sooner rather than later. Guess it ups the odds of OPM giving us a day on Monday.
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Yeah, don't know where this came from. Maybe I wasn't paying enough attention?
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It's only slightly lower so this isn't me being negative, but is there any reason we should/shouldn't be using the NBM v5 that I believe goes live this spring?
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Fair enough - haven’t paid enough attention to the storm I tried to call dibs on. Willing to give this one to someone else if I can own the Feb 3 BECS
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They get younger and faster. I’m already in bed. Harder to be quick on my phone
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GFS zoomed since I’m late
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https://www.weather.gov/lwx/wintermaps Slightly different then the winter page… select Days 3-7
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https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/auroral-activity.html
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Still a lot to go, honestly. Backend is in Texas
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Oranged. Wish it was confidence pulling it up but we’ll take.
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If you like weenie ratios we’ve hit it already. Would be a nice storm.
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Storm definitely somehow got pushed back a day today. Which annoys me. We were gonna be in NAM range by tonight at one point!
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Here? Probably never in recorded history
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EURO has been out for a bit if you know where to look. Looks pretty much like 12z. I’d say a hold.
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Looks like it’s panning out in Europe. Guess we’ll see what happens at sunset. Not sure I’ll be ready to chase until much later tonight.
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Damn. Hope we didn’t peak too early. Imagine if this happened after a snowfall… lights reflecting off snow in the mid-Atlantic
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Apple Weather has like 23-27”… so that’s part of the problem.
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Realize we are distracted - but decent aurora chance tonight.
