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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. While we were bickering I think we missed the EURO becoming the snowiest model with the anafront. It's not a lot but we are clearly desperate, lol. Would whiten the ground for some MD folks
  2. It's willing to play ball with the anafrontal too -- massive grain of salt, given its the long-range HRRR, but seems to want to flip most to snow. Around B'More it even manages to spit out an inch on the ol' 10:1.
  3. Unfortunately for our I-81 comrades the 12z EURO is putting out a icier solution than earlier runs. Cut back snow totals a decent bit.
  4. @high risk-- figured I'd pull this over to banter, what's the deal with the SHiELD suite of products? As far as I can gather it's tied into the FV3, but perhaps more experimental? Hi-Res?
  5. I'm not sure its ever been a useful tool but it's nice to see the FV3 hi-res kind of agree with the GFS. It doesn't always do that, e.g., it looks nothing like it's parent(?) for the Thursday morning part of the system.
  6. Don't think that would solve the temperature issues for most of us but kinda cool to watch. Upped the ante for those who were already likely to see snow, though.
  7. 3k NAM leaves a bit of backend snow behind but not as plentiful as its 06z run. For once, I'm interested in seeing what the HRRR will say at range.
  8. It was a big jump up. Surprised nobody noticed it earlier. The 10:1 is even weenier -- verbatim pushes the T line into DC. RA/SN line gets pretty far west. Guess stranger things have happened at 48 hours.
  9. Too bad it wants basically nothing to do with the anafrontal. It’s a bit of torture knowing the GFS is all alone with a (truly) snowy solution and doubling down…
  10. I'll stop digging into this clearly off the rocker run in a second -- but this is all the precip that falls clearly after the freezing line has passed DCA. The additional .3-.4" falls in the hour the temp change moves through -- probably a pretty wicked rain-to-snow.
  11. Sorry I forgot to post the Kuchera instead -- it's much more reasonable.
  12. As a Giants fan I’d probably take yours over mine
  13. Ant is invested in the period - always a decent sign.
  14. EURO doesn’t quite look like the GFS but it has a clearer signal for a little backend snow.
  15. Not in a great position to share images but yes, that’s right, though the Kuchera goes lower. It was an interesting run for the I-81 corridor… Kuchera EURO was 2-4” up and down it, with more (up to 6”) out in far western Augusta. .5” inch line pushes out into western Loudoun.
  16. Had to find some winter since it’s looking less and less likely I can see some outside of elevation any time soon…
  17. I’m all in on the rain-to-snow then quick flash freeze train now. Give me something intense
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