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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    Don’t look at the NAMs or the FV3 though [emoji6]
  2. NorthArlington101
    Kinda looks like 09z - 15z was the only really off run. Regardless, good to see guidance like the HHRR (and sure, even the SREF [emoji51]) pivoting back a bit.
  3. NorthArlington101
    It’s a step in the right direction to that .5-1” “victory stripe” solution for our most populated spots. Fingers crossed.
  4. NorthArlington101
    3k is a little better. Seems to be because the coastal gets going a little sooner/stronger. Not sure that's how we'd win around DC/Balt but it that was a real trend at some point it could spell well for the southern parts of the subforum - couple models have had a "victory" stripe of 1" or so down there.
  5. NorthArlington101
    Anyone want to guess if the EURO was interested?
  6. NorthArlington101
    GFS wants to give some flakes Thursday after its light Tuesday/Wednesday dustings. The saddest, worst shadow of an multi-day overrunning event ever.
  7. NorthArlington101
    People shouldn't mistake my limited enthusiasm for any hopes this is ends up being more than a sloppy inch, and even that is generous. I'd just like to see snow and this is a top 3 window we've had all season... as others have said, sad stuff.
  8. NorthArlington101
    GFS is actually an improvement - precip bumped north and 850s look great down to the south. Just need to have the usual 50mi jump north in 48 hours. Surface temps not as great around metro but maybe heavier precip would help?
  9. NorthArlington101
    In theory, that is just the Tuesday "preshow," but who knows, some snow TV then could be the main event.
  10. NorthArlington101
    can I interest you in the SREF mean bumping up?
  11. NorthArlington101
    Since people might need a mediocre pick-me-up after the RGEM, the 06z EPS was the best its looked for Weds in the past four cycles. Yes, we are talking a difference of tenths. I haven't yet seen a tenth, so...
  12. NorthArlington101
    Looks more like other guidance.. I'd take a meet in the middle T-1" at this point. Never thought we were getting 3".
  13. NorthArlington101
    Early glance at RGEM per the Canadian gov site we haven't yet had to pull out this year suggests largely a hold, though a bit less juicy at 12z. We'll see what the better maps say
  14. NorthArlington101
    Hi-Res FV3 continues to improve... not a trend that would be super exciting in most years but we're digging for scraps now.
  15. NorthArlington101
    It is time to separate this out from the LR thread and I haven’t yet staked my claim to a thread this season… what could possibly go wrong?
  16. NorthArlington101
    FV3 Hi-Res would let people who haven’t yet seen flakes see flakes… maybe forecasts a GFS shift towards a lil something
  17. NorthArlington101
    12k NAM is the closest to being on board for Wednesday that it’s been, FWIW. Probably not worth much
  18. NorthArlington101
    #itshappening
  19. NorthArlington101
    trending!!! All jokes aside - I’d kill for a half inch. I’ll track this to its bitter failed end.
  20. NorthArlington101
    Yeah it’s definitely not enough but it throws a T-.5” in parts of Central VA. Better than the nothing from last run.
  21. NorthArlington101
    EURO looks better for Wednesday - don’t know if it’s gonna be enough but it looks more like a consolidated “storm”
  22. NorthArlington101
    Getting to the point where I might start actively rooting for a total shutout.
  23. NorthArlington101
    Some light mix moving into DCA at 135 it's mostly rain
  24. NorthArlington101
  25. NorthArlington101
    Idk how I feel about this ABC7 graphic - feels less like a “trend” and more like “what they showed at 00z.”
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