wishcast_hater

The car read -4° 5am this morning. I drove to the city and didnt reach zero until Yorktown Heights on the Taconic which i have never seen. Usually it's significantly colder at the house and temps rise about 15 degrees before I get to the job. The temp read 5° in Harlem which is impressive.

The heat island effect wasn't as significant as it is today. Between transmission lines, steam lines, water and sewer lines, asphalt, concrete, steel and glass buildings makes it that much harder to get below zero as it did years ago.

Warmth will be closer to normal but not a torch. If we do it will be transient - February averages looking to be below normal for the month.

Measured 1.5” of snow from overnight. I have 13.5” of snow on the ground. All powder too, a stark contrast to the icebergs down in the city. .

For those who are complaining about the cold try working on a barge or on the dock on the Hudson today. Today my men were on the dock for 45 min trying to tie up the barge and offload to it. Unfortunately with the strong winds and ice the vessel had trouble getting close enough to the dock. Eventually they were successful. .

Just measured 13.5” as of 5 pm. .

I’m at work in the city and won’t be back until about 4 pm. Definitely deeper than my snow boots as I was loading up on firewood yesterday. Probably 12” and I eyeballed around 1.5” of new snow on the car when I left for work around 5 am. .

Whats going on with the weather for the week?

I promise you I have way more than 13" of snow on the ground .

NWS dropped the cold weather advisory for my area. .

What happened going into Phase 8 or Phase 1?

Should of had TriPol make the thread.

Event is 4 days away. Still hope.

Haters gonna hate .

Meanwhile 2 weeks ago some on this board decided to cancel winter. .

No sleet up here. Pure Powder with a high temp of 8°. .

.

Is the low off the coast cranking up? .

Whats going on with the Low Pressure developing off the coast?

URGENT WEATHER STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE – WINTER DISAPPOINTMENT DESKISSUED: Immediately, because hope is fragileSUMMARY:A significant winter storm is expected to impact the region. Forecast confidence remains high for heavy snow potential, followed by a dangerous transition to sleet, freezing rain, or the ultimate betrayal: plain rain.⸻HAZARDS:• Initial excitement from model runs showing 18–30 inches• Rapid emotional destabilization as warm nose appears• Keyboard smashing, doom posting, and refresh-induced psychosis• Statements such as “this storm is dead” at T-72 hours⸻SUICIDE WATCH (METEOROLOGICAL): IN EFFECTA Snowlover Emotional Crisis Watch is in effect for the duration of the event.Residents are advised:• Do not do anything rash based on one model run• Step away from social media during the sleet phase• Remember: one band can still save the storm• Refrain from declaring winter “over” before March⸻TIMING:• Snow: Hope Phase• Sleet/Freezing Rain: Anger Phase• Rain: Acceptance (or complete meltdown)• Post-storm: “Next system looks promising” Phase⸻PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS:• Touch grass (or snow, if available)• Hydrate• Do not fight family members over 850 mb temps• Seek professional help if you start trusting the GFS blindly⸻FORECAST CONFIDENCE:Low on precipitation typeHigh on emotional damage

I believe the NAM has mixing up to Poughkeepsie. I will let you know since I am North of 84.

URGENT WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE – WINTER DISAPPOINTMENT DESK ISSUED: Immediately, because hope is fragile SUMMARY: A significant winter storm is expected to impact the region. Forecast confidence remains high for heavy snow potential, followed by a dangerous transition to sleet, freezing rain, or the ultimate betrayal: plain rain. ⸻ HAZARDS: • Initial excitement from model runs showing 18–30 inches • Rapid emotional destabilization as warm nose appears • Keyboard smashing, doom posting, and refresh-induced psychosis • Statements such as “this storm is dead” at T-72 hours ⸻ SUICIDE WATCH (METEOROLOGICAL): IN EFFECT A Snowlover Emotional Crisis Watch is in effect for the duration of the event. Residents are advised: • Do not do anything rash based on one model run • Step away from social media during the sleet phase • Remember: one band can still save the storm • Refrain from declaring winter “over” before March ⸻ TIMING: • Snow: Hope Phase • Sleet/Freezing Rain: Anger Phase • Rain: Acceptance (or complete meltdown) • Post-storm: “Next system looks promising” Phase ⸻ PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS: • Touch grass (or snow, if available) • Hydrate • Do not fight family members over 850 mb temps • Seek professional help if you start trusting the GFS blindly ⸻ FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Low on precipitation type High on emotional damage .

Excuse my ignorance but what are the chances this falls as virga since I am assuming the air will be bone dry? I can remember a storm or two where we had the precip overhead but never made it to the ground for the duration.

Valentines Day Storm 2007

I’m not worried but I have seen it go from single digits to rain in the 80s. It can happen. .