wishcast_hater
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Everything posted by wishcast_hater
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Maybe some home for Saturday overnight: Eventually, the cyclone over the Great Lakes closes off up to 850-700hPa with the warm nose surging northward and advancing into our southern zones by Sunday morning. This should support a change over from snow to sleet from south to north. Just how far north the warm nose reaches is still uncertain as a secondary coastal low may develop to our south/east which could pinch off the warm nose and maintain snow/sleet p-types longer into the day on Sunday. Should this be delayed, a changeover to freezing rain is possible, especially for areas along and south of I-90 daytime Sunday.
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For Areas way North: Eventually, the cyclone over the Great Lakes closes off up to 850-700hPa with the warm nose surging northward and advancing into our southern zones by Sunday morning. This should support a change over from snow to sleet from south to north. Just how far north the warm nose reaches is still uncertain as a secondary coastal low may develop to our south/east which could pinch off the warm nose and maintain snow/sleet p-types longer into the day on Sunday. Should this be delayed, a changeover to freezing rain is possible, especially for areas along and south of I-90 daytime Sunday. -
Chaos to Clarity: Snowstorm Caboose Could be the Big One!
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Been snowing pixie dust for about two hours. .
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I think every snow event I have had this season has been at night. Anyone else notice that ? .
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Back in the 80s we had an above ground pool in the Bronx. I would remove the ice from the winter cover and used a concrete roller my dad kept in the back yard to grind the ice into “snow” and then take my sled and slide down the side of the house. .
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If the storm is cutting west any initial snows we get will be lost to rain unless it dry slots. I wish high pressure would be slower to move out and feed us cold air. .
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I’m covering my acre of land with a big tarp to preserve my snowpack once it turns to rain. .
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How is this weekends storm looking? Does the GFS win by keeping us in the cold side of the storm or the Euro on the warm side?
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The broken clock might be coming in more north. Wonderful. What does the JMA show?
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There is no “normal” just averages - depending on what years you want to count. .
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Does it even matter? Useless model. .
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Total disappointment here. Was forecast between 7 and 10 inches. I didn’t go outside yet to measure but I’m eyeballing 3 maybe 4 at best. I keep hearing how forecasting has gotten so much better but I disagree. Even 6 hours before the storm arrived NWS never changed anything. .
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Total bust. Folks in the city did better. .
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Radar looks terrible to the west. If it doesn’t fill back in there is no way I am getting to 5” let alone the 7-10 I was promised. .
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I’m upstate. Supposed to snow till 7 am. Flip to rain/snow between 11 and 1 for you. .
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Radar looks terrible to our west. .
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What’s the chances of this coming further north? .
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Sleet melts slower than pure snow so it can help build up a base quicker on warmer surfaces.
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This mornings forecast discussion mentions some possible wintry mix for even for my area. That can’t bode well for you guys south of me. Hope that you guys do better than forecast and that Tuesday storm tracks further north. .
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Please elaborate.
