wishcast_hater

Models have been consistently wrong so I don't know how you can have any faith for significant rains. At least at one time the models were good when it came to rain now they are just worthless no matter what the season. Yes, I am over generalizing.

My commute from Manhattan yesterday was pretty surreal. The haze/smoke was very noticeable and there was definitely a burning smell in the air. Most noticeable was northern Westchester into Putnam County.

It’s a chilly start to the day. .

Models cant even figure out a rainstorm now 3 days out? Pathetic

I was just remarking to my wife earlier today that it doesn’t look like we’re gonna get any rain for the next few days. I need rain as I seeded my lawn and don’t want to spend hours moving my sprinkler around. AccuWeather had us at 0% for the day and here it is raining out. Just goes to show you they don’t know what the hell is going on .

.

Not happening .

Is it going to rain this month? We had rain all winter and now when it’s supposed to - it doesn’t. .

What does that typically mean for winter in our area?

Here are the big winners ********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL******************** LOCATION TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS SNOWFALL MEASURED (inches) CONNECTICUT ...Litchfield County... New Hartford 14.0 817 AM 3/15 Trained Spotter Winsted 12.1 800 AM 3/15 Trained Spotter Torrington 11.5 820 PM 3/14 Twitter 1 SE Winsted 11.3 916 PM 3/14 Trained Spotter MASSACHUSETTS ...Berkshire County... Hancock 27.0 1136 PM 3/14 WeatherNet6 2 ENE Pittsfield 26.7 715 AM 3/15 Elevation 1194 Feet Becket 26.0 722 AM 3/15 WeatherNet6 Otis 24.0 615 PM 3/14 Amateur Radio 3 S Sandisfield 23.1 1000 PM 3/14 Twitter Pittsfield 23.0 727 AM 3/15 WeatherNet6 2 NNE Pittsfield 22.5 948 PM 3/14 1194 ft elevation Lenoxdale 20.5 700 AM 3/15 Co-Op Observer Adams 20.0 849 PM 3/14 Trained Spotter 3 S New Ashford 19.0 700 PM 3/14 Town of Lanesborough 1 E Lenox 18.2 1000 PM 3/14 Trained Spotter Lanesborough 16.0 1059 PM 3/14 WeatherNet6 Stockbridge 14.0 555 AM 3/15 WeatherNet6 Cheshire 13.0 700 PM 3/14 Amateur Radio Williamstown 13.0 700 PM 3/14 Amateur Radio North Adams 11.0 635 AM 3/15 Amateur Radio NEW YORK ...Albany County... Knox 24.5 1120 PM 3/14 WeatherNet6 Rensselaerville 24.0 618 PM 3/14 WeatherNet6 Ballston Lake 15.5 1059 PM 3/14 NWS Employee Albany 13.0 800 PM 3/14 Trained Spotter 4 SE Duanesburg 13.0 621 PM 3/14 NWS Employee 2 W Delmar 10.5 751 AM 3/15 Trained Spotter Albany Intl AP 10.1 1000 PM 3/14 ASOS 2 SW Voorheesville 9.5 755 AM 3/15 Amateur Radio 2 W Albany 9.2 1000 PM 3/14 Retired NWS Emp. Delmar 9.0 1127 PM 3/14 WeatherNet6 Boght Corners 8.8 945 PM 3/14 NWS Employee 3 NW Guilderland 8.7 630 PM 3/14 NWS Employee Colonie 8.6 846 PM 3/14 Trained Spotter 1 NNW Colonie 8.4 745 PM 3/14 Trained Spotter 2 ESE Westmere 7.5 1025 PM 3/14 NWS Employee 1 W Albany 6.8 1000 PM 3/14 NWS Employee ...Columbia County... 3 N Austerlitz 31.0 725 AM 3/15 Elevation 1750 Feet 4 NNW Hillsdale 24.3 715 AM 3/15 Trained Spotter Austerlitz 20.5 1101 PM 3/14 WeatherNet6 Canaan 18.0 630 PM 3/14 Facebook Taghkanic 13.2 846 AM 3/15 WeatherNet6 Kinderhook 8.0 630 PM 3/14 Trained Spotter ...Dutchess County... Beekman 12.0 915 PM 3/14 Trained Spotter Millbrook 11.0 730 PM 3/14 Facebook Poughkeepsie 7.5 830 PM 3/14 Trained Spotter Hopewell Junction 7.5 830 PM 3/14 Trained Spotter Red Oaks Mill 6.3 1100 PM 3/14 Trained Spotter ...Fulton County... Perth 8.0 606 PM 3/14 WeatherNet6 ...Greene County... 4 SW Palenville 36.0 621 PM 3/14 Elevation 2100 Feet Hunter 32.3 731 AM 3/15 Trained Spotter West Kill 32.0 801 AM 3/15 WeatherNet6 Halcott Center 19.0 612 AM 3/15 WeatherNet6 Greenville Center 18.0 624 AM 3/15 WeatherNet6 Cairo 9.0 749 AM 3/15 WeatherNet6 Catskill 5.5 1128 PM 3/14 WeatherNet6 ...Hamilton County... Piseco 27.0 729 AM 3/15 WeatherNet6 ...Herkimer County... Dolgeville 6.0 115 AM 3/15 Trained Spotter ...Montgomery County... Glen 17.0 629 PM 3/14 WeatherNet6 Fonda 8.0 759 AM 3/15 WeatherNet6 Amsterdam 7.9 1149 PM 3/14 WeatherNet6 ...Rensselaer County... Poestenkill 25.3 1145 PM 3/14 Trained Spotter 2 NNW Averill Park 23.0 740 PM 3/14 Trained Spotter Berlin 21.0 1030 PM 3/14 Facebook Valley Falls 19.5 1100 PM 3/14 Trained Spotter West Sand Lake 19.5 900 PM 3/14 Trained Spotter Speigletown 18.0 637 AM 3/15 WeatherNet6 North Greenbush 18.0 1030 PM 3/14 Facebook 1 N Sycaway 17.2 100 AM 3/15 NWS Employee East Greenbush 17.0 855 PM 3/14 Trained Spotter Troy 16.0 715 AM 3/15 Trained Spotter 1 SW Valley Falls 15.7 750 PM 3/14 Trained Spotter Buskirk 15.0 820 AM 3/15 Trained Spotter Hoosick Falls 14.5 744 AM 3/15 WeatherNet6 1 S Troy 13.5 700 PM 3/14 Amateur Radio 2 SSE Watervliet 13.5 651 PM 3/14 Amateur Radio Schaghticoke 13.0 712 PM 3/14 WeatherNet6 2 WNW Wyantskill 12.0 800 AM 3/15 Amateur Radio ...Saratoga County... Lake Desolation 26.0 1141 PM 3/14 WeatherNet6 4 WNW Rock City Fall 21.4 620 PM 3/14 CoCoRaHS Corinth 18.0 620 PM 3/14 Trained Spotter 2 NW Quaker Springs 17.0 645 PM 3/14 Social Media Galway 13.6 1054 PM 3/14 WeatherNet6 2 ESE Clifton Park 12.5 910 PM 3/14 NWS Employee Clifton Park 11.8 1000 PM 3/14 CoCoRaHS Halfmoon 11.5 713 PM 3/14 Fire Dept/Rescue Saratoga Lake 9.3 920 PM 3/14 Trained Spotter Saratoga Springs 9.3 1020 PM 3/14 WeatherNet6 Ballston Spa 8.2 617 PM 3/14 WeatherNet6 Charlton 8.0 623 PM 3/14 WeatherNet6 4 WNW Gansevoort 8.0 730 PM 3/14 CoCoRaHS ...Schenectady County... Delanson 29.0 831 AM 3/15 WeatherNet6 Duanesburg 12.0 652 PM 3/14 WeatherNet6 1 SSW Aqueduct 9.5 930 PM 3/14 NWS Employee ...Schoharie County... Middleburgh 30.0 644 AM 3/15 WeatherNet6 Jefferson 24.0 1128 PM 3/14 WeatherNet6 Richmondville 24.0 437 AM 3/15 WeatherNet6 1 SE Gilboa 23.0 900 PM 3/14 Town of Conesville Schoharie 21.0 1142 PM 3/14 WeatherNet6 Charlotteville 16.0 838 PM 3/14 WeatherNet6 ...Ulster County... 4 S Halcott Center 20.0 826 AM 3/15 Trained Spotter West Shokan 4.0 852 AM 3/15 Public ...Warren County... Stony Creek 36.0 943 PM 3/14 1500 feet elevation. Lake Luzerne 15.5 633 AM 3/15 WeatherNet6 Glens Falls 9.5 730 PM 3/14 Trained Spotter Queensbury 8.5 607 PM 3/14 WeatherNet6 ...Washington County... Granville 24.0 751 AM 3/15 WeatherNet6 Hartford 20.0 616 PM 3/14 Trained Spotter Hebron 18.0 737 AM 3/15 WeatherNet6 Whitehall 5.0 642 PM 3/14 WeatherNet6 VERMONT ...Bennington County... Landgrove 40.0 726 AM 3/15 WeatherNet6 1 ESE Arlington 30.4 825 AM 3/15 Trained Spotter West Arlington 11.0 657 AM 3/15 WeatherNet6 ...Windham County... Wilmington 36.0 613 AM 3/15 Park/Forest Srvc Marlboro 36.0 830 PM 3/14 Facebook Brattleboro 23.0 630 PM 3/14 Facebook

10" here but definitely got more than that because the snow keeps compacting. I measured another 2 inches after I snowblowed the driveway and it just keeps coming. If this happened in January and it was dead cold we would of been crushed. Definitely happy for what I got because when I drove into town it was significantly less. Cut up my neighbors tree that fell across her driveway, thank God I had a new chain.

Measured 8" 2 hours ago, trees are down everywhere, shrubs and other plants totally bent to the ground. Heavy snow here now.

Eyeballing about four or 5 inches so far. .

That dry slot is scaring me. .

Transitioning to snow here at 740 feet. Hopefully I don’t have to go to work tomorrow. .

The rain is mixing with snow finally. It should transition to all snow within the hour. .

At least I'm getting snow.

FOR US IN THE NORTH - Snow accumulations from this storm will be highest in the Catskills where 1.5 to 3 feet are possible. Throughout the Mohawk and Upper Hudson Valley, totals will range from 12-18 inches. Slightly lower accumulations of 8-12 inches in the Mid- Hudson Valley and Western Adirondacks are likely, with locally lower accumulations of 6-8 inches around Poughkeepsie. Finally, Southern Vermont and the Berkshires could also see upwards of 12-18 inches with locally higher amounts of 20 inches or greater. In addition to significant snowfall totals as a result of this storm, high winds can be expected Tuesday and Wednesday. This storm will bring significant impacts to the entirety of our CWA. Mild temperatures prior to substantial wetbulbing will lead to snow that is very wet and heavy for the first part of the storm. This heavy, wet snow (SLRs around 8 to 10:1) can be expected Monday afternoon/evening through Tuesday morning before a transition to cooler temperatures helps to increase SLRs (upwards of 12 to 15:1) Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday morning.

If the model skill is better than why all the flip flopping?

I would take this.

6-12 for my area BUT I doubt we see 6" as every event this winter has busted low.

Under a Winter Storm Warning for 6-12”. As with this entire winter jackpots have all been west of the Hudson River. I would say 6” for me the way things have been going this winter. Anything extra is a bonus. I do have elevation going for me as I am at 760’. .

That is why I don’t bother to check this sub forum very often. We have the biggest chance of seeing snow and this place is dead quiet. .