radarman

Exchange rate is in your favor so that helps And yeah, it's pretty awesome. Having spent a little time there working with McGill years ago (07/08 winter, luckily enough) a few things I'd recommend would be a walk and maybe dinner in the old city (le vieux Montreal), montreal syle bagels (st viateur is a good one), and a trip to Notre Dame basilica.

TCU and a 40 mph gust would be the severe equivalent of our best snowfall of the season, which was 2 mos ago by now.

No argumentative tone... honest question here... what is the basis for this 20 day rule for propagation down to the troposphere? When I go back through past events I don't see it. There may be examples of such, particularly 2003 which was used as a paradigm in a lot of the original literature, but over time it's my opinion that 03 has been proven to be largely a one off, and has not representative of a standard behavioral model. There's plenty of other examples of the propagation downward occurring on shorter, even much shorter timescales too. Or not propagating downward at all. I don't think there is anything inherent in a SSW that determines if it will propagate downward and eventually weaken the PV, just that other signals are dominant and ultimately determine the fate of it. Also my opinion that the +GPH anomaly over the pole that drove down the record airmass may well have been associated with the U wind reversal that occurred in late jan, at 10 or so day lag. Or maybe it's just coincidence. Funny we didn't hear anything from the experts about an impending SSW (that did actually occur) when the wave2 and wave 3 signals spiked in mid Jan, now they're crowing for some unknown reason... hopefully the models are indeed onto something that I don't understand if that's the basis for the excitement.

At any rate these guys aren't calling for a -AO in the next two weeks, they're calling for a new SSW if I read the tweets correctly, and the forcing for such isn't obvious to me. If others have insight on that part of it, I'd welcome it certainly.

Dude the delayed propagation downward is ssw 101. Enough with the condescension please. And the 3 weeks delay isn't accurate. It's shorter than that, and even then only a rule of thumb. One could argue that the strong HP right over the pole that caused the recent PV displacement was the direct result. And it shows up in the zonally averaged Z Anom GPH graph I posted even though it was not a big portion of the total >65N space. We understand and appreciate that you're into this stuff but turns out you're not the only one.

As an aside, those graphs show pretty nicely the wave 2 and wave 3 action preceding this last one

Really we just had one... Maybe it gets some credit for the cold shot, but the overall pattern seems to have shrugged it off... I guess you keep playing the odds and hope it works out? And frankly, I'm not really sure what they're seeing that makes them bullish about another one upcoming. Wave 2 is dead. Wave 3 is meh.

Nice job taking advantage of the oppy. One thing I will say is that we've had two periods of good black ice, the first being in the higher elevations right after Christmas. That is no guarantee in any year. All it takes is one snow or mix event in the early formative stages of the pack and you're screwed. Granted, white ice is skateable and we'd certainly take it, but there is really nothing like smooth black ice. Anyway this was from yesterday. Not terrible.

Tenney Mt set to reopen on the 10th Skied there as a kid

We got out early too. 4" of black ice, albeit not the smoothest ice. I'd call it a B+ session. But yeah, that's a wrap.

Pretty classic wave 2/wave 3 induced SSW -> descent of HP over the pole -> PV displacement event. If you were gonna draw up -10 at BOS you'd probably not put low heights in AK and onshore flow into the pac NW, but at any rate we got it done in spite of it.

That 16F dew jump in an hour in Jan 1955 seems a bit odd

Same here

A few from Homewood today. Bucket list ski area.

Awesome pics

In a land of high speed chairs, shout out to the old school triple at Northstar today

Donner Lake pretty nice too

Just depends on where I guess. I'm at 18.5" to date this year. I was at 4.25" through 2/5/16.

15/16 was brutal

The wheel has no memory as they say. At any rate if even odds o/u are being offered you should probably use the median snowfall not the mean. I wonder how it differs around SNE? Not sure tbh

Megamillions top prize was sold in Btown at the Stop and Shop 2 miles from my house. They only hit for 31M. This is like when we jackpot on anafrontal events for like 5".

I am at Alliance airport in NW Ft Worth and it is snowing hard. 35 degrees though so not accumulating much.

...Franklin County... Leverett 2.0 in 1200 PM 01/23 Amateur Radio Sunderland 1.1 in 0700 AM 01/23 COOP ...Hampden County... 2 ESE Holyoke 1.0 in 0935 PM 01/22 Amateur Radio ...Hampshire County... Hadley 3.7 in 0858 AM 01/23 CO-OP Observer Westhampton 1.8 SW 1.3 in 0758 AM 01/23 COCORAHS Williamsburg 1.2 WSW 1.1 in 0635 AM 01/23 COCORAHS 1 ENE Easthampton 1.0 in 0945 PM 01/22 Trained Spotter Northampton 0.4 S 1.0 in 0810 AM 01/23 COCORAHS Amherst 0.6 in 0715 AM 01/23 COOP South Hadley 3.2 SSW. 0.5 in

Impressive. Congrats

Even the north side of Belchertown along 202 is over 1k', which is only a few miles away from me. And yeah, Pelham gets to 1240'.