radarman

nice dude...

strong inflow notch near Easthampton... IMO it likely 'releases' and reforms a generally rotating core along rt 202

This was what I was saying....

that southerly flow in the valley already starting to show, small cell popped just ahead of the main line in Westfield... where it gets reabsorbed would be a rotation threat, albeit, not a major one I don't think. But could be picturesque all the same.

Chance the ESE motion may be slowing down some now and we may see this start curling back to due E or ENE

Pretty solid core, likely some hail I think, near Belcher, NY. Notice a trend?

Mesoscale Discussion 1457 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0132 PM CDT Tue Jul 12 2022 Areas affected...Portions of eastern NY into New England Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 460... Valid 121832Z - 122000Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 460 continues. SUMMARY...A threat for damaging winds and hail should spread eastward this afternoon. An areal extension of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 460 and/or a downstream watch may be needed. DISCUSSION...Convection has gradually intensified over the past hour or so across eastern NY. Strong effective bulk shear of 50+ kt associated with an enhanced mid-level jet remains more than sufficient for supercells, with multiple attempts at discrete thunderstorms noted. Even with mid-level lapse rates remaining poor, diurnal heating of a moist low-level airmass has contributed to around 500-1000 J/kg of MLCAPE in a narrow corridor along and just ahead of the ongoing activity. Some recent clustering has also occurred in far eastern NY, and current expectations are for a mix of multicells and supercells to spread eastward into parts of New England over the next few hours. Both damaging winds and hail should remain a threat with this activity. Based on current thunderstorm motions around 35-40 kt, an areal extension of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 460 to include more of eastern NY and southern VT may be needed. A downstream watch into parts of New England where sufficient destabilization has occurred is also possible.

verbatim it looks the best up in Hubbyville. but yeah we'll probably take some down too

the 3km nammy is pretty solid

The rare southerly breeze at Quabbin this evening. Felt weird.

labor day is 9/5 this year.... I was thinking zero chance, but to be fair it hit 102 on 9/7/1881... that is crazy. Also hit a 100 on 9/2/53.

throw in a Dec 1980 arctic outbreak and it's a deal

1980 has the daily record high at DFW for 18 out of 26 days from 6/23 to 7/18, including the all time record. Now that is some amazing heat (or a broken sensor )

Daily highs in Dallas are all over 105 from basically later June through early Sept. Most recent big heat was 2018, 4 straight days 108 or 109. But the biggest heat was 1980, 1936, and 1909 at 112 and 113.

300+hr fantasy snow >> 300+hr fantasy cane >>>>>>>> 300+hr fantasy heat

.3" steady. Not terrible.

he's just filling up the boat

Sweet, have stayed there many times. No campfires is the only negative, but you can get a permit from the town for a beach fire if you go early.

Thank goodness. Stepped off the plane at BDL last night after several days of upper teens/ low 20s dews in the Sierras and it was like I had hopped into a bowl of soup. But this is quite pleasant indeed.

Gas was about $6.89 for 87 lakeside in Tahoe. But the views are free

Spent the last 3 days in Truckee, high of 79, low of 34 like clockwork. Cold airmass coming in tonight however with temps not getting out of the mid 60s tomorrow and stiff wind. Include me out for that.

Not bad at all today. 88, moderate dews, and a nice breeze. A few showers went up in Parker county.

Maybe someday folks will recalculate temperature anomalies correctly... which is to say integrated over time rather than with the absurd midnight to midnight high/low method. And my suspicion is you'd find that low dew stretches like we've had really are below normal.

We've had an exceptional cilantro crop which seems to like the cooler wx. It'll be coriander soon enough with the incoming air masses. Thai basil should start taking off now hopefully.

Upcoming week looks fairly pleasant at least