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radarman

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Everything posted by radarman

  1. Granite Gorge under new ownership announced they will be opening for skiing this year. First time in 3 or 4 years.
  2. We've had orb weavers making an appearance for the first time in a few years
  3. our CC is noisier than Nexrad. I should probably smooth it to make it easier to look at. But anyway if you squint there is a drop, though not necessarily a slam dunk.
  4. No, especially when we don't ask them to pay for it. A little IT overhead, but the way NWS budgets and personnel are stretched, I probably shouldn't underestimate that aspect.
  5. Yeah, I don't blame them. No way they could have warned based on the BOX data... they'd be overwarning all the time. Cell that Hubby was referring to further north looked better actually. In Texas the data flows straight into AWIPS and I hear from the weather service if the feed goes down. We've offered it to BOX and ERH but never got serious interest. And let's be honest, the severe out here is ok for SNE, but we aren't Texas, so by and large they don't miss all that much.
  6. The velocity from that loop... couplet is still there even now!
  7. need a tornado warning in N Amherst IMO updated... tracking up Leverett Rd into Shutesbury
  8. Honestly.... I'm not even sold on short term ML nowcasting results... at least not yet. We have had better results with stochastic methods. This is what we're using now... https://www.proquest.com/openview/f235bbb8769fcddf0d632704ffe9188b/1?pq-origsite=gscholar&cbl=33207
  9. As for SD, you really don't want to be in the ocean with any kind of inland rains. Bacteria levels spike for a couple days. Heavy doo.
  10. much, much scarier actually. 15' bodysurfing is insane, and we were out in Bill, but not out where those bad boys were breaking. Even the smaller ones had the pucker factor and the scorpion risk.
  11. Yeah a lot of that is overblown for most. There may be some areas in the west central plains or something for whom a lack of evapotranspiration from decreased surface moisture really does notably affect their precip chances and you start getting dust entrained afloft. But for those with oceanic influence, Dallas included, none of that matters too much once the atmosphere aligns properly to deliver moisture. PWATs were through the roof in the Texas event, and in this event as well.
  12. Some of the return intervals shouldn't be taken literally. Headlines about 1000 yr storms all the time, while arguably fair in a larger point about increasing precip totals, don't necessarily mean that storms like that are really that rare. DFW for example just had one but it was not the biggest 24hr total on record and has had like 5x 1000 yr storms in the last 100 years. High end variability at all sites is not equal. With that being said, some of the totals and short timescale accumulations noted here are truly exceptional and historic.
  13. Since the early days when they were only selling it out of a canvas tent 1-2 days a week behind the brewery. IMO it has slipped in quality from back then, when it seemed like the next Treehouse, but still decent.
  14. They issued a tornado emergency for that? Not throwing shade on the TOR itself but that wording is generally reserved for a huge wedge on video approaching a city.
  15. The echoes have really blossomed over Sturbridge, big swath of rain headed up toward ORH
  16. Albany radar velocity. Impressive meso for sure.
  17. JMO but the Brooklyn storm looks like a sweet hail producing supercell with good structure and storm scale rotation, but not necessarily tornadic.
  18. Whatever it takes to get airborne I'm for it. Seriously though there could be a massive wedge heading for you, when they say the cabin door isn't reopening, it isn't reopening.
  19. I know it's not a great pic but this is what I could see
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