radarman

need a tornado warning in N Amherst IMO updated... tracking up Leverett Rd into Shutesbury

Honestly.... I'm not even sold on short term ML nowcasting results... at least not yet. We have had better results with stochastic methods. This is what we're using now... https://www.proquest.com/openview/f235bbb8769fcddf0d632704ffe9188b/1?pq-origsite=gscholar&cbl=33207

As for SD, you really don't want to be in the ocean with any kind of inland rains. Bacteria levels spike for a couple days. Heavy doo.

much, much scarier actually. 15' bodysurfing is insane, and we were out in Bill, but not out where those bad boys were breaking. Even the smaller ones had the pucker factor and the scorpion risk.

Yeah a lot of that is overblown for most. There may be some areas in the west central plains or something for whom a lack of evapotranspiration from decreased surface moisture really does notably affect their precip chances and you start getting dust entrained afloft. But for those with oceanic influence, Dallas included, none of that matters too much once the atmosphere aligns properly to deliver moisture. PWATs were through the roof in the Texas event, and in this event as well.

Some of the return intervals shouldn't be taken literally. Headlines about 1000 yr storms all the time, while arguably fair in a larger point about increasing precip totals, don't necessarily mean that storms like that are really that rare. DFW for example just had one but it was not the biggest 24hr total on record and has had like 5x 1000 yr storms in the last 100 years. High end variability at all sites is not equal. With that being said, some of the totals and short timescale accumulations noted here are truly exceptional and historic.

Approaching 3.75" in Btown

That's insane. Would set records at many climate sites.

Since the early days when they were only selling it out of a canvas tent 1-2 days a week behind the brewery. IMO it has slipped in quality from back then, when it seemed like the next Treehouse, but still decent.

They issued a tornado emergency for that? Not throwing shade on the TOR itself but that wording is generally reserved for a huge wedge on video approaching a city.

The echoes have really blossomed over Sturbridge, big swath of rain headed up toward ORH

Training cells over this area.

Prepare to be underwhelmed

Albany radar velocity. Impressive meso for sure.

JMO but the Brooklyn storm looks like a sweet hail producing supercell with good structure and storm scale rotation, but not necessarily tornadic.

Whatever it takes to get airborne I'm for it. Seriously though there could be a massive wedge heading for you, when they say the cabin door isn't reopening, it isn't reopening.

I know it's not a great pic but this is what I could see

Tornado warnings going off on folks cell phones on the plane New one for me

Sitting on the runway at BDL in a ground stop watching round 2 come in now. Zero chance we were gonna take off and we boarded anyway. But I do have a good view at least. Major CTG

Yeah that was good. But wth was the neighbor doing?

Supports the hail obs

They put the tornado possible tag in the warning... i think it *might* be starting to gust out but who knows.

Feel somewhat honored