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radarman

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Everything posted by radarman

  1. Years ago this would be an easy toss of the GFS for Sunday Nowadays.... still toss the GFS
  2. We'll clipper flipper at some point prolly. Hope not but that's kinda how I see it going. Maybe the backstop going up will help the coast, at least initially.
  3. BDL should be about -10 for the month after tomorrow. In this area I believe the earliest safe pond ice in my 27 years here. Only drawback is most were already frozen by the time the snow fell on 12/2 lol. Incredible start to winter.
  4. Saturday was about as awesome as it can be with (sort of) 2 ways down. Gorgeous afternoon especially once the clouds cleared out.
  5. Many ponds already frozen over here. Not about to venture on the ice yet but impressive nonetheless. Could be skating by next week in shallower protected areas.
  6. Flipped to moderate rain now. Power flickering
  7. I have to give credit to the HRRR for the little weenie streak on the west side of Quabbin (linked below) even if it was a bit too high in general. We had just barely enough lat / lng / alt
  8. We had an hour of light rn or zr and back to moderate snow for the last 20 mins
  9. light snow has commenced after a period of virga
  10. NOP usually means rain in the lowlands up to Rt 2
  11. That double lobe thing mostly gone, with the primary low moving NE off Delmarva and deepening. Nice looking run.
  12. That Reggie solution is best case scenario for many IMO
  13. Agree. Take that snow map, divide it by 2.5, tick it a hair SE and call it a day
  14. Has the AI Euro scored a coup yet? I was really interested and watched it closely last year, not just here but across the CONUS, and my anecdotal take was that it sucked for east coast cyclogenesis and atmospheric rivers out west. But maybe I missed something.
  15. I don't think this is inherently true... more runs should provide smaller moves per run if the model is stable and the assimilation is consistent.
  16. When in doubt take the warm one Especially 3 weeks before solstice With a retreating high A somewhat cold but not frigid antecedent airmass In a warming background With almost every other model on its side
  17. yep, you're in the game. some of those totals include sunday night / monday. Jack on the RGEM is like 8-10" in the Taconics. Been a while since they've had a nice early season dump.
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