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radarman

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Everything posted by radarman

  1. I have to give credit to the HRRR for the little weenie streak on the west side of Quabbin (linked below) even if it was a bit too high in general. We had just barely enough lat / lng / alt
  2. We had an hour of light rn or zr and back to moderate snow for the last 20 mins
  3. light snow has commenced after a period of virga
  4. That double lobe thing mostly gone, with the primary low moving NE off Delmarva and deepening. Nice looking run.
  5. That Reggie solution is best case scenario for many IMO
  6. Agree. Take that snow map, divide it by 2.5, tick it a hair SE and call it a day
  7. Has the AI Euro scored a coup yet? I was really interested and watched it closely last year, not just here but across the CONUS, and my anecdotal take was that it sucked for east coast cyclogenesis and atmospheric rivers out west. But maybe I missed something.
  8. I don't think this is inherently true... more runs should provide smaller moves per run if the model is stable and the assimilation is consistent.
  9. When in doubt take the warm one Especially 3 weeks before solstice With a retreating high A somewhat cold but not frigid antecedent airmass In a warming background With almost every other model on its side
  10. yep, you're in the game. some of those totals include sunday night / monday. Jack on the RGEM is like 8-10" in the Taconics. Been a while since they've had a nice early season dump.
  11. Reggie comes out a little slower and ends up deeper at the surface, but otherwise stays pretty consistent with 12z.
  12. It would be great to window that over the northeast US and limit it to known winter precip events. Yes it's an IMBY interest but not just as a weenie... in terms of weighted impact those are the highest value runs.
  13. Not shocked. Question is if this the furthest run NW we see or if it just keeps ticking warmer.
  14. Member when the euro products would only make small run to run moves inside day 4?
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