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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. Feels like deep summah out here. We approve. I still haven’t installed yet though
  2. Mesoscale Discussion 1145 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1101 AM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025 Areas affected...Southern New England Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 061601Z - 061800Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Isolated wind damage and marginally severe hail will be possible with multicell storms after 18-19z (2-3p EDT) this afternoon. The need for a watch is uncertain. DISCUSSION...Strong surface heating is ongoing across southern New England along and south of a diffuse baroclinic/differential heating zone. As surface temperatures warm through the mid-upper 80s with mid-upper 60s dewpoints, MLCAPE will increase to near 2000 J/kg with minimal convective inhibition. By early-mid afternoon, widely scattered thunderstorm development will become probable along the diffuse baroclinic zone/buoyancy gradient. Steep low-level lapse rates, DCAPE of 750-1000 J/kg and precipitation loading could favor isolated wind damage with downbursts, while the moderately large buoyancy will be sufficient for marginally severe hail. Vertical shear will remain relatively weak and the storms are currently expected to remain only loosely organized, so the need for a watch this afternoon is uncertain. ..Thompson/Smith.. 06/06/2025
  3. Rush 'em in and rush 'em out. Except winter of course, unless it's too icy, too cold, or doesn't snow early or often enough.
  4. What? It’s June 6. We lose daylight (slowly) but climo peaks in late July. Backswing by mid August.
  5. I like all the seasons. No need to rush any of ‘em. It’s awesome having more daylight. That whole meso is wild
  6. High of 91.5° here at home
  7. Still a decent chance, probably based more on Kansas and the Colorado Front Range based on climo. Good luck.
  8. Been watching a possible area off the SE coast in the next few days and NHC has a lemon for it now. Low chance but if it stay offshore it could become a weak low.
  9. I’m not over there so idk
  10. Yeah, we’d be flooding here. Nonstop rain today.
  11. That hasn’t stopped birds from dropping bagels in mine several times. I’m constantly undercounting. Speaking of…I’m at .86 and counting here. Nearby stations well over an inch today.
  12. Would’ve been a disaster but fun in winter. Both my station and HFD recorded a low of 982.0mb. Very impressive for this time of year.
  13. Your storytelling makes you an American treasure. I can barely remember what I had for lunch three days ago.
  14. GFS running hot but the signal for a window is still there. Most likely after the 8th or so on both the EPS/GEFS.
  15. Wow. Now that’s incredible.
  16. Welp, flight held on the tarmac. Philly storms too intense.
  17. Flying out of DCA over a deepening low with lightning tonight? Let’s see how this goes.
  18. True, but what’ll happen when his yard is destroyed and dews collapse into weeks of desert dryness?
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