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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. WxWatcher007
    Can’t make it up Deleted my duplicate post.
  2. WxWatcher007
  3. WxWatcher007
    98° at home
  4. WxWatcher007
    We wait for winter to return from its near decade long absence with open arms.
  5. WxWatcher007
    High of 93 at home but I’m in DC the next few days…
  6. WxWatcher007
    Yeah I think we’re far from a lock, but whenever I see a setup like this in the middle of summer it’s worth taking note. The moisture feed looks impressive.
  7. WxWatcher007
    Euro not backing down for Thursday/Friday.
  8. WxWatcher007
    Agree with all that. SE CT stole my storms. Get ready for the rains.
  9. WxWatcher007
    I had 3K here the other day and could only manage a gusty shower!
  10. WxWatcher007
    Still think that’s a little too out there in terms of accuracy. The environment is marginally better, if that, but the background state is still pretty hostile.
  11. WxWatcher007
    I picked the right time to travel here lol
  12. WxWatcher007
    Environment doesn’t look conducive. AI is probably latching too much on climo and a marginally more favorable environment. Emphasis on marginally. I was just coming to post about it. Euro has been consistent with the setup. This we watch. 99.99% fantasy. AI is not yet competent imo in marginal environment tropical cyclone genesis. The regular ensembles barely have a signal if you can even call it that.
  13. WxWatcher007
    Huh?
  14. WxWatcher007
    Not much out there. Summertime doldrums.
  15. WxWatcher007
    Smoky but nothing crazy
  16. WxWatcher007
    Disturbing.
  17. WxWatcher007
    Brutal
  18. WxWatcher007
    .02
  19. WxWatcher007
    Indeed. We take what we can get.
  20. WxWatcher007
    We spike here. Split supercell turning toward Hartford?
  21. WxWatcher007
    Heat index of 106 here at home
  22. WxWatcher007
    I think today is pretty active in CT
  23. WxWatcher007
    I think we’re still going to end up AN on the numbers, but slightly so. I think it’s a more classic second half rather than what we saw last year, with activity centering mid September through mid October rather than the season extending into November. It’s a small window, but in that 4-5 week window I think that’s all we’ll need.
  24. WxWatcher007
    Yeah the tropical Atlantic even without big SAL this season is just so stable. Things point to another strongly backloaded season to me.
  25. WxWatcher007
    I think it’ll be quiet in general, but now that the wave train is starting to leave the station I think we do see 1 or 2 systems find a way to survive the trek across the Atlantic and develop into a TC before the 20th.
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