I hate to say it because of all the suffering happening in Florida, but I had a feeling of foreboding once I saw that EPAC seedling enter the BoC. That kind of vorticity entering that region is often a signal for development, and we’re seeing it play out this morning.
To be clear, this is still a delicate setup with shear and dry air potentially lurking, but I think much like all the other Gulf hurricanes this year if future Milton is able to develop an inner core and anything close to the outflow channel suggested, it will not weaken on final approach, especially if it ends up further south in a warmer SST environment.
Folks in FL need to activate their hurricane plans. I think the ceiling for this is substantially higher (doesn’t mean we’ll reach it) than it was last night.